The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Fort McMurray—Cold Lake

Federal riding · AB · No. 48025 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Fort McMurray—Cold Lake, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Laila Goodridge Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 32,456 votes
Turnout
62.0% of 80,326 electors
Population
110,515 2021 census
Area
147,515 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Highest household income: Median household income $145,000, the highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)1st
    Highest household income
    Median household income $145,000, the highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)
  • Widest margin in Canada: Won by 65.7 points (32,456 votes) · 7th of 3437th
    Widest margin in Canada
    Won by 65.7 points (32,456 votes) · 7th of 343
  • Largest by area in Alberta: 147,515 km² · 2nd of 37 in Alberta · 15th of 343 in Canada2nd
    Largest by area in Alberta
    147,515 km² · 2nd of 37 in Alberta · 15th of 343 in Canada
  • Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59
    Boundaries unchanged in 2023
    Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
In brief
  1. Laila Goodridge held the seat for the Conservatives by 32,456 votes (+65.7 points).
  2. The boundaries did not change in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 55.8% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median total household income is the 1st highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Laila Goodridge
Conservative · first elected 2021-09-20 · 2 terms
  • Member: Human Resources, Skills and Social Development and the Status of Persons with Disabilities
  • Member: Status of Women
113 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.

IDid this riding change?

Essentially no. Today's Fort McMurray—Cold Lake covers almost exactly the same ground as the Fort McMurray—Cold Lake riding it replaced.

How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Laila Goodridge
Conservative
39,649
80.2% of valid votes
Margin
32,456
votes · +65.7 pts
Runner-up
Kaitlyn Staines
Liberal
7,193
14.5% of valid votes
Conservative 80.2% · Liberal 14.5% · New Democratic 2.7% · People's 1.8%
Turnout62.0% of 80,326 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Laila GoodridgeConservative39,64980.2%67.3%+12.9
Kaitlyn StainesLiberal7,19314.5%7.0%+7.5
You-Ju ChoiNew Democratic1,3372.7%10.0%−7.3
Alan ClarkePeople's8961.8%12.6%−10.8
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Brian DeheerGreen2900.6%
Kulbir ChawlaIndependent1010.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
32.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,337 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 32,456-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
4 of 164
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (160) · ■ won by another party (4).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 16,229 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 32.8% of the 49,466 valid votes, 32.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative39,649
Liberal7,193
Still Conservative by 32,456 votes. Actual margin: 32,456.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 55.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative79.9%80.5%+0.6
Liberal14.2%15.0%+0.8
New Democratic2.9%2.5%−0.4
People's2.2%1.4%−0.8
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Fort McMurray—Cold Lake and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 48025AB · 2025
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake
Laila Goodridge
Result
Conservative hold by 32,456
Turnout
62.0%
Population
110,515
Area
147,515 km²
Highest household income: Median household income $145,000, the highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)1stHighest household incomeWidest margin in Canada: Won by 65.7 points (32,456 votes) · 7th of 3437thWidest margin in CanadaLargest by area in Alberta: 147,515 km² · 2nd of 37 in Alberta · 15th of 343 in Canada2ndLargest by area in AlbertaBoundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59Boundaries unchanged in 2023
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.