The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Lakeland
Federal riding · AB · No. 48027 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Shannon Stubbs Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 38,940 votes
- Turnout
- 69.6% of 81,581 electors
- Population
- 105,645 2021 census
- Area
- 31,774 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Widest margin in CanadaWon by 68.8 points (38,940 votes) · 6th of 343
- Least populous in Alberta105,645 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 37 in Alberta · 100th of 343 in Canada
- Boundaries unchanged in 2023Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Shannon Stubbs
- Member: Exercise of Powers Under the Building Canada Act
- Member: Natural Resources
- Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Vice-Chair: Natural Resources
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Lakeland covers almost exactly the same ground as the Lakeland riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Shannon Stubbs
Conservative
45,826
81.0% of valid votes
Margin
38,940
votes · +68.8 pts
Runner-up
Barry Milaney
Liberal
6,886
12.2% of valid votes
Conservative 81.0% · Liberal 12.2% · New Democratic 3.8% · People's 1.7%
Turnout69.6% of 81,581 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Stubbs | Conservative | 45,826 | 81.0% | 69.1% | +11.9 |
| Barry Milaney | Liberal | 6,886 | 12.2% | 4.9% | +7.3 |
| Des Bissonnette | New Democratic | 2,153 | 3.8% | 10.5% | −6.7 |
| Michael Manchen | People's | 982 | 1.7% | 11.0% | −9.3 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Bridget Burns | Green | 411 | 0.7% |
| Micheal Speirs | Other | 335 | 0.6% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
34.4 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,153 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 38,940-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
7 of 194
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 19,471 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 34.4% of the 56,593 valid votes, 34.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative45,826
Liberal6,886
Still Conservative by 38,940 votes. Actual margin: 38,940.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 61.2% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative80.6%81.6%+1.0
Liberal12.0%12.4%+0.4
New Democratic4.0%3.5%−0.5
People's1.9%1.5%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $84,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest162nd highest of 343
- Median age is 41.2 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest161st lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 14.5% — about 51 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest22nd lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 7.6% — about 44 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest88th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 77.1% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest95th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 2.6% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest126th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 48027AB · 2025
Lakeland
Shannon Stubbs
- Result
- Conservative hold by 38,940
- Turnout
- 69.6%
- Population
- 105,645
- Area
- 31,774 km²
Widest margin in CanadaLeast populous in AlbertaBoundaries unchanged in 2023
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.