The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes

Federal riding · ON · No. 35052 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Michael Barrett Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 3,781 votes
Turnout
73.8% of 91,042 electors
Population
104,070 2021 census
Area
3,898 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59
    Boundaries unchanged in 2023
    Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
  • Turnout: 73.8% of 91,042 electors voted · 55th of 343 in Canada55th
    Turnout
    73.8% of 91,042 electors voted · 55th of 343 in Canada
  • Closeness of the race: Won by 3,781 votes (5.6 pts) · 84th of 343 in Canada84th
    Closeness of the race
    Won by 3,781 votes (5.6 pts) · 84th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Michael Barrett held the seat for the Conservatives by 3,781 votes (+5.6 points).
  2. The boundaries did not change in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 53.6% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 19th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Michael Barrett
Conservative · first elected 2018-12-03 · 4 terms
  • Member: Access to Information, Privacy and Ethics
  • Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
163 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Department of Finance—Main Estimates, 2026-27.

IDid this riding change?

Essentially no. Today's Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes covers almost exactly the same ground as the Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes riding it replaced.

How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Michael Barrett
Conservative
33,437
50.0% of valid votes
Margin
3,781
votes · +5.6 pts
Runner-up
Lorna Jean Edmonds
Liberal
29,656
44.4% of valid votes
Conservative 50.0% · Liberal 44.4% · New Democratic 3.5% · Green 1.2%
Turnout73.8% of 91,042 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Michael BarrettConservative33,43750.0%50.2%−0.2
Lorna Jean EdmondsLiberal29,65644.4%25.0%+19.4
Paul LancioneNew Democratic2,3413.5%14.9%−11.4
Randi RamdeenGreen7811.2%3.6%−2.4
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Hailey SimpsonPeople's5960.9%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
2.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,341 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 3,781-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
46 of 204
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (156) · ■ won by another party (46) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,891 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 2.8% of the 66,811 valid votes, 2.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative33,437
Liberal29,656
Still Conservative by 3,781 votes. Actual margin: 3,781.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 53.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative54.1%45.4%−8.7
Liberal39.4%50.2%+10.8
New Democratic4.1%2.8%−1.3
Green1.4%0.9%−0.5
People's1.1%0.6%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35052ON · 2025
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes
Michael Barrett
Result
Conservative hold by 3,781
Turnout
73.8%
Population
104,070
Area
3,898 km²
Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59Boundaries unchanged in 2023Turnout: 73.8% of 91,042 electors voted · 55th of 343 in Canada55thTurnoutCloseness of the race: Won by 3,781 votes (5.6 pts) · 84th of 343 in Canada84thCloseness of the race
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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