The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Carleton
Federal riding · ON · No. 35020 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Bruce Fanjoy Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal gain by 4,513 votes
- Turnout
- 81.4% of 106,504 electors
- Population
- 124,305 2021 census
- Area
- 1,989 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Most candidates on the ballot in Canada91 candidates stood · 1st of 343
- Most home owners89.5% of households own their home, the highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)
- Highest turnout in Canada81.4% of 106,504 electors voted · 2nd of 343
- Highest household incomeMedian household income $135,000, 3rd highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
- Decided before election dayOn election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Bruce Fanjoy
- Member: Environment and Sustainable Development
- Member: Veterans Affairs
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 41% of today's Carleton came from ridings other than the old Carleton.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
59.4%Carleton 96% of it kept
33.6%Kanata—Carleton 80% of it kept
3.8%Nepean 42% of it kept
2.5%Orléans 23% of it kept
0.7%Glengarry—Prescott—Russell 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal gain
Elected
Bruce Fanjoy
Liberal
43,846
50.9% of valid votes
Margin
4,513
votes · +5.2 pts
Runner-up
Pierre Poilievre
Conservative
39,333
45.7% of valid votes
Liberal 50.9% · Conservative 45.7% · New Democratic 1.4%
Turnout81.4% of 106,504 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal | 43,846 | 50.9% | 31.7% | +19.2 |
| Pierre Poilievre | Conservative | 39,333 | 45.7% | 51.6% | −5.9 |
| Beth Prokaska | New Democratic | 1,221 | 1.4% | 11.3% | −9.9 |
88 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Mark Watson | Green | 561 | 0.7% |
| Karen Bourdeau | Other | 112 | 0.1% |
| Shawn MacEachern | Other | 63 | 0.1% |
| Lorant Polya | Independent | 57 | 0.1% |
| Scott Falkingham | Independent | 45 | 0.1% |
| Sana Ahmad | Independent | 41 | 0.0% |
| Pierre Gauthier | Independent | 38 | 0.0% |
| Danny Légaré | Other | 37 | 0.0% |
| Guillaume Paradis | Independent | 37 | 0.0% |
| Dan Kyung | Independent | 35 | 0.0% |
| Sébastien CoRhino | Other | 31 | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burke | Independent | 27 | 0.0% |
| Mark Moutter | Independent | 23 | 0.0% |
| David Zhu | Independent | 21 | 0.0% |
| Charlie Currie | Independent | 20 | 0.0% |
| John Dale | Independent | 20 | 0.0% |
| Euan Fraser Tait | Independent | 18 | 0.0% |
| John Boylan | Independent | 17 | 0.0% |
| Alex Banks | Independent | 16 | 0.0% |
| Mélodie Anderson | Independent | 16 | 0.0% |
| David Nguyen | Independent | 15 | 0.0% |
| Michael Bednarski | Independent | 15 | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bearden | Independent | 14 | 0.0% |
| Seyed Hosseini Lavasani | Independent | 13 | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Engering | Independent | 12 | 0.0% |
| Darcy Vanderwater | Independent | 12 | 0.0% |
| Jeani Boudreault | Independent | 12 | 0.0% |
| Lajos Polya | Independent | 12 | 0.0% |
| Daniel Stuckless | Independent | 11 | 0.0% |
| Donald McKay | Independent | 11 | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Goodman | Independent | 11 | 0.0% |
| Jenny Cartwright | Independent | 11 | 0.0% |
| Charles Lemieux | Independent | 10 | 0.0% |
| Laina Kohler | Independent | 10 | 0.0% |
| Maria Gabriel | Independent | 10 | 0.0% |
| Marthalee Aykroyd | Independent | 9 | 0.0% |
| Ryan Huard | Independent | 9 | 0.0% |
| Sarah Thompson | Independent | 9 | 0.0% |
| Alain Bourgault | Independent | 8 | 0.0% |
| Andrea Hollinger | Independent | 8 | 0.0% |
| Connie Lukawski | Independent | 8 | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gagnon | Independent | 8 | 0.0% |
| John Francis O'Flynn | Independent | 8 | 0.0% |
| Robert Harris | Independent | 8 | 0.0% |
| Julian Selody | Independent | 7 | 0.0% |
| Michal Wieczorek | Independent | 7 | 0.0% |
| Peter Gorman | Independent | 7 | 0.0% |
| Agnieszka Marszalek | Independent | 6 | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lein | Independent | 6 | 0.0% |
| Blake Hamilton | Independent | 6 | 0.0% |
| Hakim Sheriff | Independent | 6 | 0.0% |
| Line Bélanger | Independent | 6 | 0.0% |
| Loren Hicks | Independent | 6 | 0.0% |
| Alain Lamontagne | Independent | 5 | 0.0% |
| David Cherniak | Independent | 5 | 0.0% |
| Elliot Wand | Independent | 5 | 0.0% |
| Kevin Krisa | Independent | 5 | 0.0% |
| Lény Painchaud | Independent | 5 | 0.0% |
| Tetia Bayoro | Independent | 5 | 0.0% |
| Winston Neutel | Independent | 5 | 0.0% |
| Christopher Navarro-Canseco | Independent | 4 | 0.0% |
| Dante Camarena Jimenez | Independent | 4 | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Dogger | Independent | 4 | 0.0% |
| Gregory Gillis | Independent | 4 | 0.0% |
| Jaël Champagne Gareau | Independent | 4 | 0.0% |
| Lanna Palsson | Independent | 4 | 0.0% |
| Patrick Strzalkowski | Independent | 4 | 0.0% |
| Spencer Rocchi | Independent | 4 | 0.0% |
| Artem Gudkov | Independent | 3 | 0.0% |
| Julie St-Amand | Independent | 3 | 0.0% |
| Kerri Hildebrandt | Independent | 3 | 0.0% |
| Krzysztof Krzywinski | Independent | 3 | 0.0% |
| Manon Marie Lili Desbiens | Independent | 3 | 0.0% |
| Michael Skirzynski | Independent | 3 | 0.0% |
| Roger Sherwood | Independent | 3 | 0.0% |
| Samuel Lafontaine | Independent | 3 | 0.0% |
| Trevor Holsworth | Independent | 3 | 0.0% |
| Yogo Shimada | Independent | 3 | 0.0% |
| Anthony Hamel | Independent | 2 | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Teichman | Independent | 2 | 0.0% |
| Daniel Graham | Independent | 2 | 0.0% |
| Demetrios Karavas | Independent | 2 | 0.0% |
| Pascal St-Amand | Independent | 2 | 0.0% |
| Sheri Oberman | Independent | 2 | 0.0% |
| Wallace Richard Rowat | Independent | 2 | 0.0% |
| Zornitsa Halacheva | Independent | 2 | 0.0% |
| Joseph Maw | Independent | 1 | 0.0% |
| Ysack Dupont | Independent | 0 | 0.0% |
An unusually long ballot. 91 candidates stood here.
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
2.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,221 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 4,513-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
112 of 226
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,257 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 2.6% of the 86,060 valid votes, 2.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal43,846
Conservative39,333
Still Liberal by 4,513 votes. Actual margin: 4,513.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 42.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative48.4%43.7%−4.7
Liberal47.5%53.5%+6.0
New Democratic1.8%1.2%−0.6
Independent1.2%0.8%−0.4
Green0.8%0.6%−0.2
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $135,000 — about 1.6 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest3rd highest of 343
- Median age is 41.6 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest163rd highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 44.0% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest68th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 16.9% — about the same as the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest171st lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 89.5% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest1st highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 7.0% — about 4.4 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest98th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35020ON · 2025
Carleton
Bruce Fanjoy
- Result
- Liberal gain by 4,513
- Turnout
- 81.4%
- Population
- 124,305
- Area
- 1,989 km²
Most candidates on the ballot in CanadaMost home ownersHighest turnout in CanadaHighest household incomeChanged hands in 2025Decided before election day
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.