The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35051Ontario

Lanark—Frontenac

Lanark—Frontenac is a federal riding in Ontario. Scott Reid (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2000) represents Lanark—Frontenac. Scott Reid (Conservative) held Lanark—Frontenac for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 3,286 votes (4.8 points), with 50.4% of the vote. Michelle Foxton (Liberal) was second with 45.6%, on a turnout of 75.9% of 89,989 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Lanark—Frontenac on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Lanark—Frontenac

Scott Reid's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Scott Reid

Member of Parliament for Lanark—Frontenac

Conservative

MP since 2000-11-27 · 9 terms

caucus Chair

51 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Lanark—Frontenac, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 67,813 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Scott Reid	Conservative	34,186	50.4%
Michelle Foxton	Liberal	30,900	45.6%
Danielle Rae	New Democratic	1,986	2.9%
Jesse Pauley	Green	741	1.1%

Scott Reid (Conservative) won Lanark—Frontenac on April 28, 2025 with 34,186 votes, 50.4% of the 67,813 valid votes. Michelle Foxton (Liberal) was second with 30,900 (45.6%), 3,286 votes and 4.8 points behind.

Of the 67,813 valid votes, Scott Reid (Conservative) took 50.4%, Michelle Foxton (Liberal) 45.6%, Danielle Rae (New Democratic) 2.9% and Jesse Pauley (Green) 1.1%. Turnout was 75.9% of 89,989 electors: 68,278 ballots cast, 67,813 of them valid, for 4 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 1.0 (49.4% to 50.4%), the Liberals up 19.9 (25.7% to 45.6%), the New Democrats down 12.3 (15.2% to 2.9%) and the Greens down 1.6 (2.7% to 1.1%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Lanark—Frontenac at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative49.0%by 17.5 points over the Liberals
2006Conservative51.8%by 27.3 points over the Liberals
2008Conservative56.2%by 34.3 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative57.2%by 37.5 points over the New Democrats
2015Conservative47.9%by 14.1 points over the Liberals
2019Conservative48.1%by 23.4 points over the Liberals
2021Conservative49.4%by 23.7 points over the Liberals
2025Conservative50.4%by 4.8 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	49.0%	Liberal	17.5	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	51.8%	Liberal	27.3	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	56.2%	Liberal	34.3	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	57.2%	New Democratic	37.5	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	47.9%	Liberal	14.1	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	48.1%	Liberal	23.4	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	49.4%	Liberal	23.7	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	50.4%	Liberal	4.8	official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 22.8 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 50.4% of the vote here, 1.0 point below their average of 51.4% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (49.0%), 2006 (51.8%), 2008 (56.2%), 2011 (57.2%), 2015 (47.9%), 2019 (48.1%), 2021 (49.4%) and 2025 (50.4%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Scott Reid, by 14,144 votes (22.5 pts)
2019 Conservative · Scott Reid, by 14,636 votes (23.4 pts)
2015 Conservative · Scott Reid, by 8,074 votes (14.1 pts)

In Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Lanark—Frontenac lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Lanark—Frontenac is

Population: 103,1252021 census
Area: 7,025km²
Density: 15people per km²
Electors: 89,989on the 2025 lists

Median age is 49.6 — about 1.2 times the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest28th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 81.9% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest42nd highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 6.5% — about 38 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest73rd lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 20.6% — about 73 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest105th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 3.3% — about 2.1 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest114th highest of 343
Median total household income is $89,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest122nd highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Lanark—Frontenac, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston, but it is only 96% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston 100.0% of the area · 96% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Scott Reid	Conservative	34,186	50.4%	49.4%	+1.0
Michelle Foxton	Liberal	30,900	45.6%	25.7%	+19.9
Danielle Rae	New Democratic	1,986	2.9%	15.2%	−12.3
Jesse Pauley	Green	741	1.1%	2.7%	−1.6

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,986 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 3,286-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

38 of 225

3 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (184) · ■ won by another party (38) · ▨ tied (3).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,644 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 2.4% of the 67,813 valid votes, 2.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 003,288

Conservative34,186

Liberal30,900

Still Conservative by 3,286 votes. Actual margin: 3,286.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 50.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 40.0%, the Conservatives 55.0%, the New Democrats 3.5% and the Greens 1.4%; in advance and special ballots, 51.1%, 45.8%, 2.4% and 0.8%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Lanark—Frontenac, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	40.0%	51.1%	+11.1
Conservative	55.0%	45.8%	−9.2
New Democratic	3.5%	2.4%	−1.1
Green	1.4%	0.8%	−0.6

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Lanark—Frontenac and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Lanark—Frontenac — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/lanark-frontenac/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.