The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Lanark—Frontenac

Federal riding · ON · No. 35051 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Lanark—Frontenac, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Scott Reid Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 3,286 votes
Turnout
75.9% of 89,989 electors
Population
103,125 2021 census
Area
7,025 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Turnout: 75.9% of 89,989 electors voted · 21st of 343 in Canada21st
    Turnout
    75.9% of 89,989 electors voted · 21st of 343 in Canada
  • Closeness of the race: Won by 3,286 votes (4.8 pts) · 66th of 343 in Canada66th
    Closeness of the race
    Won by 3,286 votes (4.8 pts) · 66th of 343 in Canada
  • Population, smallest first: 103,125 people, 2021 census · 82nd of 343 in Canada82nd
    Population, smallest first
    103,125 people, 2021 census · 82nd of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Scott Reid held the seat for the Conservatives by 3,286 votes (+4.8 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 96% of the old Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 50.0% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 28th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Scott Reid
Conservative · first elected 2000-11-27 · 9 terms
  • caucus Chair
46 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Lanark—Frontenac comes from the old Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston, but it is only 96% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston 96% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Scott Reid
Conservative
34,186
50.4% of valid votes
Margin
3,286
votes · +4.8 pts
Runner-up
Michelle Foxton
Liberal
30,900
45.6% of valid votes
Conservative 50.4% · Liberal 45.6% · New Democratic 2.9% · Green 1.1%
Turnout75.9% of 89,989 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Scott ReidConservative34,18650.4%49.4%+1.0
Michelle FoxtonLiberal30,90045.6%25.7%+19.9
Danielle RaeNew Democratic1,9862.9%15.2%−12.3
Jesse PauleyGreen7411.1%2.7%−1.6
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
2.4 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,986 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 3,286-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
38 of 225
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (184) · ■ won by another party (38) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,644 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 2.4% of the 67,813 valid votes, 2.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative34,186
Liberal30,900
Still Conservative by 3,286 votes. Actual margin: 3,286.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 50.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative55.0%45.8%−9.2
Liberal40.0%51.1%+11.1
New Democratic3.5%2.4%−1.1
Green1.4%0.8%−0.6
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Lanark—Frontenac and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35051ON · 2025
Lanark—Frontenac
Scott Reid
Result
Conservative hold by 3,286
Turnout
75.9%
Population
103,125
Area
7,025 km²
Turnout: 75.9% of 89,989 electors voted · 21st of 343 in Canada21stTurnoutCloseness of the race: Won by 3,286 votes (4.8 pts) · 66th of 343 in Canada66thCloseness of the racePopulation, smallest first: 103,125 people, 2021 census · 82nd of 343 in Canada82ndPopulation, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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