The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 24039Quebec

Les Pays-d'en-Haut

Name: 2025 Canadian federal election in Les Pays-d'en-Haut
Start: 2025-04-28
End: 2025-04-28

Les Pays-d'en-Haut is a federal riding in Quebec. Tim Watchorn (Liberal) has represented Les Pays-d'en-Haut since the 2025 election. Tim Watchorn (Liberal) took Les Pays-d'en-Haut from the Bloc Québécois in the 2025 election by 3,217 votes (4.9 points), with 41.0% of the vote. Ariane Charbonneau (Bloc Québécois) was second with 36.1%, on a turnout of 69.7% of 95,508 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Les Pays-d'en-Haut on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Les Pays-d'en-Haut

Tim Watchorn's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Tim Watchorn

Member of Parliament for Les Pays-d'en-Haut

Liberal

MP since 2025-04-28 · first term

Environment and Sustainable Development committee
National Defence committee

87 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Apology to Those Whose Land Was Expropriated in Mirabel.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal gain from the Bloc Québécois

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Les Pays-d'en-Haut, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 65,703 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Tim Watchorn	Liberal	26,967	41.0%
Ariane Charbonneau	Bloc Québécois	23,750	36.1%
Vincent Leroux	Conservative	11,816	18.0%
Eric-Abel Baland	New Democratic	1,493	2.3%
Karine Steinberger	Green	1,038	1.6%
George Mogiljansky	People's Party	639	1.0%

Tim Watchorn (Liberal) won Les Pays-d'en-Haut on April 28, 2025 with 26,967 votes, 41.0% of the 65,703 valid votes. Ariane Charbonneau (Bloc Québécois) was second with 23,750 (36.1%), 3,217 votes and 4.9 points behind.

Of the 65,703 valid votes, Tim Watchorn (Liberal) took 41.0%, Ariane Charbonneau (Bloc Québécois) 36.1%, Vincent Leroux (Conservative) 18.0%, Eric-Abel Baland (New Democratic) 2.3%, Karine Steinberger (Green) 1.6% and George Mogiljansky (People's Party) 1.0%. Turnout was 69.7% of 95,508 electors: 66,551 ballots cast, 65,703 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 15.6 (25.4% to 41.0%), the Bloc Québécois down 10.6 (46.7% to 36.1%), the Conservatives up 6.5 (11.5% to 18.0%), the New Democrats down 4.5 (6.8% to 2.3%) and the Greens up 0.1 (1.5% to 1.6%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Les Pays-d'en-Haut at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Bloc Québécois62.4%by 37.7 points over the Liberals
2006Bloc Québécois56.1%by 34.8 points over the Conservatives
2008Bloc Québécois50.6%by 31.8 points over the Liberals
2011changed handsNew Democratic49.1%by 19.2 points over the Bloc Québécois
2015†changed handsLiberal31.0%by 1.6 points over the Bloc Québécois
2019changed handsBloc Québécois48.5%by 19.9 points over the Liberals
2021Bloc Québécois46.7%by 21.2 points over the Liberals
2025changed handsLiberal41.0%by 4.9 points over the Bloc Québécois

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Bloc Québécois	62.4%	Liberal	37.7	carried, our estimate
2006	Bloc Québécois	56.1%	Conservative	34.8	carried, our estimate
2008	Bloc Québécois	50.6%	Liberal	31.8	carried, our estimate
2011	New Democratic	49.1%	Bloc Québécois	19.2	carried, our estimate
2015†	Liberal	31.0%	Bloc Québécois	1.6	carried, our estimate
2019	Bloc Québécois	48.5%	Liberal	19.9	carried, our estimate
2021	Bloc Québécois	46.7%	Liberal	21.2	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	41.0%	Bloc Québécois	4.9	official result

The Bloc Québécois were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at two and the NDP at one; it changed hands four times. In 2025 the Liberals took 41.0% of the vote here, 19.6 points above their average of 21.4% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Bloc Québécois were first here in 2004 (62.4%), 2006 (56.1%), 2008 (50.6%), 2019 (48.5%) and 2021 (46.7%), the NDP in 2011 (49.1%) and the Liberals in 2015 (31.0%) and 2025 (41.0%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2015 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Bloc Québécois · Marie-Hélène Gaudreau, by 16,167 votes (25.2 pts)
2019 Bloc Québécois · Marie-Hélène Gaudreau, by 8,970 votes (13.7 pts)
2015 Liberal · David Graham, by 1,485 votes (2.4 pts)

In Laurentides—Labelle on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Les Pays-d'en-Haut lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Les Pays-d'en-Haut is

Population: 106,8302021 census
Area: 1,804km²
Density: 59people per km²
Electors: 95,508on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Changed hands in 2025
One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (12 of 78 in Quebec)
Decided before election day
On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343

Median age is 50.0 — about 1.2 times the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest24th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 89.5% — about 55.9 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest32nd highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 80.9% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest52nd highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 5.2% — about 30 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest59th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 20.9% — about 74 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest107th lowest of 343
Median total household income is $77,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest121st lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 34% of the 2025 electors in today's Les Pays-d'en-Haut lived in the old Laurentides—Labelle; by area, 37% of the riding came from the old Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

33.5%Laurentides—Labelle 19.5% of the area · 2% of it kept

23.7%Rivière-du-Nord 9.6% of the area · 45% of it kept

15.4%Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation 36.8% of the area · 12% of it kept

14.4%Mirabel 5.4% of the area · 11% of it kept

6.6%Montcalm 8.3% of the area · 17% of it kept

6.3%Joliette 20.5% of the area · 4% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Tim Watchorn	Liberal	26,967	41.0%	25.4%	+15.6
Ariane Charbonneau	Bloc Québécois	23,750	36.1%	46.7%	−10.6
Vincent Leroux	Conservative	11,816	18.0%	11.5%	+6.5
Eric-Abel Baland	New Democratic	1,493	2.3%	6.8%	−4.5
Karine Steinberger	Green	1,038	1.6%	1.5%	+0.1
George Mogiljansky	People's	639	1.0%	4.3%	−3.3

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

11,816 votes

Conservative took more than the 3,217-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.

Election-day polls won by others

105 of 182

1 poll ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (76) · ■ won by another party (105) · ▨ tied (1).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,609 voters switching from Liberal to Bloc Québécois — 2.4% of the 65,703 valid votes, 2.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 003,218

Liberal26,967

Bloc Québécois23,750

Still Liberal by 3,217 votes. Actual margin: 3,217.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 54.2% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Bloc Québécois led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.

On election day the Liberals took 34.7%, the Bloc Québécois 37.8%, the Conservatives 21.6%, the New Democrats 2.7%, the Greens 2.0% and the People's Party 1.2%; in advance and special ballots, 48.5%, 34.2%, 13.7%, 1.8%, 1.1% and 0.7%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Les Pays-d'en-Haut, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	34.7%	48.5%	+13.8
Bloc Québécois	37.8%	34.2%	−3.6
Conservative	21.6%	13.7%	−7.9
New Democratic	2.7%	1.8%	−0.9
Green	2.0%	1.1%	−0.9
People's Party	1.2%	0.7%	−0.5

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Les Pays-d'en-Haut and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Les Pays-d'en-Haut — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/les-pays-d-en-haut/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.