The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Les Pays-d'en-Haut

Federal riding · QC · No. 24039 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Les Pays-d'en-Haut, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Tim Watchorn Liberal
2025 result
Liberal gain by 3,217 votes
Turnout
69.7% of 95,508 electors
Population
106,830 2021 census
Area
1,804 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (12 of 78 in Quebec)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (12 of 78 in Quebec)
  • Decided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327
    Decided before election day
    On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
  • Length of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61st
    Length of the ballot
    6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Tim Watchorn took the seat for the Liberals by 3,217 votes (+4.9 points).
  2. 63% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. On election day alone, the Bloc Québécoiss led; advance and special ballots decided it.
  4. Median age is the 24th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Tim Watchorn
Liberal · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Member: Environment and Sustainable Development
  • Member: National Defence
72 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Apology to Those Whose Land Was Expropriated in Mirabel.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 63% of today's Les Pays-d'en-Haut came from ridings other than the old Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
36.8%Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation 12% of it kept
20.5%Joliette 4% of it kept
19.5%Laurentides—Labelle 2% of it kept
9.6%Rivière-du-Nord 45% of it kept
8.3%Montcalm 17% of it kept
5.4%Mirabel 11% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal gain
Elected
Tim Watchorn
Liberal
26,967
41.0% of valid votes
Margin
3,217
votes · +4.9 pts
Runner-up
Ariane Charbonneau
Bloc Québécois
23,750
36.1% of valid votes
Liberal 41.0% · Bloc Québécois 36.1% · Conservative 18.0% · New Democratic 2.3% · Green 1.6% · People's 1.0%
Turnout69.7% of 95,508 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Tim WatchornLiberal26,96741.0%25.4%+15.6
Ariane CharbonneauBloc Québécois23,75036.1%46.7%−10.6
Vincent LerouxConservative11,81618.0%11.5%+6.5
Eric-Abel BalandNew Democratic1,4932.3%6.8%−4.5
Karine SteinbergerGreen1,0381.6%1.5%+0.1
George MogiljanskyPeople's6391.0%4.3%−3.3
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
2.5 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
11,816 votes
Conservative took more than the 3,217-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
105 of 182
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (76) · ■ won by another party (105) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,609 voters switching from Liberal to Bloc Québécois — 2.4% of the 65,703 valid votes, 2.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal26,967
Bloc Québécois23,750
Still Liberal by 3,217 votes. Actual margin: 3,217.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 54.2% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Bloc Québécoiss led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Bloc Québécois37.8%34.2%−3.6
Liberal34.7%48.5%+13.8
Conservative21.6%13.7%−7.9
New Democratic2.7%1.8%−0.9
Green2.0%1.1%−0.9
People's1.2%0.7%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Les Pays-d'en-Haut and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 24039QC · 2025
Les Pays-d'en-Haut
Tim Watchorn
Result
Liberal gain by 3,217
Turnout
69.7%
Population
106,830
Area
1,804 km²
Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (12 of 78 in Quebec)58Changed hands in 2025Decided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327Decided before election dayLength of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61stLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.