72 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Apology to Those Whose Land Was Expropriated in Mirabel.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 63% of today's Les Pays-d'en-Haut came from ridings other than the old Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
36.8%Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation 12% of it kept
20.5%Joliette 4% of it kept
19.5%Laurentides—Labelle 2% of it kept
9.6%Rivière-du-Nord 45% of it kept
8.3%Montcalm 17% of it kept
5.4%Mirabel 11% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal gain
Elected
Tim Watchorn
Liberal
26,967
41.0% of valid votes
Margin
3,217
votes · +4.9 pts
Runner-up
Ariane Charbonneau
Bloc Québécois
23,750
36.1% of valid votes
Liberal 41.0% · Bloc Québécois 36.1% · Conservative 18.0% · New Democratic 2.3% · Green 1.6% · People's 1.0%
Turnout69.7% of 95,508 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Tim Watchorn
Liberal
26,967
41.0%
25.4%
+15.6
Ariane Charbonneau
Bloc Québécois
23,750
36.1%
46.7%
−10.6
Vincent Leroux
Conservative
11,816
18.0%
11.5%
+6.5
Eric-Abel Baland
New Democratic
1,493
2.3%
6.8%
−4.5
Karine Steinberger
Green
1,038
1.6%
1.5%
+0.1
George Mogiljansky
People's
639
1.0%
4.3%
−3.3
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
2.5 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
11,816 votes
Conservative took more than the 3,217-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
105 of 182
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (76) · ■ won by another party (105) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 1,609 voters switching from Liberal to Bloc Québécois — 2.4% of the 65,703 valid votes, 2.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal26,967
Bloc Québécois23,750
Still Liberal by 3,217 votes. Actual margin: 3,217.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 54.2% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Bloc Québécoiss led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Bloc Québécois37.8%34.2%−3.6
Liberal34.7%48.5%+13.8
Conservative21.6%13.7%−7.9
New Democratic2.7%1.8%−0.9
Green2.0%1.1%−0.9
People's1.2%0.7%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $77,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest121st lowest of 343
Median age is 50.0 — about 1.2 times the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest24th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 20.9% — about 74 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest107th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 5.2% — about 30 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest59th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 80.9% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest52nd highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 89.5% — about 55.9 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest32nd highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Les Pays-d'en-Haut and its 6 neighbouring ridings.
Changed hands in 2025Decided before election dayLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.