The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Montcalm
Federal riding · QC · No. 24050 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Luc Thériault Bloc Québécois
- 2025 result
- Bloc Québécois hold by 11,499 votes
- Turnout
- 63.9% of 93,551 electors
- Population
- 111,955 2021 census
- Area
- 756 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Turnout, lowest first63.9% of 93,551 electors voted · 64th of 343 in Canada
- Width of the marginWon by 19.7 points (11,499 votes) · 141st of 343 in Canada
- Area, largest first756 km² · 152nd of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Luc Thériault held the seat for the Bloc Québécoiss by 11,499 votes (+19.7 points).
- The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 83% of the old Montcalm.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 66.6% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 13th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Luc Thériault
- Member: Access to Information, Privacy and Ethics
- Member: Medical Assistance in Dying
- Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Montcalm comes from the old Montcalm, but it is only 83% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.9%Montcalm 83% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Bloc Québécois hold
Elected
Luc Thériault
Bloc Québécois
27,268
46.6% of valid votes
Margin
11,499
votes · +19.7 pts
Runner-up
Fatima Badran
Liberal
15,769
26.9% of valid votes
Bloc Québécois 46.6% · Liberal 26.9% · Conservative 23.2% · New Democratic 3.2%
Turnout63.9% of 93,551 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luc Thériault | Bloc Québécois | 27,268 | 46.6% | 51.9% | −5.3 |
| Fatima Badran | Liberal | 15,769 | 26.9% | 19.5% | +7.4 |
| Jean-Sébastien Lepage | Conservative | 13,589 | 23.2% | 11.4% | +11.8 |
| Denis Perreault | New Democratic | 1,893 | 3.2% | 6.1% | −2.9 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
9.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
13,589 votes
Conservative took more than the 11,499-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
15 of 213
4 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 5,750 voters switching from Bloc Québécois to Liberal — 9.8% of the 58,519 valid votes, 9.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Bloc Québécois27,268
Liberal15,769
Still Bloc Québécois by 11,499 votes. Actual margin: 11,499.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 66.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Bloc Québécois45.4%49.0%+3.6
Conservative26.1%17.5%−8.6
Liberal24.9%31.0%+6.1
New Democratic3.6%2.5%−1.1
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $84,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest162nd highest of 343
- Median age is 39.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest105th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 13.8% — about 49 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest13th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 4.9% — about 28 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest55th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 74.5% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest123rd highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 92.8% — about 58.0 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest22nd highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 24050QC · 2025
Montcalm
Luc Thériault
- Result
- Bloc Québécois hold by 11,499
- Turnout
- 63.9%
- Population
- 111,955
- Area
- 756 km²
Turnout, lowest firstWidth of the marginArea, largest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
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