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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 24047Quebec

Mirabel

Mirabel is a federal riding in Quebec. Jean-Denis Garon (Bloc Québécois, first elected to the House in 2021) represents Mirabel. Jean-Denis Garon (Bloc Québécois) held Mirabel for the Bloc Québécois in the 2025 election by 3,698 votes (6.5 points), with 39.9% of the vote. Robert Fleming (Liberal) was second with 33.4%, on a turnout of 69.3% of 82,613 electors. Member as of .

Argenteuil—Papineau—Des Collines · LiberalLac-Saint-Louis · LiberalLes Pays-d'en-Haut · LiberalPierrefonds—Dollard · LiberalRivière-des-Mille-Îles · LiberalRivière-du-Nord · Bloc QuébécoisThérèse-De Blainville · LiberalVaudreuil · LiberalMirabel
Fig. 1 — Mirabel on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Mirabel

BJean-Denis Garon
Jean-Denis Garon's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Jean-Denis Garon

Member of Parliament for Mirabel

Bloc Québécois

MP since · 2 terms

  • Finance committee
  • Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
  • Vice-Chair, Finance committee

388 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Inflation and Budgetary Policy — Opposition Motion—Canada Carbon Rebate and Payment to Quebec — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Bloc Québécois hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Mirabel, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Mirabel, April 28, 2025Of the 56,359 valid votes, Jean-Denis Garon (Bloc Québécois) took 39.9%, Robert Fleming (Liberal) 33.4%, Serge Dubord (Conservative) 22.3%, Albert Batten (New Democratic) 2.4% and Mario Guay (Green) 1.4%; one other candidate took 0.7%.2025Turnout 69.3% of 82,613 electorsJean-Denis GaronBloc Québécois39.9% · 22,4943,698 votes ahead · 6.6 ptsRobert FlemingLiberal33.4% · 18,796Serge DubordConservative22.3% · 12,544Albert BattenNew Democratic2.4% · 1,333Mario GuayGreen1.4% · 792Other (1)0.7% · 400050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Mirabel, April 28, 2025Of the 56,359 valid votes, Jean-Denis Garon (Bloc Québécois) took 39.9%, Robert Fleming (Liberal) 33.4%, Serge Dubord (Conservative) 22.3%, Albert Batten (New Democratic) 2.4% and Mario Guay (Green) 1.4%; one other candidate took 0.7%.2025Turnout 69.3% of 82,613 electorsJean-Denis GaronBloc Québécois39.9% · 22,4943,698 votes ahead · 6.6 ptsRobert FlemingLiberal33.4% · 18,796Serge DubordConservative22.3% · 12,544Albert BattenNew Democratic2.4% · 1,333Mario GuayGreen1.4% · 792Other (1)0.7% · 400050%100%
Shares of the 56,359 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Jean-Denis GaronBloc Québécois22,49439.9%
Robert FlemingLiberal18,79633.4%
Serge DubordConservative12,54422.3%
Albert BattenNew Democratic1,3332.4%
Mario GuayGreen7921.4%
Other (1)4000.7%

Jean-Denis Garon (Bloc Québécois) won Mirabel on with 22,494 votes, 39.9% of the 56,359 valid votes. Robert Fleming (Liberal) was second with 18,796 (33.4%), 3,698 votes and 6.5 points behind.

Of the 56,359 valid votes, Jean-Denis Garon (Bloc Québécois) took 39.9%, Robert Fleming (Liberal) 33.4%, Serge Dubord (Conservative) 22.3%, Albert Batten (New Democratic) 2.4% and Mario Guay (Green) 1.4%; one other candidate took 0.7%. Turnout was 69.3% of 82,613 electors: 57,244 ballots cast, 56,359 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Bloc Québécois are down 5.0 (44.9% to 39.9%), the Liberals up 9.5 (23.9% to 33.4%), the Conservatives up 9.3 (13.0% to 22.3%), the New Democrats down 6.0 (8.4% to 2.4%) and the Greens down 0.7 (2.1% to 1.4%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: usually Bloc

The party first in Mirabel at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Bloc Québécois58.1%by 31.7 points over the Liberals
  2. 2006Bloc Québécois52.4%by 29.6 points over the Conservatives
  3. 2008Bloc Québécois47.7%by 29.7 points over the Liberals
  4. 2011changed handsNew Democratic45.2%by 16.3 points over the Bloc Québécois
  5. 2015†changed handsBloc Québécois31.4%by 1.3 points over the New Democrats
  6. 2019Bloc Québécois50.9%by 25.9 points over the Liberals
  7. 2021Bloc Québécois44.9%by 21.0 points over the Liberals
  8. 2025Bloc Québécois39.9%by 6.5 points over the Liberals
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Bloc Québécois58.1%Liberal31.7carried, our estimate
2006Bloc Québécois52.4%Conservative29.6carried, our estimate
2008Bloc Québécois47.7%Liberal29.7carried, our estimate
2011New Democratic45.2%Bloc Québécois16.3carried, our estimate
2015†Bloc Québécois31.4%New Democratic1.3carried, our estimate
2019Bloc Québécois50.9%Liberal25.9carried, our estimate
2021Bloc Québécois44.9%Liberal21.0transposed by Elections Canada
2025Bloc Québécois39.9%Liberal6.5official result

The Bloc Québécois were first here at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025; the NDP were first in 2011. In 2025 the Bloc Québécois took 39.9% of the vote here, 5.0 points below their average of 44.9% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Bloc Québécois were first here in 2004 (58.1%), 2006 (52.4%), 2008 (47.7%), 2015 (31.4%), 2019 (50.9%), 2021 (44.9%) and 2025 (39.9%) and the NDP in 2011 (45.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 83 of the 343 ridings are usually one party's. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2015 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Bloc Québécois · Jean-Denis Garon, by 14,534 votes (23.0 pts)
  • 2019 Bloc Québécois · Simon Marcil, by 17,057 votes (26.2 pts)
  • 2015 Bloc Québécois · Simon Marcil, by 837 votes (1.4 pts)

In the old Mirabel on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Mirabel lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Mirabel is

Population
100,6002021 census
Area
757km²
Density
133people per km²
Electors
82,613on the 2025 lists
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 89.3% — about 55.8 times the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest33rd highest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 6.6% — about 38 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest75th lowest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.2% — about 68 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest82nd lowest of 343
  • Median age is 38.8 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest89th lowest of 343
  • Median total household income is $90,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest112th highest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 72.9% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest149th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 98% of the 2025 electors in today's Mirabel lived in the old Mirabel; by area, 3% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
98.4%Mirabel 97.5% of the area · 79% of it kept
1.6%Rivière-des-Mille-Îles 2.5% of the area · 15% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Jean-Denis GaronBloc Québécois22,49439.9%44.9%−5.0
Robert FlemingLiberal18,79633.4%23.9%+9.5
Serge DubordConservative12,54422.3%13.0%+9.3
Albert BattenNew Democratic1,3332.4%8.4%−6.0
Mario GuayGreen7921.4%2.1%−0.7
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Christian MontpetitPeople's4000.7%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
12,544 votes
Conservative took more than the 3,698-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
42 of 177
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Bloc Québécois (133) · ■ won by another party (42) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,850 voters switching from Bloc Québécois to Liberal — 3.3% of the 56,359 valid votes, 3.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Bloc Québécois22,494
Liberal18,796
Still Bloc Québécois by 3,698 votes. Actual margin: 3,698.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 63.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Bloc Québécois took 39.8%, the Liberals 30.2%, the Conservatives 25.1%, the New Democrats 2.5% and the Greens 1.7%; in advance and special ballots, 40.2%, 38.8%, 17.5%, 2.1% and 0.9%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Mirabel, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Mirabel, April 28, 2025On election day the Bloc Québécois took 39.8%, the Liberals 30.2%, the Conservatives 25.1%, the New Democrats 2.5% and the Greens 1.7%; in advance and special ballots, 40.2%, 38.8%, 17.5%, 2.1% and 0.9%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapBloc Québécois39.8%40.2%+0.4 ptsLiberal30.2%38.8%+8.6 ptsConservative25.1%17.5%−7.6 ptsNew Democratic2.5%2.1%−0.4 ptsGreen1.7%0.9%−0.8 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Mirabel, April 28, 2025On election day the Bloc Québécois took 39.8%, the Liberals 30.2%, the Conservatives 25.1%, the New Democrats 2.5% and the Greens 1.7%; in advance and special ballots, 40.2%, 38.8%, 17.5%, 2.1% and 0.9%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapBloc Québécois39.8%40.2%+0.4 ptsLiberal30.2%38.8%+8.6 ptsConservative25.1%17.5%−7.6 ptsNew Democratic2.5%2.1%−0.4 ptsGreen1.7%0.9%−0.8 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Bloc Québécois39.8%40.2%+0.4
Liberal30.2%38.8%+8.6
Conservative25.1%17.5%−7.6
New Democratic2.5%2.1%−0.4
Green1.7%0.9%−0.8
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Mirabel and its 8 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Mirabel — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/mirabel/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.