The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Lethbridge
Federal riding · AB · No. 48029 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Rachael Thomas Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 18,967 votes
- Turnout
- 70.3% of 95,504 electors
- Population
- 123,845 2021 census
- Area
- 3,028 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Most populous in Alberta123,845 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 37 in Alberta · 35th of 343 in Canada
- Boundaries unchanged in 2023Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
- Length of the ballot6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Rachael Thomas
- Member: Canadian Heritage
- Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Vice-Chair: Canadian Heritage
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Lethbridge covers almost exactly the same ground as the Lethbridge riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Rachael Thomas
Conservative
40,866
61.1% of valid votes
Margin
18,967
votes · +28.4 pts
Runner-up
Chris Spearman
Liberal
21,899
32.7% of valid votes
Conservative 61.1% · Liberal 32.7% · New Democratic 3.6% · Other 1.2%
Turnout70.3% of 95,504 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachael Thomas | Conservative | 40,866 | 61.1% | 55.4% | +5.7 |
| Chris Spearman | Liberal | 21,899 | 32.7% | 15.1% | +17.6 |
| Nathan Svoboda | New Democratic | 2,431 | 3.6% | 19.2% | −15.6 |
| Marc Slingerland | Other | 806 | 1.2% | 1.0% | +0.2 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Clara Piedalue | People's | 478 | 0.7% |
| Amber Murray | Green | 457 | 0.7% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
14.2 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,431 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 18,967-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
13 of 223
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 9,484 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 14.2% of the 66,937 valid votes, 14.2 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative40,866
Liberal21,899
Still Conservative by 18,967 votes. Actual margin: 18,967.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 53.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative62.9%58.9%−4.0
Liberal29.9%36.0%+6.1
New Democratic4.1%3.1%−1.0
Other1.5%0.9%−0.6
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $84,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest162nd highest of 343
- Median age is 37.2 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest46th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 25.3% — a little lower than the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest145th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 14.4% — about 83 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest159th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 70.4% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest162nd lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.8% — about 50 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest61st lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 48029AB · 2025
Lethbridge
Rachael Thomas
- Result
- Conservative hold by 18,967
- Turnout
- 70.3%
- Population
- 123,845
- Area
- 3,028 km²
Most populous in AlbertaBoundaries unchanged in 2023Length of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.