The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner
Federal riding · AB · No. 48030 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Glen Motz Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 31,964 votes
- Turnout
- 67.4% of 80,711 electors
- Population
- 103,820 2021 census
- Area
- 28,589 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Won every election-day pollAll 183 election-day polls went to the winner · one of 15 of 343
- Least populous in Alberta103,820 people, 2021 census · 1st of 37 in Alberta · 85th of 343 in Canada
- Width of the marginWon by 59.0 points (31,964 votes) · 12th of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Glen Motz held the seat for the Conservatives by 31,964 votes (+59.0 points).
- The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 95% of the old Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 58.4% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share with French as a mother tongue is the 61st lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Glen Motz
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner comes from the old Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner, but it is only 95% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.8%Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner 95% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Glen Motz
Conservative
41,518
76.7% of valid votes
Margin
31,964
votes · +59.0 pts
Runner-up
Tom Rooke
Liberal
9,554
17.7% of valid votes
Conservative 76.7% · Liberal 17.7% · New Democratic 4.8%
Turnout67.4% of 80,711 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Motz | Conservative | 41,518 | 76.7% | 65.4% | +11.3 |
| Tom Rooke | Liberal | 9,554 | 17.7% | 7.0% | +10.7 |
| Jocelyn Johnson | New Democratic | 2,588 | 4.8% | 13.8% | −9.0 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| Andy Shadrack | Green | 440 | 0.8% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
29.5 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,588 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 31,964-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
0 of 183
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 15,983 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 29.5% of the 54,100 valid votes, 29.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative41,518
Liberal9,554
Still Conservative by 31,964 votes. Actual margin: 31,964.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 58.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative77.0%76.4%−0.6
Liberal16.9%18.8%+1.9
New Democratic5.2%4.2%−1.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $80,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest147th lowest of 343
- Median age is 40.8 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest141st lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 17.6% — about 62 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest66th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 9.8% — about 57 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest113th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 74.2% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest129th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.8% — about 50 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest61st lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 48030AB · 2025
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner
Glen Motz
- Result
- Conservative hold by 31,964
- Turnout
- 67.4%
- Population
- 103,820
- Area
- 28,589 km²
Won every election-day pollLeast populous in AlbertaWidth of the margin
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.