The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 48030Alberta

Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner

Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner is a federal riding in Alberta. Glen Motz (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2016) represents Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner. Glen Motz (Conservative) held Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 31,964 votes (59.0 points), with 76.7% of the vote. Tom Rooke (Liberal) was second with 17.7%, on a turnout of 67.4% of 80,711 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner

Glen Motz's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Glen Motz

Member of Parliament for Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner

Conservative

MP since 2016-10-24 · 4 terms

50 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Lawful Access Act, 2026.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 54,100 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Glen Motz	Conservative	41,518	76.7%
Tom Rooke	Liberal	9,554	17.7%
Jocelyn Johnson	New Democratic	2,588	4.8%
Other (1)		440	0.8%

Glen Motz (Conservative) won Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner on April 28, 2025 with 41,518 votes, 76.7% of the 54,100 valid votes. Tom Rooke (Liberal) was second with 9,554 (17.7%), 31,964 votes and 59.0 points behind.

Of the 54,100 valid votes, Glen Motz (Conservative) took 76.7%, Tom Rooke (Liberal) 17.7% and Jocelyn Johnson (New Democratic) 4.8%; one other candidate took 0.8%. Turnout was 67.4% of 80,711 electors: 54,439 ballots cast, 54,100 of them valid, for 4 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 11.3 (65.4% to 76.7%), the Liberals up 10.7 (7.0% to 17.7%) and the New Democrats down 9.0 (13.8% to 4.8%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative73.5%by 60.5 points over the Liberals
2006Conservative77.3%by 68.1 points over the New Democrats
2008Conservative70.1%by 58.5 points over the New Democrats
2011Conservative68.6%by 52.7 points over the New Democrats
2015Conservative68.8%by 50.9 points over the Liberals
2019Conservative79.2%by 70.5 points over the New Democrats
2021Conservative65.4%by 51.6 points over the New Democrats
2025Conservative76.7%by 59.0 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	73.5%	Liberal	60.5	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	77.3%	New Democratic	68.1	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	70.1%	New Democratic	58.5	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	68.6%	New Democratic	52.7	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	68.8%	Liberal	50.9	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	79.2%	New Democratic	70.5	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	65.4%	New Democratic	51.6	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	76.7%	Liberal	59.0	official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 59.0 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 76.7% of the vote here, 4.9 points above their average of 71.8% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (73.5%), 2006 (77.3%), 2008 (70.1%), 2011 (68.6%), 2015 (68.8%), 2019 (79.2%), 2021 (65.4%) and 2025 (76.7%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Glen Motz, by 24,832 votes (51.3 pts)
2019 Conservative · Glen Motz, by 37,406 votes (70.5 pts)
2015 Conservative · Jim Hillyer, by 25,764 votes (50.9 pts)

In the old Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner is

Population: 103,8202021 census
Area: 28,589km²
Density: 3.6people per km²
Electors: 80,711on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Won every election-day poll
All 183 election-day polls went to the winner · one of 15 of 343
Least populous in Alberta
103,820 people, 2021 census · 1st of 37 in Alberta · 85th of 343 in Canada

Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.8% — about 50 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest61st lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 17.6% — about 62 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest66th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 9.8% — about 57 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest113th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 74.2% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest129th highest of 343
Median age is 40.8 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest141st lowest of 343
Median total household income is $80,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest147th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner, but it is only 95% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner 99.8% of the area · 95% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Glen Motz	Conservative	41,518	76.7%	65.4%	+11.3
Tom Rooke	Liberal	9,554	17.7%	7.0%	+10.7
Jocelyn Johnson	New Democratic	2,588	4.8%	13.8%	−9.0

1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote

Andy Shadrack

Green

440

0.8%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

2,588 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 31,964-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

0 of 183

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (183) · ■ won by another party (0).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 15,983 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 29.5% of the 54,100 valid votes, 29.5 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0031,966

Conservative41,518

Liberal9,554

Still Conservative by 31,964 votes. Actual margin: 31,964.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 58.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 77.0%, the Liberals 16.9% and the New Democrats 5.2%; in advance and special ballots, 76.4%, 18.8% and 4.2%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	77.0%	76.4%	−0.6
Liberal	16.9%	18.8%	+1.9
New Democratic	5.2%	4.2%	−1.0

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/medicine-hat-cardston-warner/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.