The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 48024Alberta

Foothills

Foothills is a federal riding in Alberta. John Barlow (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2014) represents Foothills. John Barlow (Conservative) held Foothills for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 41,168 votes (57.2 points), with 76.3% of the vote. John Bruinsma (Liberal) was second with 19.1%, on a turnout of 74.3% of 97,153 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Foothills on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Foothills

John Barlow's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

John Barlow

Member of Parliament for Foothills

Conservative

MP since 2014-06-30 · 5 terms

Agriculture and Agri-Food committee
Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
Vice-Chair, Agriculture and Agri-Food committee

130 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Foothills, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 71,888 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
John Barlow	Conservative	54,874	76.3%
John Bruinsma	Liberal	13,706	19.1%
Kaitte Aurora	New Democratic	1,923	2.7%
Paul O'Halloran	People's Party	796	1.1%
Other (1)		589	0.8%

John Barlow (Conservative) won Foothills on April 28, 2025 with 54,874 votes, 76.3% of the 71,888 valid votes. John Bruinsma (Liberal) was second with 13,706 (19.1%), 41,168 votes and 57.2 points behind.

Of the 71,888 valid votes, John Barlow (Conservative) took 76.3%, John Bruinsma (Liberal) 19.1%, Kaitte Aurora (New Democratic) 2.7% and Paul O'Halloran (People's Party) 1.1%; one other candidate took 0.8%. Turnout was 74.3% of 97,153 electors: 72,224 ballots cast, 71,888 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 8.1 (68.2% to 76.3%), the Liberals up 12.2 (6.9% to 19.1%), the New Democrats down 8.7 (11.4% to 2.7%) and the People's Party down 7.1 (8.2% to 1.1%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Foothills at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative74.7%by 62.6 points over the Liberals
2006Conservative75.4%by 66.2 points over the Liberals
2008Conservative77.3%by 68.2 points over the Greens
2011Conservative77.5%by 67.1 points over the New Democrats
2015Conservative75.6%by 62.0 points over the Liberals
2019Conservative82.1%by 76.2 points over the Liberals
2021Conservative68.2%by 56.8 points over the New Democrats
2025Conservative76.3%by 57.2 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	74.7%	Liberal	62.6	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	75.4%	Liberal	66.2	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	77.3%	Green	68.2	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	77.5%	New Democratic	67.1	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	75.6%	Liberal	62.0	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	82.1%	Liberal	76.2	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	68.2%	New Democratic	56.8	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	76.3%	Liberal	57.2	official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 64.5 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 76.3% of the vote here, 0.5 points above their average of 75.8% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (74.7%), 2006 (75.4%), 2008 (77.3%), 2011 (77.5%), 2015 (75.6%), 2019 (82.1%), 2021 (68.2%) and 2025 (76.3%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · John Barlow, by 37,339 votes (58.1 pts)
2019 Conservative · John Barlow, by 50,016 votes (76.2 pts)
2015 Conservative · John Barlow, by 38,017 votes (62.3 pts)

In the old Foothills on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Foothills lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Foothills is

Population: 114,9952021 census
Area: 19,369km²
Density: 5.9people per km²
Electors: 97,153on the 2025 lists

Share of households that own their home is 81.3% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest50th highest of 343
Median age is 44.4 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest87th highest of 343
Median total household income is $95,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest90th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.1% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest112th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 23.1% — about 82 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest127th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 11.9% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest134th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 94% of the 2025 electors in today's Foothills lived in the old Foothills; by area, 15% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

94.1%Foothills 85.4% of the area · 79% of it kept

3.1%Bow River 7.2% of the area · 6% of it kept

2.8%Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner 7.4% of the area · 5% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
John Barlow	Conservative	54,874	76.3%	68.2%	+8.1
John Bruinsma	Liberal	13,706	19.1%	6.9%	+12.2
Kaitte Aurora	New Democratic	1,923	2.7%	11.4%	−8.7
Paul O'Halloran	People's	796	1.1%	8.2%	−7.1

1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote

Emma Hoberg

Green

589

0.8%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,923 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 41,168-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

10 of 228

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (218) · ■ won by another party (10).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 20,585 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 28.6% of the 71,888 valid votes, 28.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0041,170

Conservative54,874

Liberal13,706

Still Conservative by 41,168 votes. Actual margin: 41,168.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 51.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 76.1%, the Liberals 18.6%, the New Democrats 3.0%, the People's Party 1.2% and the Greens 1.0%; in advance and special ballots, 76.6%, 19.6%, 2.3%, 1.0% and 0.6%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Foothills, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	76.1%	76.6%	+0.5
Liberal	18.6%	19.6%	+1.0
New Democratic	3.0%	2.3%	−0.7
People's Party	1.2%	1.0%	−0.2
Green	1.0%	0.6%	−0.4

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Foothills and its 9 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Foothills — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/foothills/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.