110 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 15% of today's Foothills came from ridings other than the old Foothills.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
85.4%Foothills 79% of it kept
7.4%Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner 5% of it kept
7.2%Bow River 6% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
John Barlow
Conservative
54,874
76.3% of valid votes
Margin
41,168
votes · +57.2 pts
Runner-up
John Bruinsma
Liberal
13,706
19.1% of valid votes
Conservative 76.3% · Liberal 19.1% · New Democratic 2.7% · People's 1.1%
Turnout74.3% of 97,153 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
John Barlow
Conservative
54,874
76.3%
68.2%
+8.1
John Bruinsma
Liberal
13,706
19.1%
6.9%
+12.2
Kaitte Aurora
New Democratic
1,923
2.7%
11.4%
−8.7
Paul O'Halloran
People's
796
1.1%
8.2%
−7.1
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Emma Hoberg
Green
589
0.8%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
28.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,923 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 41,168-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
10 of 228
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (218) · ■ won by another party (10).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 20,585 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 28.6% of the 71,888 valid votes, 28.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative54,874
Liberal13,706
Still Conservative by 41,168 votes. Actual margin: 41,168.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 51.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative76.1%76.6%+0.5
Liberal18.6%19.6%+1.0
New Democratic3.0%2.3%−0.7
People's1.2%1.0%−0.2
Green1.0%0.6%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $95,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest90th highest of 343
Median age is 44.4 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest87th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 23.1% — about 82 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest127th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 11.9% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest134th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 81.3% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest50th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.1% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest112th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Foothills and its 9 neighbouring ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.