Skip to the record

The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 10003Newfoundland and Labrador

Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame

Formerly Central Newfoundland; renamed by S.C. 2026, c. 20, s. 88. The 2025 election here was fought under the former name.

Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame is a federal riding in Newfoundland and Labrador, renamed from Central Newfoundland on . Clifford Small (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2021) represents Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame. Clifford Small (Conservative) held Central Newfoundland (now Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame) for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 4,279 votes (10.6 points), with 54.1% of the vote. Lynette Powell (Liberal) was second with 43.5%, on a turnout of 64.2% of 64,095 electors. Member as of .

Long Range Mountains · ConservativeThe Eastern Peninsulas · ConservativeCoast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame
Fig. 1 — Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame

CClifford Small
Clifford Small's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Clifford Small

Member of Parliament for Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame

Conservative

MP since · 2 terms

  • Fisheries and Oceans committee

63 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Fisheries and Oceans.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result, as Central Newfoundland: Conservative hold

Elected
Clifford Small
Conservative
21,975
54.1% of valid votes
Margin
4,279
votes · 10.6 pts
Runner-up
Lynette Powell
Liberal
17,696
43.5% of valid votes

Conservative 54.1% · Liberal 43.5% · New Democratic 2.4% · of 40,636 valid votes

Turnout 64.2% of 64,095 electors41,128 ballots cast, 40,636 valid3 candidates

Since 2021CPC +8.2 ptsLPC −1.5 ptsNDP −4.6 pts2021 transposed onto the 2023 boundaries by Elections Canada.
Before 2025
  • 2021 Conservative · Clifford Small, by 281 votes (0.9 pts)
  • 2019 Liberal · Scott Simms, by 4,433 votes (13.0 pts)
  • 2015 Liberal · Scott Simms, by 20,044 votes (56.5 pts)

In the old Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame lived in; Elections Canada's official results. The elections from 2004, carried onto today's lines, are below.

Since 2004

No party has held it since 2004: the Liberals were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at two; it changed hands once. In 2025 the Conservatives took 54.1% of the vote here, 23.0 points above their average of 31.1% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

What kind of place Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame is

Population
74,1202021 census
Area
57,536km²
Density
1.3people per km²
Electors
64,095on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • 3rd-fewest university degrees: 11.6% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 3rd lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)3rd
    3rd-fewest university degrees
    11.6% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 3rd lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
  • 4th-least French mother tongue: 0.2% have French as a mother tongue, 4th lowest of 343 (Share with French as a mother tongue, 2021 census)4th
    4th-least French mother tongue
    0.2% have French as a mother tongue, 4th lowest of 343 (Share with French as a mother tongue, 2021 census)
  • 5th-smallest immigrant share: 1.2% are immigrants, 5th lowest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)5th
    5th-smallest immigrant share
    1.2% are immigrants, 5th lowest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 11.6% — about 41 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest3rd lowest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.2% — about 13 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest4th lowest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 1.2% — about 7 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest5th lowest of 343
  • Median age is 52.8 — about 1.3 times the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest11th highest of 343
  • Median total household income is $62,400 — about 74 percent of the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest25th lowest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 77.5% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest91st highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 100% of the 2025 electors in today's Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame lived in the old Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame; by area, 1% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
100.0%Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame 99.4% of the area
0.0%Bonavista—Burin—Trinity 0.3% of the area · 1% of it kept
0.0%Long Range Mountains 0.2% of the area · 0.2% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result, as Central Newfoundland

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Clifford SmallConservative21,97554.1%45.9%+8.2
Lynette PowellLiberal17,69643.5%45.0%−1.5
Darian VincentNew Democratic9652.4%7.0%−4.6
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
965 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 4,279-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
54 of 196
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (139) · ■ won by another party (54) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,140 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 5.3% of the 40,636 valid votes, 5.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative21,975
Liberal17,696
Still Conservative by 4,279 votes. Actual margin: 4,279.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 69.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative57.7%45.6%−12.1
Liberal39.7%52.5%+12.8
New Democratic2.6%1.9%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame and its 2 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-03.

"Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/coast-of-bays-central-notre-dame/ Accessed 2026-11-03.