The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Moncton—Dieppe

Federal riding · NB · No. 13007 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Moncton—Dieppe, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Ginette Petitpas Taylor Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 15,241 votes
Turnout
70.8% of 68,246 electors
Population
91,990 2021 census
Area
171 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Smallest by area in New Brunswick: 171 km² · 1st of 10 in New Brunswick · 155th of 343 in Canada1st
    Smallest by area in New Brunswick
    171 km² · 1st of 10 in New Brunswick · 155th of 343 in Canada
  • Most populous in New Brunswick: 91,990 people, 2021 census · 1st of 10 in New Brunswick · 291st of 343 in Canada1st
    Most populous in New Brunswick
    91,990 people, 2021 census · 1st of 10 in New Brunswick · 291st of 343 in Canada
  • Widest margin in New Brunswick: Won by 31.8 points (15,241 votes) · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 76th of 343 in Canada2nd
    Widest margin in New Brunswick
    Won by 31.8 points (15,241 votes) · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 76th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Ginette Petitpas Taylor held the seat for the Liberals by 15,241 votes (+31.8 points).
  2. 9% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 43.2% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median total household income is the 55th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Ginette Petitpas Taylor
Liberal · first elected 2015-10-19 · 4 terms
  • Member of the

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 9% of today's Moncton—Dieppe came from ridings other than the old Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
90.8%Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe 92% of it kept
6.3%Fundy Royal 0% of it kept
2.9%Beauséjour 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Ginette Petitpas Taylor
Liberal
30,215
63.0% of valid votes
Margin
15,241
votes · +31.8 pts
Runner-up
Jocelyn Dionne
Conservative
14,974
31.2% of valid votes
Liberal 63.0% · Conservative 31.2% · New Democratic 3.7% · Green 2.1%
Turnout70.8% of 68,246 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Ginette Petitpas TaylorLiberal30,21563.0%49.7%+13.3
Jocelyn DionneConservative14,97431.2%22.4%+8.8
Serge LandryNew Democratic1,7753.7%16.7%−13.0
Marshall DunnGreen9942.1%4.2%−2.1
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
15.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,775 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 15,241-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
20 of 151
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (130) · ■ won by another party (20) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 7,621 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 15.9% of the 47,958 valid votes, 15.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal30,215
Conservative14,974
Still Liberal by 15,241 votes. Actual margin: 15,241.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 43.2% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal55.8%68.5%+12.7
Conservative36.7%27.0%−9.7
New Democratic4.6%3.0%−1.6
Green2.9%1.4%−1.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Moncton—Dieppe and its 2 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 13007NB · 2025
Moncton—Dieppe
Ginette Petitpas Taylor
Result
Liberal hold by 15,241
Turnout
70.8%
Population
91,990
Area
171 km²
Smallest by area in New Brunswick: 171 km² · 1st of 10 in New Brunswick · 155th of 343 in Canada1stSmallest by area in New BrunswickMost populous in New Brunswick: 91,990 people, 2021 census · 1st of 10 in New Brunswick · 291st of 343 in Canada1stMost populous in New BrunswickWidest margin in New Brunswick: Won by 31.8 points (15,241 votes) · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 76th of 343 in Canada2ndWidest margin in New Brunswick
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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