1 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Resumption of Debate on Address in Reply.
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Fundy Royal comes from the old Fundy Royal, but it is only 92% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.8%Fundy Royal 92% of it kept
0.1%Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe 7% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Rob Moore
Conservative
25,411
53.4% of valid votes
Margin
6,308
votes · +13.3 pts
Runner-up
Bill Kudla
Liberal
19,103
40.1% of valid votes
Conservative 53.4% · Liberal 40.1% · New Democratic 3.2% · Green 2.0% · People's 1.3%
Turnout75.7% of 63,195 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Rob Moore
Conservative
25,411
53.4%
46.1%
+7.3
Bill Kudla
Liberal
19,103
40.1%
25.5%
+14.6
Cindy Andrie
New Democratic
1,507
3.2%
14.4%
−11.2
Hans Johnsen
Green
961
2.0%
5.0%
−3.0
Alastair MacFarlane
People's
629
1.3%
8.5%
−7.2
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
6.7 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,507 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 6,308-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
21 of 151
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (129) · ■ won by another party (21) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 3,155 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 6.6% of the 47,611 valid votes, 6.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative25,411
Liberal19,103
Still Conservative by 6,308 votes. Actual margin: 6,308.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 49.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative57.6%49.2%−8.4
Liberal34.8%45.4%+10.6
New Democratic3.6%2.7%−0.9
Green2.5%1.6%−0.9
People's1.5%1.1%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $75,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest97th lowest of 343
Median age is 46.4 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest59th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 18.3% — about 65 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest74th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 3.8% — about 22 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest41st lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 84.0% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest22nd highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 4.8% — about 3.0 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest106th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Fundy Royal and its 6 neighbouring ridings.
Highest turnout in New BrunswickClosest race in New BrunswickMost candidates on the ballot in New Brunswick
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.