The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Fundy Royal

Federal riding · NB · No. 13004 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Fundy Royal, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Rob Moore Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 6,308 votes
Turnout
75.7% of 63,195 electors
Population
73,565 2021 census
Area
7,655 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Highest turnout in New Brunswick: 75.7% of 63,195 electors voted · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 24th of 343 in Canada2nd
    Highest turnout in New Brunswick
    75.7% of 63,195 electors voted · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 24th of 343 in Canada
  • Closest race in New Brunswick: Won by 6,308 votes (13.3 pts) · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 139th of 343 in Canada3rd
    Closest race in New Brunswick
    Won by 6,308 votes (13.3 pts) · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 139th of 343 in Canada
  • Most candidates on the ballot in New Brunswick: 5 candidates stood · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 156th of 343 in Canada3rd
    Most candidates on the ballot in New Brunswick
    5 candidates stood · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 156th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Rob Moore held the seat for the Conservatives by 6,308 votes (+13.3 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 92% of the old Fundy Royal.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 49.9% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share of households that own their home is the 22nd highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Rob Moore
Conservative · first elected 2004-06-28 · 7 terms
  • Deputy Whip of the Official Opposition
1 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Resumption of Debate on Address in Reply.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Fundy Royal comes from the old Fundy Royal, but it is only 92% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.8%Fundy Royal 92% of it kept
0.1%Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe 7% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Rob Moore
Conservative
25,411
53.4% of valid votes
Margin
6,308
votes · +13.3 pts
Runner-up
Bill Kudla
Liberal
19,103
40.1% of valid votes
Conservative 53.4% · Liberal 40.1% · New Democratic 3.2% · Green 2.0% · People's 1.3%
Turnout75.7% of 63,195 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Rob MooreConservative25,41153.4%46.1%+7.3
Bill KudlaLiberal19,10340.1%25.5%+14.6
Cindy AndrieNew Democratic1,5073.2%14.4%−11.2
Hans JohnsenGreen9612.0%5.0%−3.0
Alastair MacFarlanePeople's6291.3%8.5%−7.2
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
6.7 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,507 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 6,308-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
21 of 151
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (129) · ■ won by another party (21) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 3,155 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 6.6% of the 47,611 valid votes, 6.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative25,411
Liberal19,103
Still Conservative by 6,308 votes. Actual margin: 6,308.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 49.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative57.6%49.2%−8.4
Liberal34.8%45.4%+10.6
New Democratic3.6%2.7%−0.9
Green2.5%1.6%−0.9
People's1.5%1.1%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Fundy Royal and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 13004NB · 2025
Fundy Royal
Rob Moore
Result
Conservative hold by 6,308
Turnout
75.7%
Population
73,565
Area
7,655 km²
Highest turnout in New Brunswick: 75.7% of 63,195 electors voted · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 24th of 343 in Canada2ndHighest turnout in New BrunswickClosest race in New Brunswick: Won by 6,308 votes (13.3 pts) · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 139th of 343 in Canada3rdClosest race in New BrunswickMost candidates on the ballot in New Brunswick: 5 candidates stood · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 156th of 343 in Canada3rdMost candidates on the ballot in New Brunswick
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A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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