The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 13004New Brunswick

Fundy Royal

Fundy Royal is a federal riding in New Brunswick. Rob Moore (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2004) represents Fundy Royal. Rob Moore (Conservative) held Fundy Royal for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 6,308 votes (13.3 points), with 53.4% of the vote. Bill Kudla (Liberal) was second with 40.1%, on a turnout of 75.7% of 63,195 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Fundy Royal on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Fundy Royal

Rob Moore's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Rob Moore

Member of Parliament for Fundy Royal

Conservative

MP since 2004-06-28 · 7 terms

Deputy Whip of the Official Opposition

45 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Protecting Victims Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Fundy Royal, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 47,611 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Rob Moore	Conservative	25,411	53.4%
Bill Kudla	Liberal	19,103	40.1%
Cindy Andrie	New Democratic	1,507	3.2%
Hans Johnsen	Green	961	2.0%
Alastair MacFarlane	People's Party	629	1.3%

Rob Moore (Conservative) won Fundy Royal on April 28, 2025 with 25,411 votes, 53.4% of the 47,611 valid votes. Bill Kudla (Liberal) was second with 19,103 (40.1%), 6,308 votes and 13.3 points behind.

Of the 47,611 valid votes, Rob Moore (Conservative) took 53.4%, Bill Kudla (Liberal) 40.1%, Cindy Andrie (New Democratic) 3.2%, Hans Johnsen (Green) 2.0% and Alastair MacFarlane (People's Party) 1.3%. Turnout was 75.7% of 63,195 electors: 47,845 ballots cast, 47,611 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 7.3 (46.1% to 53.4%), the Liberals up 14.6 (25.5% to 40.1%), the New Democrats down 11.2 (14.4% to 3.2%), the Greens down 3.0 (5.0% to 2.0%) and the People's Party down 7.2 (8.5% to 1.3%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: usually Conservative

The party first in Fundy Royal at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative41.2%by 2.4 points over the Liberals
2006Conservative45.2%by 14.2 points over the Liberals
2008Conservative48.6%by 26.1 points over the New Democrats
2011Conservative54.1%by 27.0 points over the New Democrats
2015changed handsLiberal43.2%by 8.2 points over the Conservatives
2019changed handsConservative42.9%by 15.0 points over the Liberals
2021Conservative46.1%by 20.6 points over the Liberals
2025Conservative53.4%by 13.3 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	41.2%	Liberal	2.4	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	45.2%	Liberal	14.2	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	48.6%	New Democratic	26.1	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	54.1%	New Democratic	27.0	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	43.2%	Conservative	8.2	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	42.9%	Liberal	15.0	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	46.1%	Liberal	20.6	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	53.4%	Liberal	13.3	official result

The Conservatives were first here at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025; the Liberals were first in 2015. In 2025 the Conservatives took 53.4% of the vote here, 8.7 points above their average of 44.7% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (41.2%), 2006 (45.2%), 2008 (48.6%), 2011 (54.1%), 2019 (42.9%), 2021 (46.1%) and 2025 (53.4%) and the Liberals in 2015 (43.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 83 of the 343 ridings are usually one party's. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Rob Moore, by 10,385 votes (23.4 pts)
2019 Conservative · Rob Moore, by 9,956 votes (20.4 pts)
2015 Liberal · Alaina Lockhart, by 1,775 votes (3.8 pts)

In the old Fundy Royal on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Fundy Royal lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Fundy Royal is

Population: 73,5652021 census
Area: 7,655km²
Density: 9.6people per km²
Electors: 63,195on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

2nd-highest turnout in New Brunswick
75.7% of 63,195 electors voted · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 24th of 343 in Canada
3rd-closest race in New Brunswick
Won by 6,308 votes (13.3 pts) · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 139th of 343 in Canada
3rd-most candidates on the ballot in New Brunswick
5 candidates stood · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 156th of 343 in Canada

Share of households that own their home is 84.0% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest22nd highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 3.8% — about 22 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest41st lowest of 343
Median age is 46.4 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest59th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 18.3% — about 65 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest74th lowest of 343
Median total household income is $75,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest97th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 4.8% — about 3.0 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest106th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 86% of the 2025 electors in today's Fundy Royal lived in the old Fundy Royal; by area, nearly all of the riding came from it.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

86.4%Fundy Royal 99.8% of the area · 92% of it kept

13.6%Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe 0.1% of the area · 7% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Rob Moore	Conservative	25,411	53.4%	46.1%	+7.3
Bill Kudla	Liberal	19,103	40.1%	25.5%	+14.6
Cindy Andrie	New Democratic	1,507	3.2%	14.4%	−11.2
Hans Johnsen	Green	961	2.0%	5.0%	−3.0
Alastair MacFarlane	People's	629	1.3%	8.5%	−7.2

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,507 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 6,308-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

21 of 151

1 poll ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (129) · ■ won by another party (21) · ▨ tied (1).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 3,155 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 6.6% of the 47,611 valid votes, 6.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 006,310

Conservative25,411

Liberal19,103

Still Conservative by 6,308 votes. Actual margin: 6,308.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 49.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 57.6%, the Liberals 34.8%, the New Democrats 3.6%, the Greens 2.5% and the People's Party 1.5%; in advance and special ballots, 49.2%, 45.4%, 2.7%, 1.6% and 1.1%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Fundy Royal, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	57.6%	49.2%	−8.4
Liberal	34.8%	45.4%	+10.6
New Democratic	3.6%	2.7%	−0.9
Green	2.5%	1.6%	−0.9
People's Party	1.5%	1.1%	−0.4

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Fundy Royal and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Fundy Royal — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/fundy-royal/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.