The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Saint John—Kennebecasis
Federal riding · NB · No. 13008 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Wayne Long Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 9,342 votes
- Turnout
- 69.5% of 65,035 electors
- Population
- 81,920 2021 census
- Area
- 418 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Lowest turnout in New Brunswick69.5% of 65,035 electors voted · 1st of 10 in New Brunswick · 170th of 343 in Canada
- Most candidates on the ballot in New Brunswick5 candidates stood · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 156th of 343 in Canada
- Smallest by area in New Brunswick418 km² · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 179th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Wayne Long
- Secretary of State (Canada Revenue Agency and Financial Institutions)
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 20% of today's Saint John—Kennebecasis came from ridings other than the old Saint John—Rothesay.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
79.9%Saint John—Rothesay 64% of it kept
20.1%Fundy Royal 1% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Wayne Long
Liberal
26,129
58.1% of valid votes
Margin
9,342
votes · +20.8 pts
Runner-up
Melissa Young
Conservative
16,787
37.3% of valid votes
Liberal 58.1% · Conservative 37.3% · New Democratic 2.7% · Green 1.6%
Turnout69.5% of 65,035 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Long | Liberal | 26,129 | 58.1% | 42.4% | +15.7 |
| Melissa Young | Conservative | 16,787 | 37.3% | 36.2% | +1.1 |
| Armand Cormier | New Democratic | 1,206 | 2.7% | 13.1% | −10.4 |
| David MacFarquhar | Green | 737 | 1.6% | 2.9% | −1.3 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| Austin Venedam | Other | 108 | 0.2% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
10.4 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,206 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 9,342-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
44 of 136
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 4,672 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 10.4% of the 44,967 valid votes, 10.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal26,129
Conservative16,787
Still Liberal by 9,342 votes. Actual margin: 9,342.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 48.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal51.6%64.2%+12.6
Conservative42.5%32.4%−10.1
New Democratic3.3%2.1%−1.2
Green2.2%1.1%−1.1
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $71,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest72nd lowest of 343
- Median age is 43.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest118th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 30.8% — a little higher than the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest155th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 8.9% — about 51 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest104th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 61.2% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest91st lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 3.7% — about 2.3 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest110th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 13008NB · 2025
Saint John—Kennebecasis
Wayne Long
- Result
- Liberal hold by 9,342
- Turnout
- 69.5%
- Population
- 81,920
- Area
- 418 km²
Lowest turnout in New BrunswickMost candidates on the ballot in New BrunswickSmallest by area in New Brunswick
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
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