The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Tobique—Mactaquac
Federal riding · NB · No. 13010 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Richard Bragdon Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 9,096 votes
- Turnout
- 73.7% of 54,064 electors
- Population
- 64,530 2021 census
- Area
- 15,389 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Largest by area in New Brunswick15,389 km² · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 57th of 343 in Canada
- Least populous in New Brunswick64,530 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 10 in New Brunswick · 12th of 343 in Canada
- Most candidates on the ballot in New Brunswick5 candidates stood · 3rd of 10 in New Brunswick · 156th of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Richard Bragdon held the seat for the Conservatives by 9,096 votes (+22.9 points).
- 10% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 55.1% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share of households that own their home is the 39th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Richard Bragdon
- Member: Agriculture and Agri-Food
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 10% of today's Tobique—Mactaquac came from ridings other than the old Tobique—Mactaquac.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
89.9%Tobique—Mactaquac 91% of it kept
10.1%New Brunswick Southwest 13% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Richard Bragdon
Conservative
23,322
58.8% of valid votes
Margin
9,096
votes · +22.9 pts
Runner-up
Julian Moulton
Liberal
14,226
35.9% of valid votes
Conservative 58.8% · Liberal 35.9% · New Democratic 2.0% · Green 2.0% · People's 1.3%
Turnout73.7% of 54,064 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Bragdon | Conservative | 23,322 | 58.8% | 52.5% | +6.3 |
| Julian Moulton | Liberal | 14,226 | 35.9% | 22.5% | +13.4 |
| Michael John Winter | New Democratic | 812 | 2.0% | 11.5% | −9.5 |
| Liam MacDougall | Green | 806 | 2.0% | 4.9% | −2.9 |
| Vern Brundle | People's | 501 | 1.3% | 7.2% | −5.9 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
11.4 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
812 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 9,096-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
14 of 151
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 4,549 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 11.5% of the 39,667 valid votes, 11.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative23,322
Liberal14,226
Still Conservative by 9,096 votes. Actual margin: 9,096.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 55.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative61.2%55.8%−5.4
Liberal32.3%40.2%+7.9
New Democratic2.4%1.6%−0.8
Green2.4%1.6%−0.8
People's1.7%0.8%−0.9
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $70,000 — about 83 percent of the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest60th lowest of 343
- Median age is 47.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest47th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.9% — about 71 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest96th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 4.8% — about 28 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest54th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 82.2% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest39th highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 4.1% — about 2.6 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest109th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 13010NB · 2025
Tobique—Mactaquac
Richard Bragdon
- Result
- Conservative hold by 9,096
- Turnout
- 73.7%
- Population
- 64,530
- Area
- 15,389 km²
Largest by area in New BrunswickLeast populous in New BrunswickMost candidates on the ballot in New Brunswick
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.