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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 10007Newfoundland and Labrador

The Eastern Peninsulas

Les Péninsules-Est

Formerly Terra Nova—The Peninsulas (Terra Nova—Les Péninsules); renamed by S.C. 2026, c. 20, s. 88. The 2025 election here was fought under the former name.

The Eastern Peninsulas is a federal riding in Newfoundland and Labrador, renamed from Terra Nova—The Peninsulas on . Jonathan Rowe (Conservative) has represented The Eastern Peninsulas since the 2025 election. Jonathan Rowe (Conservative) took Terra Nova—The Peninsulas (now The Eastern Peninsulas) from the Liberals in the 2025 election by 12 votes (0.1 points), with 48.0% of the vote. Anthony Germain (Liberal) was second with 47.9%, on a turnout of 64.4% of 64,709 electors. Member as of .

Avalon · LiberalCoast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame · ConservativeSt. John's East · LiberalThe Eastern Peninsulas
Fig. 1 — The Eastern Peninsulas on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents The Eastern Peninsulas

CJonathan Rowe
Jonathan Rowe's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Jonathan Rowe

Member of Parliament for The Eastern Peninsulas

Conservative

MP since · first term

126 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result, as Terra Nova—The Peninsulas: Conservative gain from the Liberals

Elected
Jonathan Rowe
Conservative
19,605
48.0% of valid votes
Margin
12
votes · 0.1 pts
Runner-up
Anthony Germain
Liberal
19,593
47.9% of valid votes

Conservative 48.0% · Liberal 47.9% · New Democratic 4.1% · of 40,875 valid votes

Turnout 64.4% of 64,709 electors41,694 ballots cast, 40,875 valid3 candidates

Since 2021CPC +8.2 ptsLPC +1.4 ptsNDP −4.1 pts2021 transposed onto the 2023 boundaries by Elections Canada.
Before 2025
  • 2021 Liberal · Churence Rogers, by 1,694 votes (5.7 pts)
  • 2019 Liberal · Churence Rogers, by 2,010 votes (6.2 pts)
  • 2015 Liberal · Judy M. Foote, by 25,170 votes (71.7 pts)

In Bonavista—Burin—Trinity on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's The Eastern Peninsulas lived in; Elections Canada's official results. The elections from 2004, carried onto today's lines, are below.

Since 2004

No party has held it since 2004: the Liberals were first at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at one; it changed hands once. In 2025 the Conservatives took 48.0% of the vote here, 17.2 points above their average of 30.8% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

What kind of place The Eastern Peninsulas is

Population
76,1102021 census
Area
37,814km²
Density
2.0people per km²
Electors
64,709on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Fewest university degrees: 9.1% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, the lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)1st
    Fewest university degrees
    9.1% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, the lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
  • 3rd-closest race in Canada: Won by 12 votes (0.1 pts) · 3rd of 3433rd
    3rd-closest race in Canada
    Won by 12 votes (0.1 pts) · 3rd of 343
  • 2nd-oldest median age: Median age 54.8, 2nd highest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)2nd
    2nd-oldest median age
    Median age 54.8, 2nd highest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 9.1% — about 32 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest1st lowest of 343
  • Median age is 54.8 — about 1.3 times the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest2nd highest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.2% — about 13 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest4th lowest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 1.2% — about 7 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest5th lowest of 343
  • Median total household income is $60,000 — about 71 percent of the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest11th lowest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 85.3% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest13th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 93% of the 2025 electors in today's The Eastern Peninsulas lived in the old Bonavista—Burin—Trinity; by area, 6% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
92.9%Bonavista—Burin—Trinity 93.8% of the area · 99% of it kept
7.1%Avalon 5.8% of the area · 23% of it kept
0.0%Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame 0.3% of the area · 0.2% of it kept
0.0%St. John's East 0.1% of the area · 6% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result, as Terra Nova—The Peninsulas

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Jonathan RoweConservative19,60548.0%39.8%+8.2
Anthony GermainLiberal19,59347.9%46.5%+1.4
Liam RyanNew Democratic1,6774.1%8.2%−4.1
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
1,677 votes
New Democratic took more than the 12-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
103 of 232
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (126) · ■ won by another party (103) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 7 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 0.02% of the 40,875 valid votes, 0.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative19,605
Liberal19,593
Still Conservative by 12 votes. Actual margin: 12.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 73.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative49.5%43.8%−5.7
Liberal46.0%53.2%+7.2
New Democratic4.5%3.1%−1.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — The Eastern Peninsulas and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-03.

"The Eastern Peninsulas — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/the-eastern-peninsulas/ Accessed 2026-11-03.