The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Willowdale

Federal riding · ON · No. 35117 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Willowdale, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Ali Ehsassi Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 4,511 votes
Turnout
60.5% of 79,526 electors
Population
118,220 2021 census
Area
21 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Most university degrees: 65.8% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 6th highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)6th
    Most university degrees
    65.8% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 6th highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
  • Largest immigrant share: 60.2% are immigrants, 7th highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)7th
    Largest immigrant share
    60.2% are immigrants, 7th highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)
  • Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59
    Boundaries unchanged in 2023
    Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
In brief
  1. Ali Ehsassi held the seat for the Liberals by 4,511 votes (+9.4 points).
  2. The boundaries did not change in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 62.7% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 6th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Ali Ehsassi
Liberal · first elected 2015-10-19 · 4 terms
  • Parliamentary Secretary to the President of the King’s Privy Council for Canada and Minister responsible for Canada-U.S. Trade, Intergovernmental Affairs, Internal Trade and One Canadian Economy (Canada-U.S. Trade)
  • Member: International Trade

IDid this riding change?

Essentially no. Today's Willowdale covers almost exactly the same ground as the Willowdale riding it replaced.

How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Ali Ehsassi
Liberal
25,488
53.4% of valid votes
Margin
4,511
votes · +9.4 pts
Runner-up
James Lin
Conservative
20,977
44.0% of valid votes
Liberal 53.4% · Conservative 44.0% · New Democratic 2.6%
Turnout60.5% of 79,526 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Ali EhsassiLiberal25,48853.4%50.7%+2.7
James LinConservative20,97744.0%33.5%+10.5
Christy KheirallahNew Democratic1,2242.6%10.2%−7.6
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
4.7 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,224 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 4,511-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
55 of 173
4 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (114) · ■ won by another party (55) · ▨ tied (4).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,256 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 4.7% of the 47,689 valid votes, 4.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal25,488
Conservative20,977
Still Liberal by 4,511 votes. Actual margin: 4,511.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 62.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal51.0%57.5%+6.5
Conservative46.1%40.5%−5.6
New Democratic2.9%2.0%−0.9
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Willowdale and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35117ON · 2025
Willowdale
Ali Ehsassi
Result
Liberal hold by 4,511
Turnout
60.5%
Population
118,220
Area
21 km²
Most university degrees: 65.8% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 6th highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)6thMost university degreesLargest immigrant share: 60.2% are immigrants, 7th highest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)7thLargest immigrant shareBoundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59Boundaries unchanged in 2023
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.