The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Eglinton—Lawrence

Federal riding · ON · No. 35026 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Eglinton—Lawrence, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Vince Gasparro Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 888 votes
Turnout
70.4% of 86,901 electors
Population
115,830 2021 census
Area
24 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59
    Boundaries unchanged in 2023
    Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
  • Closeness of the race: Won by 888 votes (1.5 pts) · 18th of 343 in Canada18th
    Closeness of the race
    Won by 888 votes (1.5 pts) · 18th of 343 in Canada
  • Area, smallest first: 24 km² · 19th of 343 in Canada19th
    Area, smallest first
    24 km² · 19th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Vince Gasparro held the seat for the Liberals by 888 votes (+1.5 points).
  2. The boundaries did not change in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 47.1% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 20th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Vince Gasparro
Liberal · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Parliamentary Secretary to the Secretary of State (Combatting Crime)
  • Member: Government Operations and Estimates
43 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Strong Borders Act.

IDid this riding change?

Essentially no. Today's Eglinton—Lawrence covers almost exactly the same ground as the Eglinton—Lawrence riding it replaced.

How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Vince Gasparro
Liberal
29,949
49.3% of valid votes
Margin
888
votes · +1.5 pts
Runner-up
Karen Stintz
Conservative
29,061
47.8% of valid votes
Liberal 49.3% · Conservative 47.8% · New Democratic 1.6%
Turnout70.4% of 86,901 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Vince GasparroLiberal29,94949.3%48.0%+1.3
Karen StintzConservative29,06147.8%36.1%+11.7
Allison TanzolaNew Democratic9961.6%9.1%−7.5
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Wayne ChechuevskiyGreen4290.7%
Timothy GleesonPeople's3260.5%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
0.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
996 votes
New Democratic took more than the 888-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
95 of 196
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (99) · ■ won by another party (95) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 445 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 0.7% of the 60,761 valid votes, 0.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal29,949
Conservative29,061
Still Liberal by 888 votes. Actual margin: 888.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 47.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal48.4%50.0%+1.6
Conservative47.7%48.0%+0.3
New Democratic2.2%1.1%−1.1
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Eglinton—Lawrence and its 7 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35026ON · 2025
Eglinton—Lawrence
Vince Gasparro
Result
Liberal hold by 888
Turnout
70.4%
Population
115,830
Area
24 km²
Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59Boundaries unchanged in 2023Closeness of the race: Won by 888 votes (1.5 pts) · 18th of 343 in Canada18thCloseness of the raceArea, smallest first: 24 km² · 19th of 343 in Canada19thArea, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.