The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Winnipeg Centre

Winnipeg-Centre
Federal riding · MB · No. 46010 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Winnipeg Centre, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Leah Gazan New Democratic
2025 result
New Democratic hold by 1,386 votes
Turnout
53.7% of 64,577 electors
Population
96,850 2021 census
Area
32 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Lowest turnout in Canada: 53.7% of 64,577 electors voted · 6th of 3436th
    Lowest turnout in Canada
    53.7% of 64,577 electors voted · 6th of 343
  • Lowest household income: Median household income $55,600, 2nd lowest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)2nd
    Lowest household income
    Median household income $55,600, 2nd lowest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)
  • Closest race in Manitoba: Won by 1,386 votes (4.0 pts) · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 28th of 343 in Canada1st
    Closest race in Manitoba
    Won by 1,386 votes (4.0 pts) · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 28th of 343 in Canada
  • Smallest by area in Manitoba: 32 km² · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 35th of 343 in Canada1st
    Smallest by area in Manitoba
    32 km² · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 35th of 343 in Canada
  • Most candidates on the ballot in Manitoba: 6 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 61st of 343 in Canada2nd
    Most candidates on the ballot in Manitoba
    6 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 61st of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Leah Gazan held the seat for the New Democratics by 1,386 votes (+4.0 points).
  2. 10% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 59.7% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median total household income is the 2nd lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Leah Gazan
New Democratic · first elected 2019-10-21 · 3 terms
147 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 10% of today's Winnipeg Centre came from ridings other than the old Winnipeg Centre.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
90.2%Winnipeg Centre
9.6%Winnipeg North 8% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

New Democratic hold
Elected
Leah Gazan
New Democratic
13,524
39.4% of valid votes
Margin
1,386
votes · +4.0 pts
Runner-up
Rahul Walia
Liberal
12,138
35.4% of valid votes
New Democratic 39.4% · Liberal 35.4% · Conservative 22.3% · Green 1.1% · People's 1.1%
Turnout53.7% of 64,577 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Leah GazanNew Democratic13,52439.4%49.0%−9.6
Rahul WaliaLiberal12,13835.4%28.6%+6.8
Tom BambrickConservative7,65822.3%12.7%+9.6
Gary GervaisGreen3891.1%2.4%−1.3
Donald GrantPeople's3671.1%4.2%−3.1
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Debra WallOther2130.6%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
2.0 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
7,658 votes
Conservative took more than the 1,386-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
60 of 136
7 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the New Democratics (69) · ■ won by another party (60) · ▨ tied (7).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 694 voters switching from New Democratic to Liberal — 2.0% of the 34,289 valid votes, 2.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

New Democratic13,524
Liberal12,138
Still New Democratic by 1,386 votes. Actual margin: 1,386.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 59.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
New Democratic37.3%42.6%+5.3
Liberal34.8%36.3%+1.5
Conservative24.9%18.5%−6.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Winnipeg Centre and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 46010MB · 2025
Winnipeg Centre
Leah Gazan
Result
New Democratic hold by 1,386
Turnout
53.7%
Population
96,850
Area
32 km²
Lowest turnout in Canada: 53.7% of 64,577 electors voted · 6th of 3436thLowest turnout in CanadaLowest household income: Median household income $55,600, 2nd lowest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)2ndLowest household incomeClosest race in Manitoba: Won by 1,386 votes (4.0 pts) · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 28th of 343 in Canada1stClosest race in ManitobaSmallest by area in Manitoba: 32 km² · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 35th of 343 in Canada1stSmallest by area in ManitobaMost candidates on the ballot in Manitoba: 6 candidates stood · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 61st of 343 in Canada2ndMost candidates on the ballot in Manitoba
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.