The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
St. Boniface—St. Vital
Saint-Boniface—Saint-Vital
Federal riding · MB · No. 46008 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Ginette Lavack Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 14,974 votes
- Turnout
- 72.3% of 76,021 electors
- Population
- 99,975 2021 census
- Area
- 67 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Most populous in Manitoba99,975 people, 2021 census · 2nd of 14 in Manitoba · 270th of 343 in Canada
- Highest turnout in Manitoba72.3% of 76,021 electors voted · 3rd of 14 in Manitoba · 93rd of 343 in Canada
- Population, smallest first99,975 people, 2021 census · 74th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Ginette Lavack
- Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Indigenous Services
- Member: Indigenous and Northern Affairs
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 4% of today's St. Boniface—St. Vital came from ridings other than the old Saint Boniface—Saint Vital.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
96.3%Saint Boniface—Saint Vital
3.6%Winnipeg South 2% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Ginette Lavack
Liberal
32,599
59.8% of valid votes
Margin
14,974
votes · +27.5 pts
Runner-up
Shola Agboola
Conservative
17,625
32.3% of valid votes
Liberal 59.8% · Conservative 32.3% · New Democratic 6.9% · People's 1.0%
Turnout72.3% of 76,021 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ginette Lavack | Liberal | 32,599 | 59.8% | 43.5% | +16.3 |
| Shola Agboola | Conservative | 17,625 | 32.3% | 28.0% | +4.3 |
| Thomas Linner | New Democratic | 3,773 | 6.9% | 21.0% | −14.1 |
| Gilles Pelletier | People's | 523 | 1.0% | 4.3% | −3.3 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
13.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
3,773 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 14,974-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
15 of 168
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 7,488 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 13.7% of the 54,520 valid votes, 13.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal32,599
Conservative17,625
Still Liberal by 14,974 votes. Actual margin: 14,974.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 53.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal55.2%65.1%+9.9
Conservative35.5%28.7%−6.8
New Democratic8.1%5.5%−2.6
People's1.2%0.7%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $83,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest171st lowest of 343
- Median age is 40.8 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest141st lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 39.0% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest104th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 20.2% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest155th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 64.8% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest108th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 9.7% — about 6.1 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest94th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 46008MB · 2025
St. Boniface—St. Vital
Ginette Lavack
- Result
- Liberal hold by 14,974
- Turnout
- 72.3%
- Population
- 99,975
- Area
- 67 km²
Most populous in ManitobaHighest turnout in ManitobaPopulation, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
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