The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 24002Quebec

Abitibi—Témiscamingue

Abitibi—Témiscamingue is a federal riding in Quebec. Sébastien Lemire (Bloc Québécois, first elected to the House in 2019) represents Abitibi—Témiscamingue. Sébastien Lemire (Bloc Québécois) held Abitibi—Témiscamingue for the Bloc Québécois in the 2025 election by 11,223 votes (22.4 points), with 49.4% of the vote. Jonathan Andresen (Liberal) was second with 27.0%, on a turnout of 62.0% of 82,144 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Abitibi—Témiscamingue on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Abitibi—Témiscamingue

Sébastien Lemire's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Sébastien Lemire

Member of Parliament for Abitibi—Témiscamingue

Bloc Québécois

MP since 2019-10-21 · 3 terms

Agriculture and Agri-Food committee
Public Accounts committee
Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure

252 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Commissioner for Modern Treaty Implementation Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Bloc Québécois hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Abitibi—Témiscamingue, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 50,115 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Sébastien Lemire	Bloc Québécois	24,774	49.4%
Jonathan Andresen	Liberal	13,551	27.0%
Steve Tardif	Conservative	9,861	19.7%
Jérémie Juneau	New Democratic	1,480	3.0%
Other (1)		449	0.9%

Sébastien Lemire (Bloc Québécois) won Abitibi—Témiscamingue on April 28, 2025 with 24,774 votes, 49.4% of the 50,115 valid votes. Jonathan Andresen (Liberal) was second with 13,551 (27.0%), 11,223 votes and 22.4 points behind.

Of the 50,115 valid votes, Sébastien Lemire (Bloc Québécois) took 49.4%, Jonathan Andresen (Liberal) 27.0%, Steve Tardif (Conservative) 19.7% and Jérémie Juneau (New Democratic) 3.0%; one other candidate took 0.9%. Turnout was 62.0% of 82,144 electors: 50,966 ballots cast, 50,115 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Bloc Québécois are down 0.2 (49.6% to 49.4%), the Liberals up 3.4 (23.6% to 27.0%), the Conservatives up 8.2 (11.5% to 19.7%) and the New Democrats down 3.0 (6.0% to 3.0%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Abitibi—Témiscamingue at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Bloc Québécois57.7%by 26.7 points over the Liberals
2006Bloc Québécois52.3%by 29.7 points over the Conservatives
2008Bloc Québécois47.9%by 27.2 points over the Liberals
2011changed handsNew Democratic51.2%by 19.7 points over the Bloc Québécois
2015New Democratic41.5%by 11.9 points over the Liberals
2019changed handsBloc Québécois45.5%by 20.7 points over the Liberals
2021Bloc Québécois49.6%by 26.0 points over the Liberals
2025Bloc Québécois49.4%by 22.4 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Bloc Québécois	57.7%	Liberal	26.7	carried, our estimate
2006	Bloc Québécois	52.3%	Conservative	29.7	carried, our estimate
2008	Bloc Québécois	47.9%	Liberal	27.2	carried, our estimate
2011	New Democratic	51.2%	Bloc Québécois	19.7	carried, our estimate
2015	New Democratic	41.5%	Liberal	11.9	carried, our estimate
2019	Bloc Québécois	45.5%	Liberal	20.7	carried, our estimate
2021	Bloc Québécois	49.6%	Liberal	26.0	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Bloc Québécois	49.4%	Liberal	22.4	official result

The Bloc Québécois were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the NDP at two; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Bloc Québécois took 49.4% of the vote here, 6.0 points above their average of 43.4% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Bloc Québécois were first here in 2004 (57.7%), 2006 (52.3%), 2008 (47.9%), 2019 (45.5%), 2021 (49.6%) and 2025 (49.4%) and the NDP in 2011 (51.2%) and 2015 (41.5%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Bloc Québécois · Sébastien Lemire, by 12,107 votes (26.5 pts)
2019 Bloc Québécois · Sébastien Lemire, by 10,386 votes (20.7 pts)
2015 New Democratic · Christine Moore, by 5,903 votes (11.9 pts)

In the old Abitibi—Témiscamingue on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Abitibi—Témiscamingue lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Abitibi—Témiscamingue is

Population: 103,7352021 census
Area: 37,660km²
Density: 2.8people per km²
Electors: 82,144on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Boundaries unchanged in 2023
Covers the same ground as its predecessor, and the same electors · one of 54 of 343 by area and electors

Share who are immigrants is 1.5% — about 9 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest15th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 94.0% — about 58.8 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest16th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 16.2% — about 57 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest50th lowest of 343
Median total household income is $72,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest76th lowest of 343
Median age is 44.4 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest87th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 68.8% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest142nd lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Essentially no. Today's Abitibi—Témiscamingue covers almost exactly the same ground as the Abitibi—Témiscamingue riding it replaced, and 100% of its 2025 electors lived in it.

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Sébastien Lemire	Bloc Québécois	24,774	49.4%	49.6%	−0.2
Jonathan Andresen	Liberal	13,551	27.0%	23.6%	+3.4
Steve Tardif	Conservative	9,861	19.7%	11.5%	+8.2
Jérémie Juneau	New Democratic	1,480	3.0%	6.0%	−3.0

1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote

Vincent Palin-Bussières

Other

449

0.9%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

9,861 votes

Conservative took fewer than the 11,223-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

23 of 241

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Bloc Québécois (218) · ■ won by another party (23).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 5,612 voters switching from Bloc Québécois to Liberal — 11.2% of the 50,115 valid votes, 11.2 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0011,224

Bloc Québécois24,774

Liberal13,551

Still Bloc Québécois by 11,223 votes. Actual margin: 11,223.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 72.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Bloc Québécois took 50.0%, the Liberals 24.2%, the Conservatives 21.6% and the New Democrats 3.2%; in advance and special ballots, 47.9%, 34.6%, 14.6% and 2.3%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Abitibi—Témiscamingue, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Bloc Québécois	50.0%	47.9%	−2.1
Liberal	24.2%	34.6%	+10.4
Conservative	21.6%	14.6%	−7.0
New Democratic	3.2%	2.3%	−0.9

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Abitibi—Témiscamingue and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Abitibi—Témiscamingue — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/abitibi-temiscamingue/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.