The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 24001Quebec
Abitibi— Baie-James— Nunavik— Eeyou
Abitibi—
Who represents Abitibi— Baie-James— Nunavik— Eeyou
Mandy Gull-Masty
Member of Parliament for Abitibi—
Liberal
MP since · first term
- Minister of Indigenous Services
57 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Indigenous Affairs.
The 2025 result: Liberal gain from the Bloc Québécois
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mandy Gull-Masty | Liberal | 12,578 | 41.2% |
| Sylvie Bérubé | Bloc Québécois | 10,381 | 34.0% |
| Steve Corriveau | Conservative | 6,850 | 22.4% |
| Thai Dillon Higashihara | New Democratic | 752 | 2.5% |
Mandy Gull-Masty (Liberal) won Abitibi—
Of the 30,561 valid votes, Mandy Gull-Masty (Liberal) took 41.2%, Sylvie Bérubé (Bloc Québécois) 34.0%, Steve Corriveau (Conservative) 22.4% and Thai Dillon Higashihara (New Democratic) 2.5%. Turnout was 47.4% of 66,061 electors: 31,308 ballots cast, 30,561 of them valid, for 4 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 16.0 (25.2% to 41.2%), the Bloc Québécois down 2.8 (36.8% to 34.0%), the Conservatives up 7.0 (15.4% to 22.4%) and the New Democrats down 8.8 (11.3% to 2.5%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Bloc Québécois45.3%by 2.3 points over the Liberals
- 2006Bloc Québécois46.6%by 24.3 points over the Liberals
- 2008Bloc Québécois39.7%by 9.5 points over the Conservatives
- 2011changed handsNew Democratic44.9%by 22.2 points over the Conservatives
- 2015New Democratic37.0%by 4.9 points over the Liberals
- 2019changed handsBloc Québécois36.1%by 7.8 points over the Liberals
- 2021Bloc Québécois36.8%by 11.6 points over the Liberals
- 2025changed handsLiberal41.2%by 7.2 points over the Bloc Québécois
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Bloc Québécois | 45.3% | Liberal | 2.3 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Bloc Québécois | 46.6% | Liberal | 24.3 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Bloc Québécois | 39.7% | Conservative | 9.5 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | New Democratic | 44.9% | Conservative | 22.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | New Democratic | 37.0% | Liberal | 4.9 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Bloc Québécois | 36.1% | Liberal | 7.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Bloc Québécois | 36.8% | Liberal | 11.6 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 41.2% | Bloc Québécois | 7.2 | official result |
The Bloc Québécois were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the NDP at two and the Liberals at one; it changed hands three times. In 2025 the Liberals took 41.2% of the vote here, 15.5 points above their average of 25.7% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Bloc Québécois were first here in 2004 (45.3%), 2006 (46.6%), 2008 (39.7%), 2019 (36.1%) and 2021 (36.8%), the NDP in 2011 (44.9%) and 2015 (37.0%) and the Liberals in 2025 (41.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Bloc Québécois · Sylvie Bérubé, by 3,400 votes (11.9 pts)
- 2019 Bloc Québécois · Sylvie Bérubé, by 2,469 votes (7.8 pts)
- 2015 New Democratic · Romeo Saganash, by 1,684 votes (4.9 pts)
In the old Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Abitibi— Baie-James— Nunavik— Eeyou is
- Population
- 89,0852021 census
- Area
- 858,585km²
- Density
- 0.10people per km²
- Electors
- 66,061on the 2025 lists
- 3rd-largest by area in Canada858,585 km² · 3rd of 343
- 4th-lowest turnout in Canada47.4% of 66,061 electors voted · 4th of 343
- 6th-fewest university degrees13.0% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 6th lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 13.0% — about 46 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest6th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 1.6% — about 9 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest16th lowest of 343
- Median age is 35.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest26th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 50.6% — about 71 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest48th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 60.4% — about 37.8 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest61st highest of 343
- Median total household income is $84,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest162nd highest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou covers almost exactly the same ground as the Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou riding it replaced, and 100% of its 2025 electors lived in it.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandy Gull-Masty | Liberal | 12,578 | 41.2% | 25.2% | +16.0 |
| Sylvie Bérubé | Bloc Québécois | 10,381 | 34.0% | 36.8% | −2.8 |
| Steve Corriveau | Conservative | 6,850 | 22.4% | 15.4% | +7.0 |
| Thai Dillon Higashihara | New Democratic | 752 | 2.5% | 11.3% | −8.8 |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 1,099 voters switching from Liberal to Bloc Québécois — 3.6% of the 30,561 valid votes, 3.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 66.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Liberals took 39.0%, the Bloc Québécois 33.3%, the Conservatives 25.1% and the New Democrats 2.7%; in advance and special ballots, 45.5%, 35.4%, 17.2% and 1.9%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 39.0% | 45.5% | +6.5 |
| Bloc Québécois | 33.3% | 35.4% | +2.1 |
| Conservative | 25.1% | 17.2% | −7.9 |
| New Democratic | 2.7% | 1.9% | −0.8 |