The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk
Federal riding · ON · No. 35044 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Gaétan Malette Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative gain by 4,696 votes
- Turnout
- 62.6% of 76,004 electors
- Population
- 93,905 2021 census
- Area
- 276,431 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Largest by area in Ontario276,431 km² · 2nd of 122 in Ontario · 11th of 343 in Canada
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
- Turnout, lowest first62.6% of 76,004 electors voted · 43rd of 343 in Canada
In brief
- Gaétan Malette took the seat for the Conservatives by 4,696 votes (+9.9 points).
- 18% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
- Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 57.7% of votes were cast on the day.
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 12th lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Gaétan Malette
- Member: Natural Resources
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 18% of today's Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk came from ridings other than the old Timmins—James Bay.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
82.0%Timmins—James Bay 89% of it kept
16.6%Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing 41% of it kept
1.3%Kenora 1% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative gain
Elected
Gaétan Malette
Conservative
23,062
48.9% of valid votes
Margin
4,696
votes · +9.9 pts
Runner-up
Steve Black
Liberal
18,366
39.0% of valid votes
Conservative 48.9% · Liberal 39.0% · New Democratic 10.4% · People's 1.7%
Turnout62.6% of 76,004 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaétan Malette | Conservative | 23,062 | 48.9% | 24.9% | +24.0 |
| Steve Black | Liberal | 18,366 | 39.0% | 25.9% | +13.1 |
| Nicole Fortier Levesque | New Democratic | 4,895 | 10.4% | 35.4% | −25.0 |
| Serge Lefebvre | People's | 814 | 1.7% | 12.1% | −10.4 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
5.0 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
4,895 votes
New Democratic took more than the 4,696-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
30 of 164
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,349 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 5.0% of the 47,137 valid votes, 5.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative23,062
Liberal18,366
Still Conservative by 4,696 votes. Actual margin: 4,696.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 57.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative50.7%46.4%−4.3
Liberal36.3%42.6%+6.3
New Democratic11.0%9.6%−1.4
People's2.0%1.3%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $77,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest112th lowest of 343
- Median age is 43.6 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest106th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 13.7% — about 49 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest12th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 3.0% — about 17 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest29th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 67.9% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest132nd lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 35.3% — about 22.1 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest77th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35044ON · 2025
Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk
Gaétan Malette
- Result
- Conservative gain by 4,696
- Turnout
- 62.6%
- Population
- 93,905
- Area
- 276,431 km²
Largest by area in OntarioChanged hands in 2025Turnout, lowest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
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