The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Bay of Quinte
Federal riding · ON · No. 35006 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Chris Malette Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal gain by 3,716 votes
- Turnout
- 69.7% of 94,044 electors
- Population
- 110,155 2021 census
- Area
- 2,946 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
- Decided before election dayOn election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
- Closeness of the raceWon by 3,716 votes (5.7 pts) · 82nd of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Chris Malette
- Member: Environment and Sustainable Development
- Member: National Defence
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Bay of Quinte comes from the old Bay of Quinte, but it is only 94% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Bay of Quinte 94% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal gain
Elected
Chris Malette
Liberal
32,846
50.4% of valid votes
Margin
3,716
votes · +5.7 pts
Runner-up
Ryan Williams
Conservative
29,130
44.7% of valid votes
Liberal 50.4% · Conservative 44.7% · New Democratic 3.6% · Green 1.3%
Turnout69.7% of 94,044 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Malette | Liberal | 32,846 | 50.4% | 36.8% | +13.6 |
| Ryan Williams | Conservative | 29,130 | 44.7% | 40.3% | +4.4 |
| Kate Crothers | New Democratic | 2,373 | 3.6% | 15.2% | −11.6 |
| Erica Charlton | Green | 833 | 1.3% | 2.2% | −0.9 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
2.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,373 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 3,716-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
107 of 191
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 1,859 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 2.9% of the 65,182 valid votes, 2.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal32,846
Conservative29,130
Still Liberal by 3,716 votes. Actual margin: 3,716.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 55.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative48.4%40.1%−8.3
Liberal45.5%56.4%+10.9
New Democratic4.5%2.6%−1.9
Green1.6%0.9%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $75,000 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest97th lowest of 343
- Median age is 48.4 — about 1.2 times the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest38th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 18.3% — about 65 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest74th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 8.9% — about 51 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest104th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 68.2% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest134th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 2.4% — about 1.5 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest130th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35006ON · 2025
Bay of Quinte
Chris Malette
- Result
- Liberal gain by 3,716
- Turnout
- 69.7%
- Population
- 110,155
- Area
- 2,946 km²
Changed hands in 2025Decided before election dayCloseness of the race
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.