The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte
Federal riding · ON · No. 35005 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Doug Shipley Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 4,799 votes
- Turnout
- 70.7% of 93,580 electors
- Population
- 115,490 2021 census
- Area
- 1,366 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Closeness of the raceWon by 4,799 votes (7.3 pts) · 105th of 343 in Canada
- Population, largest first115,490 people, 2021 census · 122nd of 343 in Canada
- Turnout70.7% of 93,580 electors voted · 134th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Doug Shipley
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 24% of today's Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte came from ridings other than the old Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
76.3%Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte
23.7%Simcoe North 10% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Doug Shipley
Conservative
33,949
51.7% of valid votes
Margin
4,799
votes · +7.3 pts
Runner-up
Rose Zacharias
Liberal
29,150
44.4% of valid votes
Conservative 51.7% · Liberal 44.4% · New Democratic 2.4% · Green 1.4%
Turnout70.7% of 93,580 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Shipley | Conservative | 33,949 | 51.7% | 45.4% | +6.3 |
| Rose Zacharias | Liberal | 29,150 | 44.4% | 30.2% | +14.2 |
| Gabriela Trujillo | New Democratic | 1,559 | 2.4% | 16.5% | −14.1 |
| Greg Taylor | Green | 893 | 1.4% | 0.2% | +1.2 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| Michael Speers | Other | 158 | 0.2% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
3.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,559 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 4,799-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
28 of 193
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,400 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.7% of the 65,709 valid votes, 3.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative33,949
Liberal29,150
Still Conservative by 4,799 votes. Actual margin: 4,799.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 50.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative55.2%48.1%−7.1
Liberal39.9%48.9%+9.0
New Democratic3.0%1.8%−1.2
Green1.6%1.1%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $93,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest97th highest of 343
- Median age is 42.0 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest155th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 25.2% — a little lower than the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest144th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 12.6% — about 73 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest139th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 71.4% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest171st highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.6% — about the same as the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest165th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35005ON · 2025
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte
Doug Shipley
- Result
- Conservative hold by 4,799
- Turnout
- 70.7%
- Population
- 115,490
- Area
- 1,366 km²
Closeness of the racePopulation, largest firstTurnout
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.