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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 48010Alberta

Calgary Midnapore

Calgary Midnapore is a federal riding in Alberta. Stephanie Kusie (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2017) represents Calgary Midnapore. Stephanie Kusie (Conservative) held Calgary Midnapore for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 26,152 votes (35.6 points), with 65.5% of the vote. Sunjiv Raval (Liberal) was second with 29.9%, on a turnout of 73.5% of 100,409 electors. Member as of .

Fig. 1 — Calgary Midnapore on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Calgary Midnapore

CStephanie Kusie
Stephanie Kusie's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Stephanie Kusie

Member of Parliament for Calgary Midnapore

Conservative

MP since · 4 terms

  • Public Accounts committee
  • Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure

117 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—GC Strategies Inc. — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Calgary Midnapore, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Calgary Midnapore, April 28, 2025Of the 73,432 valid votes, Stephanie Kusie (Conservative) took 65.5%, Sunjiv Raval (Liberal) 29.9% and Austin Mullins (New Democratic) 3.1%; the 2 other candidates took 1.4% together.2025Turnout 73.5% of 100,409 electorsStephanie KusieConservative65.5% · 48,13126,152 votes ahead · 35.6 ptsSunjiv RavalLiberal29.9% · 21,979Austin MullinsNew Democratic3.1% · 2,271Others (2)1.4% · 1,051050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Calgary Midnapore, April 28, 2025Of the 73,432 valid votes, Stephanie Kusie (Conservative) took 65.5%, Sunjiv Raval (Liberal) 29.9% and Austin Mullins (New Democratic) 3.1%; the 2 other candidates took 1.4% together.2025Turnout 73.5% of 100,409 electorsStephanie KusieConservative65.5% · 48,13126,152 votes ahead · 35.6 ptsSunjiv RavalLiberal29.9% · 21,979Austin MullinsNew Democratic3.1% · 2,271Others (2)1.4% · 1,051050%100%
Shares of the 73,432 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Stephanie KusieConservative48,13165.5%
Sunjiv RavalLiberal21,97929.9%
Austin MullinsNew Democratic2,2713.1%
Others (2)1,0511.4%

Stephanie Kusie (Conservative) won Calgary Midnapore on with 48,131 votes, 65.5% of the 73,432 valid votes. Sunjiv Raval (Liberal) was second with 21,979 (29.9%), 26,152 votes and 35.6 points behind.

Of the 73,432 valid votes, Stephanie Kusie (Conservative) took 65.5%, Sunjiv Raval (Liberal) 29.9% and Austin Mullins (New Democratic) 3.1%; the 2 other candidates took 1.4% together. Turnout was 73.5% of 100,409 electors: 73,829 ballots cast, 73,432 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 5.6 (59.9% to 65.5%), the Liberals up 17.5 (12.4% to 29.9%) and the New Democrats down 15.3 (18.4% to 3.1%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Calgary Midnapore at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Conservative71.1%by 55.1 points over the Liberals
  2. 2006Conservative74.7%by 64.4 points over the Liberals
  3. 2008Conservative74.3%by 64.4 points over the Greens
  4. 2011Conservative76.2%by 65.7 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015Conservative66.6%by 43.9 points over the Liberals
  6. 2019Conservative74.2%by 63.0 points over the Liberals
  7. 2021Conservative59.9%by 41.5 points over the New Democrats
  8. 2025Conservative65.5%by 35.6 points over the Liberals
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Conservative71.1%Liberal55.1carried, our estimate
2006Conservative74.7%Liberal64.4carried, our estimate
2008Conservative74.3%Green64.4carried, our estimate
2011Conservative76.2%New Democratic65.7carried, our estimate
2015Conservative66.6%Liberal43.9carried, our estimate
2019Conservative74.2%Liberal63.0carried, our estimate
2021Conservative59.9%New Democratic41.5transposed by Elections Canada
2025Conservative65.5%Liberal35.6official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 54.2 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 65.5% of the vote here, 5.5 points below their average of 71.0% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (71.1%), 2006 (74.7%), 2008 (74.3%), 2011 (76.2%), 2015 (66.6%), 2019 (74.2%), 2021 (59.9%) and 2025 (65.5%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Conservative · Stephanie Kusie, by 27,321 votes (42.4 pts)
  • 2019 Conservative · Stephanie Kusie, by 43,052 votes (63.3 pts)
  • 2015 Conservative · Jason Kenney, by 28,019 votes (44.1 pts)

In the old Calgary Midnapore on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Calgary Midnapore lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Calgary Midnapore is

Population
118,6952021 census
Area
83km²
Density
1,428people per km²
Electors
100,409on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Won every election-day poll: All 198 election-day polls went to the winner · one of 15 of 34315
    Won every election-day poll
    All 198 election-day polls went to the winner · one of 15 of 343
  • Median total household income is $104,000 — about 1.2 times the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest48th highest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 76.8% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest99th highest of 343
  • Median age is 40.0 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest116th lowest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 27.1% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest116th highest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 37.2% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest118th highest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.3% — about 81 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest141st lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 96% of the 2025 electors in today's Calgary Midnapore lived in the old Calgary Midnapore; by area, 2% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
96.1%Calgary Midnapore 98.2% of the area · 94% of it kept
3.9%Calgary Heritage 1.6% of the area · 2% of it kept
0.0%Calgary Shepard 0.1% of the area · under 0.1% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Stephanie KusieConservative48,13165.5%59.9%+5.6
Sunjiv RavalLiberal21,97929.9%12.4%+17.5
Austin MullinsNew Democratic2,2713.1%18.4%−15.3
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Colin KindretPeople's5560.8%
Adam DelgadoGreen4950.7%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
2,271 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 26,152-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
0 of 198
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (198) · ■ won by another party (0).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 13,077 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 17.8% of the 73,432 valid votes, 17.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative48,131
Liberal21,979
Still Conservative by 26,152 votes. Actual margin: 26,152.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 56.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 66.0%, the Liberals 28.8%, the New Democrats 3.5% and the People's Party 0.9%; in advance and special ballots, 64.9%, 31.4%, 2.6% and 0.6%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Calgary Midnapore, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Calgary Midnapore, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 66.0%, the Liberals 28.8%, the New Democrats 3.5% and the People's Party 0.9%; in advance and special ballots, 64.9%, 31.4%, 2.6% and 0.6%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative66.0%64.9%−1.1 ptsLiberal28.8%31.4%+2.6 ptsNew Democratic3.5%2.6%−0.9 ptsPeople's Party0.9%0.6%−0.3 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Calgary Midnapore, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 66.0%, the Liberals 28.8%, the New Democrats 3.5% and the People's Party 0.9%; in advance and special ballots, 64.9%, 31.4%, 2.6% and 0.6%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative66.0%64.9%−1.1 ptsLiberal28.8%31.4%+2.6 ptsNew Democratic3.5%2.6%−0.9 ptsPeople's Party0.9%0.6%−0.3 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Conservative66.0%64.9%−1.1
Liberal28.8%31.4%+2.6
New Democratic3.5%2.6%−0.9
People's Party0.9%0.6%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Calgary Midnapore and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Calgary Midnapore — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/calgary-midnapore/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.