The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River

Desnethé—Missinippi—Rivière Churchill
Federal riding · SK · No. 47003 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Buckley Belanger Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 3,575 votes
Turnout
36.3% of 25,125 electors
Population
37,845 2021 census
Area
311,621 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Largest Indigenous share: 86.9% report an Indigenous identity, the highest of 343 (Share with an Indigenous identity, 2021 census)1st
    Largest Indigenous share
    86.9% report an Indigenous identity, the highest of 343 (Share with an Indigenous identity, 2021 census)
  • Lowest turnout in Canada: 36.3% of 25,125 electors voted · 2nd of 3432nd
    Lowest turnout in Canada
    36.3% of 25,125 electors voted · 2nd of 343
  • Least populous in Canada: 37,845 people, 2021 census · 4th of 3434th
    Least populous in Canada
    37,845 people, 2021 census · 4th of 343
  • Largest by area in Canada: 311,621 km² · 9th of 3439th
    Largest by area in Canada
    311,621 km² · 9th of 343
  • Youngest median age: Median age 27.2, 2nd lowest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)2nd
    Youngest median age
    Median age 27.2, 2nd lowest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)
  • Fewest university degrees: 10.0% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 2nd lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)2nd
    Fewest university degrees
    10.0% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 2nd lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
In brief
  1. Buckley Belanger held the seat for the Liberals by 3,575 votes (+39.6 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 92% of the old Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 61.3% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 2nd lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Buckley Belanger
Liberal · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Secretary of State (Rural Development)

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River comes from the old Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, but it is only 92% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River 92% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Buckley Belanger
Liberal
5,876
65.1% of valid votes
Margin
3,575
votes · +39.6 pts
Runner-up
Jim Lemaigre
Conservative
2,301
25.5% of valid votes
Liberal 65.1% · Conservative 25.5% · New Democratic 9.4%
Turnout36.3% of 25,125 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Buckley BelangerLiberal5,87665.1%46.1%+19.0
Jim LemaigreConservative2,30125.5%23.4%+2.1
Doug RacineNew Democratic8509.4%23.9%−14.5
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
19.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
850 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 3,575-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
8 of 46
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (38) · ■ won by another party (8).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,788 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 19.8% of the 9,027 valid votes, 19.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal5,876
Conservative2,301
Still Liberal by 3,575 votes. Actual margin: 3,575.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 61.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal64.7%65.8%+1.1
Conservative25.5%25.5%+0.0
New Democratic9.9%8.7%−1.2
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 47003SK · 2025
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River
Buckley Belanger
Result
Liberal hold by 3,575
Turnout
36.3%
Population
37,845
Area
311,621 km²
Largest Indigenous share: 86.9% report an Indigenous identity, the highest of 343 (Share with an Indigenous identity, 2021 census)1stLargest Indigenous shareLowest turnout in Canada: 36.3% of 25,125 electors voted · 2nd of 3432ndLowest turnout in CanadaLeast populous in Canada: 37,845 people, 2021 census · 4th of 3434thLeast populous in CanadaLargest by area in Canada: 311,621 km² · 9th of 3439thLargest by area in CanadaYoungest median age: Median age 27.2, 2nd lowest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)2ndYoungest median ageFewest university degrees: 10.0% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 2nd lowest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)2ndFewest university degrees
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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