The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 47003Saskatchewan

Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River

Name: 2025 Canadian federal election in Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River
Start: 2025-04-28
End: 2025-04-28

Desnethé—Missinippi—Rivière Churchill

Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River is a federal riding in Saskatchewan. Buckley Belanger (Liberal) has represented Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River since the 2025 election. Buckley Belanger (Liberal) held Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 3,575 votes (39.6 points), with 65.1% of the vote. Jim Lemaigre (Conservative) was second with 25.5%, on a turnout of 36.3% of 25,125 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River

Buckley Belanger's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Buckley Belanger

Member of Parliament for Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River

Liberal

MP since 2025-04-28 · first term

Secretary of State (Rural Development)

81 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 9,027 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Buckley Belanger	Liberal	5,876	65.1%
Jim Lemaigre	Conservative	2,301	25.5%
Doug Racine	New Democratic	850	9.4%

Buckley Belanger (Liberal) won Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River on April 28, 2025 with 5,876 votes, 65.1% of the 9,027 valid votes. Jim Lemaigre (Conservative) was second with 2,301 (25.5%), 3,575 votes and 39.6 points behind.

Of the 9,027 valid votes, Buckley Belanger (Liberal) took 65.1%, Jim Lemaigre (Conservative) 25.5% and Doug Racine (New Democratic) 9.4%. Turnout was 36.3% of 25,125 electors: 9,117 ballots cast, 9,027 of them valid, for 3 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 19.0 (46.1% to 65.1%), the Conservatives up 2.1 (23.4% to 25.5%) and the New Democrats down 14.5 (23.9% to 9.4%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Conservative37.4%by 7.5 points over the Liberals
2006†changed handsLiberal41.4%by 0.3 points over the Conservatives
2008changed handsConservative46.7%by 16.4 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative47.9%by 3.6 points over the New Democrats
2015†changed handsNew Democratic34.2%by 0.3 points over the Liberals
2019changed handsConservative42.3%by 13.9 points over the New Democrats
2021changed handsLiberal46.1%by 22.2 points over the New Democrats
2025Liberal65.1%by 39.6 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Conservative	37.4%	Liberal	7.5	carried, our estimate
2006†	Liberal	41.4%	Conservative	0.3	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	46.7%	Liberal	16.4	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	47.9%	New Democratic	3.6	carried, our estimate
2015†	New Democratic	34.2%	Liberal	0.3	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	42.3%	New Democratic	13.9	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	46.1%	New Democratic	22.2	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	65.1%	Conservative	39.6	official result

The Conservatives were first at four of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at three and the NDP at one; it changed hands five times. In 2025 the Liberals took 65.1% of the vote here, 34.6 points above their average of 30.5% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (37.4%), 2008 (46.7%), 2011 (47.9%) and 2019 (42.3%), the Liberals in 2006 (41.4%), 2021 (46.1%) and 2025 (65.1%) and the NDP in 2015 (34.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2006 and 2015 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Gary Vidal, by 4,503 votes (21.9 pts)
2019 Conservative · Gary Vidal, by 3,790 votes (13.9 pts)
2015 New Democratic · Georgina Jolibois, by 82 votes (0.3 pts)

In the old Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River is

Population: 37,8452021 census
Area: 311,621km²
Density: 0.12people per km²
Electors: 25,125on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

Largest Indigenous share
86.9% report an Indigenous identity, the highest of 343 (Share with an Indigenous identity, 2021 census)
2nd-lowest turnout in Canada
36.3% of 25,125 electors voted · 2nd of 343
4th-least populous in Canada
37,845 people, 2021 census · 4th of 343

Median age is 27.2 — about 65 percent of the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest2nd lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 10.0% — about 35 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest2nd lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.3% — about 19 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest7th lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 1.4% — about 8 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest9th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 35.3% — about 49 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest14th lowest of 343
Median total household income is $71,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest72nd lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, but it is only 92% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River 100.0% of the area · 92% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Buckley Belanger	Liberal	5,876	65.1%	46.1%	+19.0
Jim Lemaigre	Conservative	2,301	25.5%	23.4%	+2.1
Doug Racine	New Democratic	850	9.4%	23.9%	−14.5

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

850 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 3,575-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

8 of 46

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (38) · ■ won by another party (8).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,788 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 19.8% of the 9,027 valid votes, 19.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 003,576

Liberal5,876

Conservative2,301

Still Liberal by 3,575 votes. Actual margin: 3,575.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 61.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 64.7%, the Conservatives 25.5% and the New Democrats 9.9%; in advance and special ballots, 65.8%, 25.5% and 8.7%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	64.7%	65.8%	+1.1
Conservative	25.5%	25.5%	+0.0
New Democratic	9.9%	8.7%	−1.2

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/desnethe-missinippi-churchill-river/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.