Yes — it shrank. All of today's Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River comes from the old Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River, but it is only 92% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River 92% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Buckley Belanger
Liberal
5,876
65.1% of valid votes
Margin
3,575
votes · +39.6 pts
Runner-up
Jim Lemaigre
Conservative
2,301
25.5% of valid votes
Liberal 65.1% · Conservative 25.5% · New Democratic 9.4%
Turnout36.3% of 25,125 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Buckley Belanger
Liberal
5,876
65.1%
46.1%
+19.0
Jim Lemaigre
Conservative
2,301
25.5%
23.4%
+2.1
Doug Racine
New Democratic
850
9.4%
23.9%
−14.5
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
19.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
850 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 3,575-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
8 of 46
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (38) · ■ won by another party (8).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 1,788 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 19.8% of the 9,027 valid votes, 19.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal5,876
Conservative2,301
Still Liberal by 3,575 votes. Actual margin: 3,575.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 61.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal64.7%65.8%+1.1
Conservative25.5%25.5%+0.0
New Democratic9.9%8.7%−1.2
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $71,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest72nd lowest of 343
Median age is 27.2 — about 65 percent of the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest2nd lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 10.0% — about 35 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest2nd lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 1.4% — about 8 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest9th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 35.3% — about 49 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest14th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.3% — about 19 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest7th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River and its 6 neighbouring ridings.
Largest Indigenous shareLowest turnout in CanadaLeast populous in CanadaLargest by area in CanadaYoungest median ageFewest university degrees
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.