The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Cumberland—Colchester

Federal riding · NS · No. 12004 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Cumberland—Colchester, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Alana Hirtle Liberal
2025 result
Liberal gain by 1,228 votes
Turnout
70.4% of 70,762 electors
Population
82,015 2021 census
Area
11,078 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Closest race in Nova Scotia: Won by 1,228 votes (2.5 pts) · 2nd of 11 in Nova Scotia · 25th of 343 in Canada2nd
    Closest race in Nova Scotia
    Won by 1,228 votes (2.5 pts) · 2nd of 11 in Nova Scotia · 25th of 343 in Canada
  • Lowest turnout in Nova Scotia: 70.4% of 70,762 electors voted · 2nd of 11 in Nova Scotia · 200th of 343 in Canada2nd
    Lowest turnout in Nova Scotia
    70.4% of 70,762 electors voted · 2nd of 11 in Nova Scotia · 200th of 343 in Canada
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (2 of 11 in Nova Scotia)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (2 of 11 in Nova Scotia)
  • Decided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327
    Decided before election day
    On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
  • Boundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59
    Boundaries unchanged in 2023
    Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
In brief
  1. Alana Hirtle took the seat for the Liberals by 1,228 votes (+2.5 points).
  2. The boundaries did not change in 2023.
  3. On election day alone, the Conservatives led; advance and special ballots decided it.
  4. Median age is the 28th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Alana Hirtle
Liberal · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Member: Canadian Heritage
  • Member: Veterans Affairs
35 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Use of Federal Lands for Veterans.

IDid this riding change?

Essentially no. Today's Cumberland—Colchester covers almost exactly the same ground as the Cumberland—Colchester riding it replaced.

How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal gain
Elected
Alana Hirtle
Liberal
23,929
48.3% of valid votes
Margin
1,228
votes · +2.5 pts
Runner-up
Stephen Ellis
Conservative
22,701
45.8% of valid votes
Liberal 48.3% · Conservative 45.8% · New Democratic 3.8% · Green 1.4%
Turnout70.4% of 70,762 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Alana HirtleLiberal23,92948.3%34.0%+14.3
Stephen EllisConservative22,70145.8%45.7%+0.1
Larry DuchesneNew Democratic1,8733.8%12.3%−8.5
Kelly-Ann CallaghanGreen6941.4%2.6%−1.2
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Paul ChurchPeople's3330.7%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
1.3 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,873 votes
New Democratic took more than the 1,228-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
128 of 187
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (56) · ■ won by another party (128) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 615 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 1.2% of the 49,530 valid votes, 1.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal23,929
Conservative22,701
Still Liberal by 1,228 votes. Actual margin: 1,228.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 51.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative50.4%41.0%−9.4
Liberal42.5%54.5%+12.0
New Democratic4.4%3.1%−1.3
Green1.8%1.0%−0.8
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Cumberland—Colchester and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 12004NS · 2025
Cumberland—Colchester
Alana Hirtle
Result
Liberal gain by 1,228
Turnout
70.4%
Population
82,015
Area
11,078 km²
Closest race in Nova Scotia: Won by 1,228 votes (2.5 pts) · 2nd of 11 in Nova Scotia · 25th of 343 in Canada2ndClosest race in Nova ScotiaLowest turnout in Nova Scotia: 70.4% of 70,762 electors voted · 2nd of 11 in Nova Scotia · 200th of 343 in Canada2ndLowest turnout in Nova ScotiaChanged hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (2 of 11 in Nova Scotia)58Changed hands in 2025Decided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327Decided before election dayBoundaries unchanged in 2023: Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area59Boundaries unchanged in 2023
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.