The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Guelph
Federal riding · ON · No. 35033 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Dominique O'Rourke Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 15,936 votes
- Turnout
- 72.8% of 92,031 electors
- Population
- 118,690 2021 census
- Area
- 68 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Length of the ballot8 candidates stood · 11th of 343 in Canada
- Turnout72.8% of 92,031 electors voted · 74th of 343 in Canada
- Population, largest first118,690 people, 2021 census · 81st of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Dominique O'Rourke
- Member: Industry and Technology
- Member: Transport, Infrastructure and Communities
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Guelph comes from the old Guelph, but it is only 74% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.7%Guelph 74% of it kept
0.3%Wellington—Halton Hills 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Dominique O'Rourke
Liberal
36,406
54.7% of valid votes
Margin
15,936
votes · +24.0 pts
Runner-up
Gurvir Khaira
Conservative
20,470
30.7% of valid votes
Liberal 54.7% · Conservative 30.7% · Green 10.2% · New Democratic 3.2%
Turnout72.8% of 92,031 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique O'Rourke | Liberal | 36,406 | 54.7% | 41.1% | +13.6 |
| Gurvir Khaira | Conservative | 20,470 | 30.7% | 23.3% | +7.4 |
| Anne-Marie Zajdlik | Green | 6,779 | 10.2% | 7.8% | +2.4 |
| Janice Folk-Dawson | New Democratic | 2,129 | 3.2% | 21.9% | −18.7 |
4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Jeffrey Swackhammer | People's | 498 | 0.7% |
| Elaine Baetz | Other | 132 | 0.2% |
| Michael Wassilyn | Independent | 117 | 0.2% |
| Yurii Yavorskyi | Other | 62 | 0.1% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
12.0 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
6,779 votes
Green took fewer than the 15,936-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
31 of 181
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 7,969 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 12.0% of the 66,593 valid votes, 12.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal36,406
Conservative20,470
Still Liberal by 15,936 votes. Actual margin: 15,936.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 58.1% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal50.4%60.6%+10.2
Conservative33.4%27.1%−6.3
Green11.2%8.8%−2.4
New Democratic3.6%2.6%−1.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $89,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest122nd highest of 343
- Median age is 38.8 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest89th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 38.5% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest110th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 22.8% — about 1.3 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest139th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 63.1% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest99th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.1% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest112th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35033ON · 2025
Guelph
Dominique O'Rourke
- Result
- Liberal hold by 15,936
- Turnout
- 72.8%
- Population
- 118,690
- Area
- 68 km²
Length of the ballotTurnoutPopulation, largest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.