The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Haldimand—Norfolk
Federal riding · ON · No. 35034 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Leslyn Lewis Conservative
- 2025 result
- Conservative hold by 15,178 votes
- Turnout
- 72.1% of 99,764 electors
- Population
- 116,705 2021 census
- Area
- 4,563 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Boundaries unchanged in 2023Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
- Length of the ballot6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
- Area, largest first4,563 km² · 95th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Leslyn Lewis
- Member: Transport, Infrastructure and Communities
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Haldimand—Norfolk covers almost exactly the same ground as the Haldimand—Norfolk riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Leslyn Lewis
Conservative
41,218
57.6% of valid votes
Margin
15,178
votes · +21.2 pts
Runner-up
Colin Walsh
Liberal
26,040
36.4% of valid votes
Conservative 57.6% · Liberal 36.4% · New Democratic 3.4% · Green 1.0%
Turnout72.1% of 99,764 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslyn Lewis | Conservative | 41,218 | 57.6% | 47.1% | +10.5 |
| Colin Walsh | Liberal | 26,040 | 36.4% | 27.3% | +9.1 |
| Shannon Horner-Shepherd | New Democratic | 2,412 | 3.4% | 13.2% | −9.8 |
| Nathan Hawkins | Green | 750 | 1.0% | — | +1.0 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Henry Geissler | People's | 657 | 0.9% |
| Lily Eggink | Other | 529 | 0.7% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
10.6 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,412 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 15,178-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
9 of 220
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 7,590 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 10.6% of the 71,606 valid votes, 10.6 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative41,218
Liberal26,040
Still Conservative by 15,178 votes. Actual margin: 15,178.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 53.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative62.2%52.2%−10.0
Liberal30.7%43.0%+12.3
New Democratic3.8%2.8%−1.0
Green1.2%0.8%−0.4
People's1.1%0.7%−0.4
Other1.0%0.5%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $86,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest147th highest of 343
- Median age is 46.4 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest59th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 14.5% — about 51 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest22nd lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 9.9% — about 57 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest116th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 83.0% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest33rd highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.8% — about 50 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest61st lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35034ON · 2025
Haldimand—Norfolk
Leslyn Lewis
- Result
- Conservative hold by 15,178
- Turnout
- 72.1%
- Population
- 116,705
- Area
- 4,563 km²
Boundaries unchanged in 2023Length of the ballotArea, largest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.