The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35032Ontario

Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North

Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant-Nord

Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North is a federal riding in Ontario. Dan Muys (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2021) represents Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North. Dan Muys (Conservative) held Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 6,331 votes (9.5 points), with 52.7% of the vote. Chuck Phillips (Liberal) was second with 43.2%, on a turnout of 76.6% of 87,881 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North

Dan Muys's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Dan Muys

Member of Parliament for Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North

Conservative

MP since 2021-09-20 · 2 terms

Transport, Infrastructure and Communities committee

71 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 66,884 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Dan Muys	Conservative	35,246	52.7%
Chuck Phillips	Liberal	28,915	43.2%
Peter Werhun	New Democratic	1,630	2.4%
Others (2)		1,093	1.6%

Dan Muys (Conservative) won Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North on April 28, 2025 with 35,246 votes, 52.7% of the 66,884 valid votes. Chuck Phillips (Liberal) was second with 28,915 (43.2%), 6,331 votes and 9.5 points behind.

Of the 66,884 valid votes, Dan Muys (Conservative) took 52.7%, Chuck Phillips (Liberal) 43.2% and Peter Werhun (New Democratic) 2.4%; the 2 other candidates took 1.6% together. Turnout was 76.6% of 87,881 electors: 67,331 ballots cast, 66,884 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 9.2 (43.5% to 52.7%), the Liberals up 10.9 (32.3% to 43.2%) and the New Democrats down 12.1 (14.5% to 2.4%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: usually Conservative

The party first in Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal39.1%by 3.2 points over the Conservatives
2006changed handsConservative40.7%by 6.7 points over the Liberals
2008Conservative46.9%by 19.3 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative52.4%by 30.5 points over the New Democrats
2015Conservative42.8%by 5.6 points over the Liberals
2019Conservative39.3%by 4.0 points over the Liberals
2021Conservative43.5%by 11.2 points over the Liberals
2025Conservative52.7%by 9.5 points over the Liberals

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	39.1%	Conservative	3.2	carried, our estimate
2006	Conservative	40.7%	Liberal	6.7	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	46.9%	Liberal	19.3	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	52.4%	New Democratic	30.5	carried, our estimate
2015	Conservative	42.8%	Liberal	5.6	carried, our estimate
2019	Conservative	39.3%	Liberal	4.0	carried, our estimate
2021	Conservative	43.5%	Liberal	11.2	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Conservative	52.7%	Liberal	9.5	official result

The Conservatives were first here at seven of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025; the Liberals were first in 2004. In 2025 the Conservatives took 52.7% of the vote here, 9.6 points above their average of 43.1% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (39.1%) and the Conservatives in 2006 (40.7%), 2008 (46.9%), 2011 (52.4%), 2015 (42.8%), 2019 (39.3%), 2021 (43.5%) and 2025 (52.7%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 83 of the 343 ridings are usually one party's. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025

2021 Conservative · Dan Muys, by 3,020 votes (5.1 pts)
2019 Conservative · David Sweet, by 1,652 votes (2.6 pts)
2015 Conservative · David Sweet, by 2,409 votes (4.4 pts)

In Flamborough—Glanbrook on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North is

Population: 103,7202021 census
Area: 1,167km²
Density: 89people per km²
Electors: 87,881on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

2nd-most home owners
88.7% of households own their home, 2nd highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)

Share of households that own their home is 88.7% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest2nd highest of 343
Median total household income is $117,000 — about 1.4 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest25th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.0% — about 63 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest101st lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 30.9% — a little higher than the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest154th highest of 343
Median age is 41.6 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest163rd highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 16.4% — a little lower than the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest170th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 76% of the 2025 electors in today's Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North lived in the old Flamborough—Glanbrook; by area, 21% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

75.8%Flamborough—Glanbrook 78.8% of the area · 98% of it kept

22.5%Brantford—Brant 12.7% of the area · 17% of it kept

1.7%Cambridge 8.5% of the area · 27% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Dan Muys	Conservative	35,246	52.7%	43.5%	+9.2
Chuck Phillips	Liberal	28,915	43.2%	32.3%	+10.9
Peter Werhun	New Democratic	1,630	2.4%	14.5%	−12.1

2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Anita Payne	Green	594	0.9%
Nikita Mahood	People's	499	0.7%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,630 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 6,331-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

26 of 178

1 poll ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (151) · ■ won by another party (26) · ▨ tied (1).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 3,166 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 4.7% of the 66,884 valid votes, 4.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 006,332

Conservative35,246

Liberal28,915

Still Conservative by 6,331 votes. Actual margin: 6,331.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 56.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 55.5%, the Liberals 39.8%, the New Democrats 2.8% and the Greens 1.1%; in advance and special ballots, 49.0%, 47.7%, 2.0% and 0.7%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Conservative	55.5%	49.0%	−6.5
Liberal	39.8%	47.7%	+7.9
New Democratic	2.8%	2.0%	−0.8
Green	1.1%	0.7%	−0.4

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North and its 12 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/flamborough-glanbrook-brant-north/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.