The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North

Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant-Nord
Federal riding · ON · No. 35032 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Dan Muys Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 6,331 votes
Turnout
76.6% of 87,881 electors
Population
103,720 2021 census
Area
1,167 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Most home owners: 88.7% of households own their home, 2nd highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)2nd
    Most home owners
    88.7% of households own their home, 2nd highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)
  • Turnout: 76.6% of 87,881 electors voted · 16th of 343 in Canada16th
    Turnout
    76.6% of 87,881 electors voted · 16th of 343 in Canada
  • Population, smallest first: 103,720 people, 2021 census · 83rd of 343 in Canada83rd
    Population, smallest first
    103,720 people, 2021 census · 83rd of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Dan Muys held the seat for the Conservatives by 6,331 votes (+9.5 points).
  2. 21% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 56.4% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share of households that own their home is the 2nd highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Dan Muys
Conservative · first elected 2021-09-20 · 2 terms
  • Member: Transport, Infrastructure and Communities
64 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 21% of today's Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North came from ridings other than the old Flamborough—Glanbrook.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
78.8%Flamborough—Glanbrook 98% of it kept
12.7%Brantford—Brant 17% of it kept
8.5%Cambridge 27% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Dan Muys
Conservative
35,246
52.7% of valid votes
Margin
6,331
votes · +9.5 pts
Runner-up
Chuck Phillips
Liberal
28,915
43.2% of valid votes
Conservative 52.7% · Liberal 43.2% · New Democratic 2.4%
Turnout76.6% of 87,881 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Dan MuysConservative35,24652.7%43.5%+9.2
Chuck PhillipsLiberal28,91543.2%32.3%+10.9
Peter WerhunNew Democratic1,6302.4%14.5%−12.1
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Anita PayneGreen5940.9%
Nikita MahoodPeople's4990.7%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
4.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,630 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 6,331-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
26 of 178
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (151) · ■ won by another party (26) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 3,166 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 4.7% of the 66,884 valid votes, 4.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative35,246
Liberal28,915
Still Conservative by 6,331 votes. Actual margin: 6,331.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 56.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative55.5%49.0%−6.5
Liberal39.8%47.7%+7.9
New Democratic2.8%2.0%−0.8
Green1.1%0.7%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North and its 12 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35032ON · 2025
Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North
Dan Muys
Result
Conservative hold by 6,331
Turnout
76.6%
Population
103,720
Area
1,167 km²
Most home owners: 88.7% of households own their home, 2nd highest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)2ndMost home ownersTurnout: 76.6% of 87,881 electors voted · 16th of 343 in Canada16thTurnoutPopulation, smallest first: 103,720 people, 2021 census · 83rd of 343 in Canada83rdPopulation, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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