The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Wellington—Halton Hills North

Wellington—Halton Hills-Nord
Federal riding · ON · No. 35115 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Wellington—Halton Hills North, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Michael Chong Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 4,127 votes
Turnout
76.0% of 88,161 electors
Population
105,115 2021 census
Area
1,454 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Turnout: 76.0% of 88,161 electors voted · 20th of 343 in Canada20th
    Turnout
    76.0% of 88,161 electors voted · 20th of 343 in Canada
  • Closeness of the race: Won by 4,127 votes (6.2 pts) · 89th of 343 in Canada89th
    Closeness of the race
    Won by 4,127 votes (6.2 pts) · 89th of 343 in Canada
  • Population, smallest first: 105,115 people, 2021 census · 95th of 343 in Canada95th
    Population, smallest first
    105,115 people, 2021 census · 95th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Michael Chong held the seat for the Conservatives by 4,127 votes (+6.2 points).
  2. 2% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 51.3% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share of households that own their home is the 18th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Michael Chong
Conservative · first elected 2004-06-28 · 8 terms
  • Member: Foreign Affairs and International Development
  • Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
  • Vice-Chair: Foreign Affairs and International Development

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 2% of today's Wellington—Halton Hills North came from ridings other than the old Wellington—Halton Hills.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
98.3%Wellington—Halton Hills 90% of it kept
1.7%Guelph 26% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Michael Chong
Conservative
33,736
50.6% of valid votes
Margin
4,127
votes · +6.2 pts
Runner-up
Sean Carscadden
Liberal
29,609
44.4% of valid votes
Conservative 50.6% · Liberal 44.4% · Green 2.1% · New Democratic 2.0%
Turnout76.0% of 88,161 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Michael ChongConservative33,73650.6%46.5%+4.1
Sean CarscaddenLiberal29,60944.4%30.1%+14.3
Liam StilesGreen1,3892.1%4.7%−2.6
Andrew BascombeNew Democratic1,3462.0%11.9%−9.9
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Syl CarlePeople's5660.8%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
3.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,389 votes
Green took fewer than the 4,127-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
47 of 189
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (142) · ■ won by another party (47).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,064 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.1% of the 66,646 valid votes, 3.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative33,736
Liberal29,609
Still Conservative by 4,127 votes. Actual margin: 4,127.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 51.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative54.3%46.7%−7.6
Liberal40.0%49.1%+9.1
Green2.4%1.8%−0.6
New Democratic2.2%1.8%−0.4
People's1.1%0.6%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Wellington—Halton Hills North and its 10 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35115ON · 2025
Wellington—Halton Hills North
Michael Chong
Result
Conservative hold by 4,127
Turnout
76.0%
Population
105,115
Area
1,454 km²
Turnout: 76.0% of 88,161 electors voted · 20th of 343 in Canada20thTurnoutCloseness of the race: Won by 4,127 votes (6.2 pts) · 89th of 343 in Canada89thCloseness of the racePopulation, smallest first: 105,115 people, 2021 census · 95th of 343 in Canada95thPopulation, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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