Member: Foreign Affairs and International Development
Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
Vice-Chair: Foreign Affairs and International Development
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 2% of today's Wellington—Halton Hills North came from ridings other than the old Wellington—Halton Hills.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
98.3%Wellington—Halton Hills 90% of it kept
1.7%Guelph 26% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Michael Chong
Conservative
33,736
50.6% of valid votes
Margin
4,127
votes · +6.2 pts
Runner-up
Sean Carscadden
Liberal
29,609
44.4% of valid votes
Conservative 50.6% · Liberal 44.4% · Green 2.1% · New Democratic 2.0%
Turnout76.0% of 88,161 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Michael Chong
Conservative
33,736
50.6%
46.5%
+4.1
Sean Carscadden
Liberal
29,609
44.4%
30.1%
+14.3
Liam Stiles
Green
1,389
2.1%
4.7%
−2.6
Andrew Bascombe
New Democratic
1,346
2.0%
11.9%
−9.9
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
Syl Carle
People's
566
0.8%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
3.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,389 votes
Green took fewer than the 4,127-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
47 of 189
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (142) · ■ won by another party (47).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,064 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 3.1% of the 66,646 valid votes, 3.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative33,736
Liberal29,609
Still Conservative by 4,127 votes. Actual margin: 4,127.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 51.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative54.3%46.7%−7.6
Liberal40.0%49.1%+9.1
Green2.4%1.8%−0.6
New Democratic2.2%1.8%−0.4
People's1.1%0.6%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $115,000 — about 1.4 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest29th highest of 343
Median age is 43.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest118th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 33.6% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest134th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 17.3% — about the same as the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest172nd lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 84.3% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest18th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.1% — about 69 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest112th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Wellington—Halton Hills North and its 10 neighbouring ridings.
TurnoutCloseness of the racePopulation, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.