The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
Hamilton-Ouest—Ancaster—Dundas
Federal riding · ON · No. 35039 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- John-Paul Danko Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 13,423 votes
- Turnout
- 73.9% of 94,542 electors
- Population
- 120,505 2021 census
- Area
- 108 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Turnout73.9% of 94,542 electors voted · 52nd of 343 in Canada
- Population, largest first120,505 people, 2021 census · 59th of 343 in Canada
- Length of the ballot6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
John-Paul Danko
- Member: Government Operations and Estimates
- Member: Natural Resources
- Vice-Chair: Government Operations and Estimates
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 1% of today's Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas came from ridings other than the old Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.1%Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas 98% of it kept
0.9%Flamborough—Glanbrook 0% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
John-Paul Danko
Liberal
38,970
56.1% of valid votes
Margin
13,423
votes · +19.3 pts
Runner-up
Erika Alexander
Conservative
25,547
36.8% of valid votes
Liberal 56.1% · Conservative 36.8% · New Democratic 5.3% · Green 1.2%
Turnout73.9% of 94,542 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John-Paul Danko | Liberal | 38,970 | 56.1% | 44.0% | +12.1 |
| Erika Alexander | Conservative | 25,547 | 36.8% | 28.9% | +7.9 |
| Roberto Henriquez | New Democratic | 3,648 | 5.3% | 19.6% | −14.3 |
| Georgia Beauchemin | Green | 829 | 1.2% | 2.6% | −1.4 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Ava Sharavi | People's | 307 | 0.4% |
| Jim Enos | Other | 163 | 0.2% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
9.7 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
3,648 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 13,423-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
52 of 203
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 6,712 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 9.7% of the 69,464 valid votes, 9.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal38,970
Conservative25,547
Still Liberal by 13,423 votes. Actual margin: 13,423.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 55.8% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal51.5%61.9%+10.4
Conservative40.2%32.5%−7.7
New Democratic6.0%4.3%−1.7
Green1.5%0.8%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $101,000 — about 1.2 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest61st highest of 343
- Median age is 42.8 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest132nd highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 45.8% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest61st highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 27.0% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest117th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 72.7% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest152nd highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.9% — about 56 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest79th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35039ON · 2025
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
John-Paul Danko
- Result
- Liberal hold by 13,423
- Turnout
- 73.9%
- Population
- 120,505
- Area
- 108 km²
TurnoutPopulation, largest firstLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.