The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Kitchener Centre

Kitchener-Centre
Federal riding · ON · No. 35048 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Kitchener Centre, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Kelly DeRidder Conservative
2025 result
Conservative gain by 375 votes
Turnout
68.8% of 86,447 electors
Population
113,405 2021 census
Area
52 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Closest race in Canada: Won by 375 votes (0.6 pts) · 7th of 3437th
    Closest race in Canada
    Won by 375 votes (0.6 pts) · 7th of 343
  • Changed hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58
    Changed hands in 2025
    One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
  • Length of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24th
    Length of the ballot
    7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Kelly DeRidder took the seat for the Conservatives by 375 votes (+0.6 points).
  2. 19% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 56.0% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share of households that own their home is the 53rd lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Kelly DeRidder
Conservative · first elected 2025-04-28 · first term
  • Member: Science and Research
125 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Department of Citizenship and Immigration—Main Estimates, 2026-27.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 19% of today's Kitchener Centre came from ridings other than the old Kitchener Centre.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
81.3%Kitchener Centre 96% of it kept
18.6%Waterloo 12% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative gain
Elected
Kelly DeRidder
Conservative
20,234
34.2% of valid votes
Margin
375
votes · +0.6 pts
Runner-up
Mike Morrice
Green
19,859
33.6% of valid votes
Conservative 34.2% · Green 33.6% · Liberal 29.3% · New Democratic 2.0%
Turnout68.8% of 86,447 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Kelly DeRidderConservative20,23434.2%24.6%+9.6
Mike MorriceGreen19,85933.6%33.0%+0.6
Brian AdebaLiberal17,29229.3%17.2%+12.1
Heather ZaleskiNew Democratic1,1572.0%17.3%−15.3
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Wasai RahimiPeople's3340.6%
Ellen PapenburgOther1110.2%
Margaretha DyckOther970.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
0.3 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
17,292 votes
Liberal took more than the 375-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
79 of 192
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (112) · ■ won by another party (79) · ▨ tied (1).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 188 voters switching from Conservative to Green — 0.3% of the 59,084 valid votes, 0.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative20,234
Green19,859
Still Conservative by 375 votes. Actual margin: 375.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 56.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative36.8%31.0%−5.8
Green32.0%35.7%+3.7
Liberal28.0%30.9%+2.9
New Democratic2.2%1.6%−0.6
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Kitchener Centre and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35048ON · 2025
Kitchener Centre
Kelly DeRidder
Result
Conservative gain by 375
Turnout
68.8%
Population
113,405
Area
52 km²
Closest race in Canada: Won by 375 votes (0.6 pts) · 7th of 3437thClosest race in CanadaChanged hands in 2025: One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)58Changed hands in 2025Length of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24thLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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