The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Kitchener—Conestoga
Federal riding · ON · No. 35049 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Tim Louis Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 522 votes
- Turnout
- 73.8% of 84,469 electors
- Population
- 112,975 2021 census
- Area
- 951 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Closest race in CanadaWon by 522 votes (0.8 pts) · 9th of 343
- Decided before election dayOn election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
- Boundaries unchanged in 2023Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Tim Louis
- Parliamentary Secretary to the President of the King’s Privy Council for Canada and Minister responsible for Canada-U.S. Trade, Intergovernmental Affairs, Internal Trade and One Canadian Economy (Intergovernmental Affairs and One Canadian Economy)
- Member: Exercise of Powers Under the Building Canada Act
- Member: Procedure and House Affairs
- Member: Subcommittee on Private Members' Business
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's Kitchener—Conestoga covers almost exactly the same ground as the Kitchener—Conestoga riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Tim Louis
Liberal
30,001
48.3% of valid votes
Margin
522
votes · +0.8 pts
Runner-up
Doug Treleaven
Conservative
29,479
47.5% of valid votes
Liberal 48.3% · Conservative 47.5% · New Democratic 2.9% · People's 1.3%
Turnout73.8% of 84,469 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Louis | Liberal | 30,001 | 48.3% | 38.1% | +10.2 |
| Doug Treleaven | Conservative | 29,479 | 47.5% | 37.4% | +10.1 |
| Maya Bozorgzad | New Democratic | 1,821 | 2.9% | 11.9% | −9.0 |
| Kevin Dupuis | People's | 786 | 1.3% | 7.2% | −5.9 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
0.4 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,821 votes
New Democratic took more than the 522-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
135 of 175
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 262 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 0.4% of the 62,087 valid votes, 0.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal30,001
Conservative29,479
Still Liberal by 522 votes. Actual margin: 522.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 55.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative51.4%42.6%−8.8
Liberal43.6%54.3%+10.7
New Democratic3.5%2.3%−1.2
People's1.6%0.9%−0.7
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $111,000 — about 1.3 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest36th highest of 343
- Median age is 38.4 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest76th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 31.7% — a little higher than the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest147th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 21.5% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest149th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 81.1% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest51st highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.7% — about 44 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest48th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
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The card
No. 35049ON · 2025
Kitchener—Conestoga
Tim Louis
- Result
- Liberal hold by 522
- Turnout
- 73.8%
- Population
- 112,975
- Area
- 951 km²
Closest race in CanadaDecided before election dayBoundaries unchanged in 2023
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.