The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35049Ontario

Kitchener—Conestoga

Kitchener—Conestoga is a federal riding in Ontario. Tim Louis (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2019) represents Kitchener—Conestoga. Tim Louis (Liberal) held Kitchener—Conestoga for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 522 votes (0.8 points), with 48.3% of the vote. Doug Treleaven (Conservative) was second with 47.5%, on a turnout of 73.8% of 84,469 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Kitchener—Conestoga on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Kitchener—Conestoga

Tim Louis's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Tim Louis

Member of Parliament for Kitchener—Conestoga

Liberal

MP since 2019-10-21 · 3 terms

Parliamentary Secretary to the President of the King’s Privy Council for Canada and Minister responsible for Canada-U.S. Trade, Intergovernmental Affairs, Internal Trade and One Canadian Economy (Intergovernmental Affairs and One Canadian Economy)
Exercise of Powers Under the Building Canada Act committee
Procedure and House Affairs committee
Subcommittee on Private Members' Business

42 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Strong Borders Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Kitchener—Conestoga, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 62,087 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Tim Louis	Liberal	30,001	48.3%
Doug Treleaven	Conservative	29,479	47.5%
Maya Bozorgzad	New Democratic	1,821	2.9%
Kevin Dupuis	People's Party	786	1.3%

Tim Louis (Liberal) won Kitchener—Conestoga on April 28, 2025 with 30,001 votes, 48.3% of the 62,087 valid votes. Doug Treleaven (Conservative) was second with 29,479 (47.5%), 522 votes and 0.8 points behind.

Of the 62,087 valid votes, Tim Louis (Liberal) took 48.3%, Doug Treleaven (Conservative) 47.5%, Maya Bozorgzad (New Democratic) 2.9% and Kevin Dupuis (People's Party) 1.3%. Turnout was 73.8% of 84,469 electors: 62,370 ballots cast, 62,087 of them valid, for 4 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 10.2 (38.1% to 48.3%), the Conservatives up 10.1 (37.4% to 47.5%), the New Democrats down 9.0 (11.9% to 2.9%) and the People's Party down 5.9 (7.2% to 1.3%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Kitchener—Conestoga at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal43.8%by 10.5 points over the Conservatives
2006Liberal40.3%by 2.1 points over the Conservatives
2008changed handsConservative45.6%by 17.4 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative50.5%by 26.6 points over the Liberals
2015†changed handsLiberal43.1%by 0.5 points over the Conservatives
2019†Liberal39.5%by 1.3 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal38.1%by 0.6 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal48.3%by 0.8 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	43.8%	Conservative	10.5	carried, our estimate
2006	Liberal	40.3%	Conservative	2.1	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	45.6%	Liberal	17.4	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	50.5%	Liberal	26.6	carried, our estimate
2015†	Liberal	43.1%	Conservative	0.5	carried, our estimate
2019†	Liberal	39.5%	Conservative	1.3	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	38.1%	Conservative	0.6	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	48.3%	Conservative	0.8	official result

The Liberals were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at two; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 48.3% of the vote here, 11.6 points above their average of 36.7% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (43.8%), 2006 (40.3%), 2015 (43.1%), 2019 (39.5%), 2021 (38.1%) and 2025 (48.3%) and the Conservatives in 2008 (45.6%) and 2011 (50.5%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2015 and 2019 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Tim Louis, by 577 votes (1.1 pts)
2019 Liberal · Tim Louis, by 365 votes (0.7 pts)
2015 Conservative · Harold Albrecht, by 251 votes (0.5 pts)

In the old Kitchener—Conestoga on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Kitchener—Conestoga lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Kitchener—Conestoga is

Population: 112,9752021 census
Area: 951km²
Density: 119people per km²
Electors: 84,469on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

9th-closest race in Canada
Won by 522 votes (0.8 pts) · 9th of 343
Decided before election day
On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343

Median total household income is $111,000 — about 1.3 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest36th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.7% — about 44 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest48th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 81.1% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest51st highest of 343
Median age is 38.4 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest76th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 31.7% — a little higher than the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest147th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 21.5% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest149th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 95% of the 2025 electors in today's Kitchener—Conestoga lived in the old Kitchener—Conestoga; by area, nearly all of the riding came from it.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

94.8%Kitchener—Conestoga 99.8% of the area

5.2%Kitchener Centre 0.2% of the area · 5% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Tim Louis	Liberal	30,001	48.3%	38.1%	+10.2
Doug Treleaven	Conservative	29,479	47.5%	37.4%	+10.1
Maya Bozorgzad	New Democratic	1,821	2.9%	11.9%	−9.0
Kevin Dupuis	People's	786	1.3%	7.2%	−5.9

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,821 votes

New Democratic took more than the 522-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.

Election-day polls won by others

135 of 175

1 poll ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (39) · ■ won by another party (135) · ▨ tied (1).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 262 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 0.4% of the 62,087 valid votes, 0.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 00524

Liberal30,001

Conservative29,479

Still Liberal by 522 votes. Actual margin: 522.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 55.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.

On election day the Liberals took 43.6%, the Conservatives 51.4%, the New Democrats 3.5% and the People's Party 1.6%; in advance and special ballots, 54.3%, 42.6%, 2.3% and 0.9%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Kitchener—Conestoga, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	43.6%	54.3%	+10.7
Conservative	51.4%	42.6%	−8.8
New Democratic	3.5%	2.3%	−1.2
People's Party	1.6%	0.9%	−0.7

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Kitchener—Conestoga and its 7 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Kitchener—Conestoga — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/kitchener-conestoga/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.