The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Waterloo
Federal riding · ON · No. 35114 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Bardish Chagger Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 17,008 votes
- Turnout
- 72.8% of 87,283 electors
- Population
- 121,435 2021 census
- Area
- 68 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Most candidates on the ballot in Canada9 candidates stood · 5th of 343
- Population, largest first121,435 people, 2021 census · 50th of 343 in Canada
- Turnout72.8% of 87,283 electors voted · 74th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Bardish Chagger
- Member: Access to Information, Privacy and Ethics
- Member: Library of Parliament
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Waterloo comes from the old Waterloo, but it is only 88% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Waterloo 88% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Bardish Chagger
Liberal
37,579
59.5% of valid votes
Margin
17,008
votes · +26.9 pts
Runner-up
Waseem Botros
Conservative
20,571
32.6% of valid votes
Liberal 59.5% · Conservative 32.6% · New Democratic 4.1% · Green 2.5%
Turnout72.8% of 87,283 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bardish Chagger | Liberal | 37,579 | 59.5% | 45.2% | +14.3 |
| Waseem Botros | Conservative | 20,571 | 32.6% | 27.3% | +5.3 |
| Héline Chow | New Democratic | 2,617 | 4.1% | 19.0% | −14.9 |
| Simon Guthrie | Green | 1,599 | 2.5% | 3.4% | −0.9 |
5 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Douglas Ross | People's | 348 | 0.6% |
| Val Neekman | Independent | 179 | 0.3% |
| Santa Claus Chatham | Other | 119 | 0.2% |
| Hans Roach | Independent | 105 | 0.2% |
| Jamie Hari | Independent | 76 | 0.1% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
13.4 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,617 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 17,008-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
13 of 192
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 8,505 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 13.5% of the 63,193 valid votes, 13.4 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal37,579
Conservative20,571
Still Liberal by 17,008 votes. Actual margin: 17,008.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 54.7% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal55.1%64.8%+9.7
Conservative35.9%28.6%−7.3
New Democratic4.5%3.7%−0.8
Green3.0%2.0%−1.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $94,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest93rd highest of 343
- Median age is 36.0 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest32nd lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 54.5% — about 1.9 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest32nd highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 27.5% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest115th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 61.3% — a little lower than the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest92nd lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.9% — about 56 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest79th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35114ON · 2025
Waterloo
Bardish Chagger
- Result
- Liberal hold by 17,008
- Turnout
- 72.8%
- Population
- 121,435
- Area
- 68 km²
Most candidates on the ballot in CanadaPopulation, largest firstTurnout
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.