The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Lac-Saint-Jean

Federal riding · QC · No. 24033 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Lac-Saint-Jean, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe Bloc Québécois
2025 result
Bloc Québécois hold by 9,533 votes
Turnout
64.0% of 75,686 electors
Population
92,035 2021 census
Area
42,430 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Most French mother tongue: 98.5% have French as a mother tongue, the highest of 343 (Share with French as a mother tongue, 2021 census)1st
    Most French mother tongue
    98.5% have French as a mother tongue, the highest of 343 (Share with French as a mother tongue, 2021 census)
  • Smallest immigrant share: 0.9% are immigrants, 2nd lowest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)2nd
    Smallest immigrant share
    0.9% are immigrants, 2nd lowest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)
  • Area, largest first: 42,430 km² · 31st of 343 in Canada31st
    Area, largest first
    42,430 km² · 31st of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe held the seat for the Bloc Québécoiss by 9,533 votes (+19.9 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 70% of the old Lac-Saint-Jean.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 67.6% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share with French as a mother tongue is the 1st highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe
Bloc Québécois · first elected 2019-10-21 · 3 terms
  • Member: Foreign Affairs and International Development
  • Member: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
  • Member: Subcommittee on International Human Rights
  • Vice-Chair: Foreign Affairs and International Development
257 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Citizenship Act.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Lac-Saint-Jean comes from the old Lac-Saint-Jean, but it is only 70% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Lac-Saint-Jean 70% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Bloc Québécois hold
Elected
Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe
Bloc Québécois
22,069
46.2% of valid votes
Margin
9,533
votes · +19.9 pts
Runner-up
Denis Lemieux
Liberal
12,536
26.3% of valid votes
Bloc Québécois 46.2% · Liberal 26.3% · Conservative 24.7% · New Democratic 1.7% · People's 1.1%
Turnout64.0% of 75,686 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Alexis Brunelle-DuceppeBloc Québécois22,06946.2%49.7%−3.5
Denis LemieuxLiberal12,53626.3%18.5%+7.8
Dave BlackburnConservative11,79224.7%24.7%+0.0
Hugues Boily-MaltaisNew Democratic8191.7%3.2%−1.5
Lorie BouchardPeople's5401.1%—+1.1
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
9.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
11,792 votes
Conservative took more than the 9,533-vote margin. True in 100 of 343 ridings in 2025.
Election-day polls won by others
20 of 198
3 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Bloc Québécoiss (175) · ■ won by another party (20) · ▨ tied (3).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 4,767 voters switching from Bloc Québécois to Liberal — 10.0% of the 47,756 valid votes, 9.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Bloc Québécois22,069
Liberal12,536
Still Bloc Québécois by 9,533 votes. Actual margin: 9,533.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 67.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Bloc Québécois46.2%46.3%+0.1
Conservative27.4%19.1%−8.3
Liberal23.3%32.4%+9.1
New Democratic1.9%1.3%−0.6
People's1.3%0.8%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Lac-Saint-Jean and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 24033QC · 2025
Lac-Saint-Jean
Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe
Result
Bloc Québécois hold by 9,533
Turnout
64.0%
Population
92,035
Area
42,430 km²
Most French mother tongue: 98.5% have French as a mother tongue, the highest of 343 (Share with French as a mother tongue, 2021 census)1stMost French mother tongueSmallest immigrant share: 0.9% are immigrants, 2nd lowest of 343 (Share who are immigrants, 2021 census)2ndSmallest immigrant shareArea, largest first: 42,430 km² · 31st of 343 in Canada31stArea, largest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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