The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35063Ontario

Mississauga—Erin Mills

Mississauga—Erin Mills is a federal riding in Ontario. Iqra Khalid (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2015) represents Mississauga—Erin Mills. Iqra Khalid (Liberal) held Mississauga—Erin Mills for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 9,448 votes (15.7 points), with 55.7% of the vote. Milad Mikael (Conservative) was second with 40.0%, on a turnout of 66.8% of 90,543 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Mississauga—Erin Mills on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Mississauga—Erin Mills

Iqra Khalid's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Iqra Khalid

Member of Parliament for Mississauga—Erin Mills

Liberal

MP since 2015-10-19 · 4 terms

Chair, Justice and Human Rights committee
Chair, Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
Justice and Human Rights committee
Liaison committee

44 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Strong Borders Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Mississauga—Erin Mills, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 60,039 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Iqra Khalid	Liberal	33,448	55.7%
Milad Mikael	Conservative	24,000	40.0%
Ehab Mustapha	New Democratic	1,311	2.2%
Michael Bayer	People's Party	734	1.2%
Others (2)		546	0.9%

Iqra Khalid (Liberal) won Mississauga—Erin Mills on April 28, 2025 with 33,448 votes, 55.7% of the 60,039 valid votes. Milad Mikael (Conservative) was second with 24,000 (40.0%), 9,448 votes and 15.7 points behind.

Of the 60,039 valid votes, Iqra Khalid (Liberal) took 55.7%, Milad Mikael (Conservative) 40.0%, Ehab Mustapha (New Democratic) 2.2% and Michael Bayer (People's Party) 1.2%; the 2 other candidates took 0.9% together. Turnout was 66.8% of 90,543 electors: 60,484 ballots cast, 60,039 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 4.9 (50.8% to 55.7%), the Conservatives up 6.7 (33.3% to 40.0%), the New Democrats down 8.0 (10.2% to 2.2%) and the People's Party down 2.1 (3.3% to 1.2%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Mississauga—Erin Mills at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal54.2%by 22.2 points over the Conservatives
2006Liberal44.7%by 5.4 points over the Conservatives
2008†changed handsConservative42.8%by 0.9 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative47.1%by 13.3 points over the Liberals
2015changed handsLiberal49.7%by 10.5 points over the Conservatives
2019Liberal53.5%by 20.8 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal50.8%by 17.6 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal55.7%by 15.7 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	54.2%	Conservative	22.2	carried, our estimate
2006	Liberal	44.7%	Conservative	5.4	carried, our estimate
2008†	Conservative	42.8%	Liberal	0.9	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	47.1%	Liberal	13.3	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	49.7%	Conservative	10.5	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	53.5%	Conservative	20.8	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	50.8%	Conservative	17.6	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	55.7%	Conservative	15.7	official result

The Liberals were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at two; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 55.7% of the vote here, 8.7 points above their average of 47.0% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (54.2%), 2006 (44.7%), 2015 (49.7%), 2019 (53.5%), 2021 (50.8%) and 2025 (55.7%) and the Conservatives in 2008 (42.8%) and 2011 (47.1%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2008 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Iqra Khalid, by 8,778 votes (17.3 pts)
2019 Liberal · Iqra Khalid, by 12,131 votes (20.8 pts)
2015 Liberal · Iqra Khalid, by 5,804 votes (10.5 pts)

In the old Mississauga—Erin Mills on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Mississauga—Erin Mills lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Mississauga—Erin Mills is

Population: 120,2402021 census
Area: 34km²
Density: 3,557people per km²
Electors: 90,543on the 2025 lists

Share who are immigrants is 56.4% — about 3.3 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest14th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 55.1% — about 2.0 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest30th highest of 343
Median total household income is $113,000 — about 1.3 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest31st highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.8% — about 50 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest61st lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 76.5% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest102nd highest of 343
Median age is 39.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest105th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Mississauga—Erin Mills, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Mississauga—Erin Mills, but it is only 95% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Mississauga—Erin Mills 100.0% of the area · 95% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Iqra Khalid	Liberal	33,448	55.7%	50.8%	+4.9
Milad Mikael	Conservative	24,000	40.0%	33.3%	+6.7
Ehab Mustapha	New Democratic	1,311	2.2%	10.2%	−8.0
Michael Bayer	People's	734	1.2%	3.3%	−2.1

2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Sulaiman Khan	Green	367	0.6%
Michael Matulewicz	Independent	179	0.3%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,311 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 9,448-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

39 of 188

2 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (147) · ■ won by another party (39) · ▨ tied (2).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 4,725 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 7.9% of the 60,039 valid votes, 7.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 009,450

Liberal33,448

Conservative24,000

Still Liberal by 9,448 votes. Actual margin: 9,448.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 54.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 52.5%, the Conservatives 42.5%, the New Democrats 2.4% and the People's Party 1.4%; in advance and special ballots, 59.5%, 37.0%, 1.9% and 1.0%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Mississauga—Erin Mills, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	52.5%	59.5%	+7.0
Conservative	42.5%	37.0%	−5.5
New Democratic	2.4%	1.9%	−0.5
People's Party	1.4%	1.0%	−0.4

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Mississauga—Erin Mills and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Mississauga—Erin Mills — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/mississauga-erin-mills/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.