The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Mississauga—Erin Mills

Federal riding · ON · No. 35063 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Mississauga—Erin Mills, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Iqra Khalid Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 9,448 votes
Turnout
66.8% of 90,543 electors
Population
120,240 2021 census
Area
34 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Area, smallest first: 34 km² · 41st of 343 in Canada41st
    Area, smallest first
    34 km² · 41st of 343 in Canada
  • Length of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61st
    Length of the ballot
    6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada
  • Population, largest first: 120,240 people, 2021 census · 61st of 343 in Canada61st
    Population, largest first
    120,240 people, 2021 census · 61st of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Iqra Khalid held the seat for the Liberals by 9,448 votes (+15.7 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 95% of the old Mississauga—Erin Mills.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 54.0% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share who are immigrants is the 14th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Iqra Khalid
Liberal · first elected 2015-10-19 · 4 terms
  • Chair: Justice and Human Rights
  • Chair: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
  • Member: Justice and Human Rights
  • Member: Liaison
40 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Strong Borders Act.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Mississauga—Erin Mills comes from the old Mississauga—Erin Mills, but it is only 95% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Mississauga—Erin Mills 95% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Iqra Khalid
Liberal
33,448
55.7% of valid votes
Margin
9,448
votes · +15.7 pts
Runner-up
Milad Mikael
Conservative
24,000
40.0% of valid votes
Liberal 55.7% · Conservative 40.0% · New Democratic 2.2% · People's 1.2%
Turnout66.8% of 90,543 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Iqra KhalidLiberal33,44855.7%50.8%+4.9
Milad MikaelConservative24,00040.0%33.3%+6.7
Ehab MustaphaNew Democratic1,3112.2%10.2%−8.0
Michael BayerPeople's7341.2%3.3%−2.1
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Sulaiman KhanGreen3670.6%
Michael MatulewiczIndependent1790.3%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
7.8 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,311 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 9,448-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
39 of 188
2 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (147) · ■ won by another party (39) · ▨ tied (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 4,725 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 7.9% of the 60,039 valid votes, 7.8 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal33,448
Conservative24,000
Still Liberal by 9,448 votes. Actual margin: 9,448.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 54.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal52.5%59.5%+7.0
Conservative42.5%37.0%−5.5
New Democratic2.4%1.9%−0.5
People's1.4%1.0%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Mississauga—Erin Mills and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35063ON · 2025
Mississauga—Erin Mills
Iqra Khalid
Result
Liberal hold by 9,448
Turnout
66.8%
Population
120,240
Area
34 km²
Area, smallest first: 34 km² · 41st of 343 in Canada41stArea, smallest firstLength of the ballot: 6 candidates stood · 61st of 343 in Canada61stLength of the ballotPopulation, largest first: 120,240 people, 2021 census · 61st of 343 in Canada61stPopulation, largest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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