The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Mississauga—Lakeshore

Federal riding · ON · No. 35064 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Mississauga—Lakeshore, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Charles Sousa Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 5,555 votes
Turnout
70.5% of 95,220 electors
Population
119,935 2021 census
Area
93 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Length of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24th
    Length of the ballot
    7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada
  • Population, largest first: 119,935 people, 2021 census · 65th of 343 in Canada65th
    Population, largest first
    119,935 people, 2021 census · 65th of 343 in Canada
  • Closeness of the race: Won by 5,555 votes (8.4 pts) · 120th of 343 in Canada120th
    Closeness of the race
    Won by 5,555 votes (8.4 pts) · 120th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Charles Sousa held the seat for the Liberals by 5,555 votes (+8.4 points).
  2. 1% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 54.6% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median total household income is the 48th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Charles Sousa
Liberal · first elected 2022-12-12 · 2 terms
  • Chair: National Defence
  • Chair: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
  • Member: Liaison
  • Member: National Defence
55 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 1% of today's Mississauga—Lakeshore came from ridings other than the old Mississauga—Lakeshore.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.1%Mississauga—Lakeshore
0.8%Mississauga East—Cooksville 2% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Charles Sousa
Liberal
34,971
52.4% of valid votes
Margin
5,555
votes · +8.4 pts
Runner-up
Tom Ellard
Conservative
29,416
44.0% of valid votes
Liberal 52.4% · Conservative 44.0% · New Democratic 1.9%
Turnout70.5% of 95,220 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Charles SousaLiberal34,97152.4%44.6%+7.8
Tom EllardConservative29,41644.0%38.2%+5.8
Evelyn ButlerNew Democratic1,2541.9%9.7%−7.8
4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Mary KidnewGreen5870.9%
Fahad RaoPeople's3340.5%
Carlton DarbyIndependent1220.2%
Anna Di CarloOther1130.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
4.2 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,254 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 5,555-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
102 of 228
9 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (117) · ■ won by another party (102) · ▨ tied (9).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 2,778 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 4.2% of the 66,797 valid votes, 4.2 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal34,971
Conservative29,416
Still Liberal by 5,555 votes. Actual margin: 5,555.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 54.6% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal48.9%56.5%+7.6
Conservative46.6%40.9%−5.7
New Democratic2.3%1.3%−1.0
Green1.0%0.7%−0.3
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Mississauga—Lakeshore and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35064ON · 2025
Mississauga—Lakeshore
Charles Sousa
Result
Liberal hold by 5,555
Turnout
70.5%
Population
119,935
Area
93 km²
Length of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24thLength of the ballotPopulation, largest first: 119,935 people, 2021 census · 65th of 343 in Canada65thPopulation, largest firstCloseness of the race: Won by 5,555 votes (8.4 pts) · 120th of 343 in Canada120thCloseness of the race
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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