The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35075Ontario

Oakville East

Oakville-Est

Oakville East is a federal riding in Ontario. Anita Anand (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2019) represents Oakville East. Anita Anand (Liberal) held Oakville East for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 3,827 votes (6.3 points), with 51.1% of the vote. Ron Chhinzer (Conservative) was second with 44.8%, on a turnout of 73.0% of 83,892 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Oakville East on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Oakville East

Anita Anand's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Anita Anand

Member of Parliament for Oakville East

Liberal

MP since 2019-10-21 · 3 terms

Minister of Foreign Affairs

102 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Foreign Affairs.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Oakville East, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 60,872 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Anita Anand	Liberal	31,128	51.1%
Ron Chhinzer	Conservative	27,301	44.8%
Hailey Ford	New Democratic	1,698	2.8%
Others (3)		745	1.2%

Anita Anand (Liberal) won Oakville East on April 28, 2025 with 31,128 votes, 51.1% of the 60,872 valid votes. Ron Chhinzer (Conservative) was second with 27,301 (44.8%), 3,827 votes and 6.3 points behind.

Of the 60,872 valid votes, Anita Anand (Liberal) took 51.1%, Ron Chhinzer (Conservative) 44.8% and Hailey Ford (New Democratic) 2.8%; the 3 other candidates took 1.2% together. Turnout was 73.0% of 83,892 electors: 61,207 ballots cast, 60,872 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 5.2 (45.9% to 51.1%), the Conservatives up 5.6 (39.2% to 44.8%) and the New Democrats down 6.5 (9.3% to 2.8%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Oakville East at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal50.3%by 13.6 points over the Conservatives
2006†changed handsConservative43.0%by 0.6 points over the Liberals
2008Conservative47.2%by 10.5 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative53.0%by 24.5 points over the Liberals
2015changed handsLiberal48.2%by 5.4 points over the Conservatives
2019Liberal47.2%by 8.6 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal45.9%by 6.7 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal51.1%by 6.3 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	50.3%	Conservative	13.6	carried, our estimate
2006†	Conservative	43.0%	Liberal	0.6	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	47.2%	Liberal	10.5	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	53.0%	Liberal	24.5	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	48.2%	Conservative	5.4	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	47.2%	Conservative	8.6	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	45.9%	Conservative	6.7	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	51.1%	Conservative	6.3	official result

The Liberals were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at three; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 51.1% of the vote here, 8.3 points above their average of 42.8% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021. It has gone with the party that formed the government at all eleven general elections from 1993 to 2025.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (50.3%), 2015 (48.2%), 2019 (47.2%), 2021 (45.9%) and 2025 (51.1%) and the Conservatives in 2006 (43.0%), 2008 (47.2%) and 2011 (53.0%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2006 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Anita Anand, by 3,707 votes (6.1 pts)
2019 Liberal · Anita Anand, by 4,704 votes (7.2 pts)
2015 Liberal · John Oliver, by 4,459 votes (6.9 pts)

In Oakville on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Oakville East lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Oakville East is

Population: 108,7452021 census
Area: 81km²
Density: 1,339people per km²
Electors: 83,892on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

4th-highest household income
Median household income $131,000, 4th highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)
9th-most university degrees
62.8% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 9th highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
Decided before election day
On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343

Median total household income is $131,000 — about 1.6 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest4th highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 62.8% — about 2.2 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest9th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 42.7% — about 2.5 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest46th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 78.4% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest75th highest of 343
Median age is 40.4 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest123rd lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 1.2% — about 75 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest126th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 56% of the 2025 electors in today's Oakville East lived in the old Oakville; by area, 46% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

55.8%Oakville 54.5% of the area · 45% of it kept

44.2%Oakville North—Burlington 45.5% of the area · 40% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Anita Anand	Liberal	31,128	51.1%	45.9%	+5.2
Ron Chhinzer	Conservative	27,301	44.8%	39.2%	+5.6
Hailey Ford	New Democratic	1,698	2.8%	9.3%	−6.5

3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Bruno Sousa	Green	351	0.6%
Henry Karabela	People's	335	0.6%
Alicia Bedford	Other	59	0.1%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,698 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 3,827-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

83 of 161

6 polls ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (72) · ■ won by another party (83) · ▨ tied (6).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,914 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 3.1% of the 60,872 valid votes, 3.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 003,828

Liberal31,128

Conservative27,301

Still Liberal by 3,827 votes. Actual margin: 3,827.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 51.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.

On election day the Liberals took 46.9%, the Conservatives 47.9% and the New Democrats 3.7%; in advance and special ballots, 55.6%, 41.6% and 1.8%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Oakville East, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	46.9%	55.6%	+8.7
Conservative	47.9%	41.6%	−6.3
New Democratic	3.7%	1.8%	−1.9

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Oakville East and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Oakville East — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/oakville-east/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.