The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Oakville East

Oakville-Est
Federal riding · ON · No. 35075 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Oakville East, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Anita Anand Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 3,827 votes
Turnout
73.0% of 83,892 electors
Population
108,745 2021 census
Area
81 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Highest household income: Median household income $131,000, 4th highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)4th
    Highest household income
    Median household income $131,000, 4th highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)
  • Most university degrees: 62.8% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 9th highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)9th
    Most university degrees
    62.8% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 9th highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
  • Decided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327
    Decided before election day
    On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 343
In brief
  1. Anita Anand held the seat for the Liberals by 3,827 votes (+6.3 points).
  2. 46% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. On election day alone, the Conservatives led; advance and special ballots decided it.
  4. Median total household income is the 4th highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Anita Anand
Liberal · first elected 2019-10-21 · 3 terms
  • Minister of Foreign Affairs

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 46% of today's Oakville East came from ridings other than the old Oakville.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
54.5%Oakville 45% of it kept
45.5%Oakville North—Burlington 40% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Anita Anand
Liberal
31,128
51.1% of valid votes
Margin
3,827
votes · +6.3 pts
Runner-up
Ron Chhinzer
Conservative
27,301
44.8% of valid votes
Liberal 51.1% · Conservative 44.8% · New Democratic 2.8%
Turnout73.0% of 83,892 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Anita AnandLiberal31,12851.1%45.9%+5.2
Ron ChhinzerConservative27,30144.8%39.2%+5.6
Hailey FordNew Democratic1,6982.8%9.3%−6.5
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Bruno SousaGreen3510.6%
Henry KarabelaPeople's3350.6%
Alicia BedfordOther590.1%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
3.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,698 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 3,827-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
83 of 161
6 polls ended in an exact tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (72) · ■ won by another party (83) · ▨ tied (6).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 1,914 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 3.1% of the 60,872 valid votes, 3.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal31,128
Conservative27,301
Still Liberal by 3,827 votes. Actual margin: 3,827.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 51.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots. On election day alone, the Conservatives led here — the seat was decided by ballots cast before the day.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative47.9%41.6%−6.3
Liberal46.9%55.6%+8.7
New Democratic3.7%1.8%−1.9
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Oakville East and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35075ON · 2025
Oakville East
Anita Anand
Result
Liberal hold by 3,827
Turnout
73.0%
Population
108,745
Area
81 km²
Highest household income: Median household income $131,000, 4th highest of 343 (Median total household income, 2021 census)4thHighest household incomeMost university degrees: 62.8% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 9th highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)9thMost university degreesDecided before election day: On election-day polls alone another party led; advance and special ballots decided it · one of 27 of 34327Decided before election day
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.