The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 24049Quebec
Mont-Saint-Bruno— L’Acadie
Mont-Saint-Bruno—
Who represents Mont-Saint-Bruno— L’Acadie
Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba
Member of Parliament for Mont-Saint-Bruno—
Liberal
MP since · first term
- Canadian Heritage committee
- Industry and Technology committee
115 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Safe Social Media Act.
The 2025 result: Liberal gain from the Bloc Québécois
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba | Liberal | 32,149 | 47.1% |
| Noémie Rouillard | Bloc Québécois | 23,947 | 35.1% |
| Nicolas Godin | Conservative | 9,335 | 13.7% |
| Mirabelle Leins | New Democratic | 1,590 | 2.3% |
| Maria Korpijaakko | Green | 833 | 1.2% |
| Other (1) | 397 | 0.6% |
Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba (Liberal) won Mont-Saint-Bruno—
Of the 68,251 valid votes, Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba (Liberal) took 47.1%, Noémie Rouillard (Bloc Québécois) 35.1%, Nicolas Godin (Conservative) 13.7%, Mirabelle Leins (New Democratic) 2.3% and Maria Korpijaakko (Green) 1.2%; one other candidate took 0.6%. Turnout was 77.8% of 88,845 electors: 69,122 ballots cast, 68,251 of them valid, for 6 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 13.6 (33.5% to 47.1%), the Bloc Québécois down 9.6 (44.7% to 35.1%), the Conservatives up 4.2 (9.5% to 13.7%), the New Democrats down 5.9 (8.2% to 2.3%) and the Greens up 1.0 (0.2% to 1.2%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Bloc Québécois60.0%by 34.4 points over the Liberals
- 2006Bloc Québécois53.4%by 32.8 points over the Conservatives
- 2008Bloc Québécois47.9%by 28.7 points over the Liberals
- 2011changed handsNew Democratic43.8%by 13.4 points over the Bloc Québécois
- 2015changed handsLiberal32.2%by 3.9 points over the Bloc Québécois
- 2019changed handsBloc Québécois43.6%by 9.2 points over the Liberals
- 2021Bloc Québécois44.7%by 11.2 points over the Liberals
- 2025changed handsLiberal47.1%by 12.0 points over the Bloc Québécois
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Bloc Québécois | 60.0% | Liberal | 34.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | Bloc Québécois | 53.4% | Conservative | 32.8 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | Bloc Québécois | 47.9% | Liberal | 28.7 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | New Democratic | 43.8% | Bloc Québécois | 13.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Liberal | 32.2% | Bloc Québécois | 3.9 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Bloc Québécois | 43.6% | Liberal | 9.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Bloc Québécois | 44.7% | Liberal | 11.2 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 47.1% | Bloc Québécois | 12.0 | official result |
The Bloc Québécois were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Liberals at two and the NDP at one; it changed hands four times. In 2025 the Liberals took 47.1% of the vote here, 22.9 points above their average of 24.2% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Bloc Québécois were first here in 2004 (60.0%), 2006 (53.4%), 2008 (47.9%), 2019 (43.6%) and 2021 (44.7%), the NDP in 2011 (43.8%) and the Liberals in 2015 (32.2%) and 2025 (47.1%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Bloc Québécois · Stéphane Bergeron, by 6,037 votes (10.5 pts)
- 2019 Bloc Québécois · Stéphane Bergeron, by 4,305 votes (7.2 pts)
- 2015 Liberal · Michel Picard, by 2,388 votes (4.1 pts)
In Montarville on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Mont-Saint-Bruno— L’Acadie is
- Population
- 111,3202021 census
- Area
- 215km²
- Density
- 518people per km²
- Electors
- 88,845on the 2025 lists
- 7th-highest turnout in Canada77.8% of 88,845 electors voted · 7th of 343
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (12 of 78 in Quebec)
- Share of households that own their home is 83.2% — about 1.2 times the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest32nd highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 83.6% — about 52.2 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest43rd highest of 343
- Median total household income is $106,000 — about 1.3 times the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest44th highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 39.0% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest104th highest of 343
- Median age is 43.2 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest118th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 11.1% — about 64 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest126th lowest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 90% of the 2025 electors in today's Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie lived in the old Montarville; by area, 27% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba | Liberal | 32,149 | 47.1% | 33.5% | +13.6 |
| Noémie Rouillard | Bloc Québécois | 23,947 | 35.1% | 44.7% | −9.6 |
| Nicolas Godin | Conservative | 9,335 | 13.7% | 9.5% | +4.2 |
| Mirabelle Leins | New Democratic | 1,590 | 2.3% | 8.2% | −5.9 |
| Maria Korpijaakko | Green | 833 | 1.2% | 0.2% | +1.0 |
1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote
| Patrick Rochon | People's | 397 | 0.6% |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 4,102 voters switching from Liberal to Bloc Québécois — 6.0% of the 68,251 valid votes, 6.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 58.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Liberals took 44.0%, the Bloc Québécois 35.6%, the Conservatives 15.7%, the New Democrats 2.6% and the Greens 1.4%; in advance and special ballots, 51.4%, 34.3%, 10.9%, 1.9% and 0.9%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 44.0% | 51.4% | +7.4 |
| Bloc Québécois | 35.6% | 34.3% | −1.3 |
| Conservative | 15.7% | 10.9% | −4.8 |
| New Democratic | 2.6% | 1.9% | −0.7 |
| Green | 1.4% | 0.9% | −0.5 |