The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35088Ontario

Prescott—Russell—Cumberland

Name: 2025 Canadian federal election in Prescott—Russell—Cumberland
Start: 2025-04-28
End: 2025-04-28

Prescott—Russell—Cumberland is a federal riding in Ontario. Giovanna Mingarelli (Liberal) has represented Prescott—Russell—Cumberland since the 2025 election. Giovanna Mingarelli (Liberal) held Prescott—Russell—Cumberland for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 10,305 votes (14.5 points), with 54.8% of the vote. Julie Séguin (Conservative) was second with 40.3%, on a turnout of 75.8% of 94,910 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Prescott—Russell—Cumberland on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Prescott—Russell—Cumberland

Giovanna Mingarelli's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Giovanna Mingarelli

Member of Parliament for Prescott—Russell—Cumberland

Liberal

MP since 2025-04-28 · first term

Agriculture and Agri-Food committee
Official Languages committee
Scrutiny of Regulations committee
Vice-Chair, Scrutiny of Regulations committee

37 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Protecting Victims Act.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Prescott—Russell—Cumberland, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 71,393 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Giovanna Mingarelli	Liberal	39,110	54.8%
Julie Séguin	Conservative	28,805	40.3%
Ryder Finlay	New Democratic	1,730	2.4%
Thaila Riden	Green	787	1.1%
Deborah Perrier	People's Party	725	1.0%
Other (1)		236	0.3%

Giovanna Mingarelli (Liberal) won Prescott—Russell—Cumberland on April 28, 2025 with 39,110 votes, 54.8% of the 71,393 valid votes. Julie Séguin (Conservative) was second with 28,805 (40.3%), 10,305 votes and 14.5 points behind.

Of the 71,393 valid votes, Giovanna Mingarelli (Liberal) took 54.8%, Julie Séguin (Conservative) 40.3%, Ryder Finlay (New Democratic) 2.4%, Thaila Riden (Green) 1.1% and Deborah Perrier (People's Party) 1.0%; one other candidate took 0.3%. Turnout was 75.8% of 94,910 electors: 71,923 ballots cast, 71,393 of them valid, for 6 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 8.2 (46.6% to 54.8%), the Conservatives up 8.3 (32.0% to 40.3%), the New Democrats down 8.3 (10.7% to 2.4%), the Greens down 0.9 (2.0% to 1.1%) and the People's Party down 5.3 (6.3% to 1.0%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Prescott—Russell—Cumberland at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal47.8%by 10.4 points over the Conservatives
2006†changed handsConservative41.6%by 0.4 points over the Liberals
2008Conservative47.3%by 10.4 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative48.8%by 18.1 points over the Liberals
2015changed handsLiberal53.5%by 17.2 points over the Conservatives
2019Liberal47.8%by 12.0 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal46.6%by 14.6 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal54.8%by 14.5 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	47.8%	Conservative	10.4	carried, our estimate
2006†	Conservative	41.6%	Liberal	0.4	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	47.3%	Liberal	10.4	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	48.8%	Liberal	18.1	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	53.5%	Conservative	17.2	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	47.8%	Conservative	12.0	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	46.6%	Conservative	14.6	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	54.8%	Conservative	14.5	official result

The Liberals were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at three; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 54.8% of the vote here, 11.3 points above their average of 43.5% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021. It has gone with the party that formed the government at all eleven general elections from 1993 to 2025.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (47.8%), 2015 (53.5%), 2019 (47.8%), 2021 (46.6%) and 2025 (54.8%) and the Conservatives in 2006 (41.6%), 2008 (47.3%) and 2011 (48.8%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2006 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Francis Drouin, by 8,383 votes (12.8 pts)
2019 Liberal · Francis Drouin, by 7,633 votes (11.6 pts)
2015 Liberal · Francis Drouin, by 10,822 votes (16.9 pts)

In Glengarry—Prescott—Russell on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Prescott—Russell—Cumberland lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Prescott—Russell—Cumberland is

Population: 109,1252021 census
Area: 2,479km²
Density: 44people per km²
Electors: 94,910on the 2025 lists

Share with French as a mother tongue is 55.6% — about 34.8 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest64th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 6.1% — about 35 percent of the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest68th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 78.6% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest72nd highest of 343
Median total household income is $99,000 — about 1.2 times the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest75th highest of 343
Median age is 44.8 — a little higher than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest81st highest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 22.2% — about 79 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest121st lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 97% of the 2025 electors in today's Prescott—Russell—Cumberland lived in the old Glengarry—Prescott—Russell; by area, 3% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

97.4%Glengarry—Prescott—Russell 96.6% of the area · 78% of it kept

2.6%Orléans 3.4% of the area · 38% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Giovanna Mingarelli	Liberal	39,110	54.8%	46.6%	+8.2
Julie Séguin	Conservative	28,805	40.3%	32.0%	+8.3
Ryder Finlay	New Democratic	1,730	2.4%	10.7%	−8.3
Thaila Riden	Green	787	1.1%	2.0%	−0.9
Deborah Perrier	People's	725	1.0%	6.3%	−5.3

1 further candidate, under 1% of the vote

Jason St-Louis

Independent

236

0.3%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

1,730 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 10,305-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

83 of 217

1 poll ended in an exact tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (133) · ■ won by another party (83) · ▨ tied (1).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 5,153 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 7.2% of the 71,393 valid votes, 7.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0010,306

Liberal39,110

Conservative28,805

Still Liberal by 10,305 votes. Actual margin: 10,305.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 53.5% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 49.8%, the Conservatives 44.3%, the New Democrats 2.9%, the Greens 1.3% and the People's Party 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 60.5%, 35.8%, 1.9%, 0.9% and 0.7%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Prescott—Russell—Cumberland, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	49.8%	60.5%	+10.7
Conservative	44.3%	35.8%	−8.5
New Democratic	2.9%	1.9%	−1.0
Green	1.3%	0.9%	−0.4
People's Party	1.3%	0.7%	−0.6

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…

Fig. 3 — Prescott—Russell—Cumberland and its 8 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Prescott—Russell—Cumberland — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/prescott-russell-cumberland/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.