The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Ottawa South

Ottawa-Sud
Federal riding · ON · No. 35080 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Ottawa South, 2023 boundaries.
Member
David McGuinty Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 25,378 votes
Turnout
69.2% of 96,956 electors
Population
126,780 2021 census
Area
100 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Population, largest first: 126,780 people, 2021 census · 14th of 343 in Canada14th
    Population, largest first
    126,780 people, 2021 census · 14th of 343 in Canada
  • Length of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24th
    Length of the ballot
    7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada
  • Width of the margin: Won by 38.1 points (25,378 votes) · 55th of 343 in Canada55th
    Width of the margin
    Won by 38.1 points (25,378 votes) · 55th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. David McGuinty held the seat for the Liberals by 25,378 votes (+38.1 points).
  2. 33% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 51.0% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 52nd lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
David McGuinty
Liberal · first elected 2004-06-28 · 8 terms
  • Minister of National Defence

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 33% of today's Ottawa South came from ridings other than the old Ottawa South.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
67.2%Ottawa South 88% of it kept
32.8%Carleton 3% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
David McGuinty
Liberal
43,388
65.2% of valid votes
Margin
25,378
votes · +38.1 pts
Runner-up
Blair Turner
Conservative
18,010
27.1% of valid votes
Liberal 65.2% · Conservative 27.1% · New Democratic 6.0% · Green 1.0%
Turnout69.2% of 96,956 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
David McGuintyLiberal43,38865.2%48.9%+16.3
Blair TurnerConservative18,01027.1%26.7%+0.4
Hena MasjedeeNew Democratic4,0176.0%18.0%−12.0
Nira DookeranGreen6421.0%2.2%−1.2
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Alex PerrierOther2590.4%
William CooperOther1550.2%
John RedinsOther930.1%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
19.1 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
4,017 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 25,378-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
2 of 207
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (205) · ■ won by another party (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 12,690 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 19.1% of the 66,564 valid votes, 19.1 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal43,388
Conservative18,010
Still Liberal by 25,378 votes. Actual margin: 25,378.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 51.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal62.2%68.3%+6.1
Conservative28.8%25.2%−3.6
New Democratic6.9%5.2%−1.7
Green1.1%0.8%−0.3
Other1.0%0.5%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Ottawa South and its 5 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35080ON · 2025
Ottawa South
David McGuinty
Result
Liberal hold by 25,378
Turnout
69.2%
Population
126,780
Area
100 km²
Population, largest first: 126,780 people, 2021 census · 14th of 343 in Canada14thPopulation, largest firstLength of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24thLength of the ballotWidth of the margin: Won by 38.1 points (25,378 votes) · 55th of 343 in Canada55thWidth of the margin
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.