Minister of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Innovation
Minister responsible for the Federal Economic Development Agency for Southern Ontario
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 16% of today's Toronto Centre came from ridings other than the old Toronto Centre.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
84.0%Toronto Centre 92% of it kept
10.5%Spadina—Fort York 3% of it kept
5.4%University—Rosedale 3% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Evan Solomon
Liberal
37,907
64.3% of valid votes
Margin
25,586
votes · +43.4 pts
Runner-up
Luis Ibarra
Conservative
12,321
20.9% of valid votes
Liberal 64.3% · Conservative 20.9% · New Democratic 12.5% · Green 1.1%
Turnout63.9% of 92,863 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Evan Solomon
Liberal
37,907
64.3%
49.4%
+14.9
Luis Ibarra
Conservative
12,321
20.9%
12.8%
+8.1
Samantha Green
New Democratic
7,358
12.5%
26.0%
−13.5
Olivia Iheme
Green
664
1.1%
8.0%
−6.9
4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Nathen Mazri
People's
235
0.4%
Simon Luisi
Other
177
0.3%
Philip Fernandez
Other
170
0.3%
Cleveland Marshall
Independent
90
0.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
21.7 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
7,358 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 25,586-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
0 of 156
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (156) · ■ won by another party (0).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 12,794 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 21.7% of the 58,922 valid votes, 21.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal37,907
Conservative12,321
Still Liberal by 25,586 votes. Actual margin: 25,586.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 56.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal60.9%68.8%+7.9
Conservative23.8%17.1%−6.7
New Democratic12.5%12.4%−0.1
Green1.3%0.9%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $67,000 — about 80 percent of the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest46th lowest of 343
Median age is 35.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest26th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 60.8% — about 2.2 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest12th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 41.5% — about 2.4 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest52nd highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 30.4% — about 43 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest7th lowest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 2.6% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest126th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Toronto Centre and its 3 neighbouring ridings.
Smallest by area in CanadaSmallest householdsFewest home ownersWon every election-day poll
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.