Skip to the record

The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35109Ontario

Toronto Centre

Toronto-Centre

Toronto Centre is a federal riding in Ontario. Evan Solomon (Liberal) has represented Toronto Centre since the 2025 election. Evan Solomon (Liberal) held Toronto Centre for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 25,586 votes (43.4 points), with 64.3% of the vote. Luis Ibarra (Conservative) was second with 20.9%, on a turnout of 63.9% of 92,863 electors. Member as of .

Fig. 1 — Toronto Centre on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Toronto Centre

LEvan Solomon
Evan Solomon's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Evan Solomon

Member of Parliament for Toronto Centre

Liberal

MP since · first term

  • Minister of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Innovation
  • Minister responsible for the Federal Economic Development Agency for Southern Ontario

79 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on The Economy.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Toronto Centre, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Toronto Centre, April 28, 2025Of the 58,922 valid votes, Evan Solomon (Liberal) took 64.3%, Luis Ibarra (Conservative) 20.9%, Samantha Green (New Democratic) 12.5% and Olivia Iheme (Green) 1.1%; the 4 other candidates took 1.1% together.2025Turnout 63.9% of 92,863 electorsEvan SolomonLiberal64.3% · 37,90725,586 votes ahead · 43.4 ptsLuis IbarraConservative20.9% · 12,321Samantha GreenNew Democratic12.5% · 7,358Olivia IhemeGreen1.1% · 664Others (4)1.1% · 672050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Toronto Centre, April 28, 2025Of the 58,922 valid votes, Evan Solomon (Liberal) took 64.3%, Luis Ibarra (Conservative) 20.9%, Samantha Green (New Democratic) 12.5% and Olivia Iheme (Green) 1.1%; the 4 other candidates took 1.1% together.2025Turnout 63.9% of 92,863 electorsEvan SolomonLiberal64.3% · 37,90725,586 votes ahead · 43.4 ptsLuis IbarraConservative20.9% · 12,321Samantha GreenNew Democratic12.5% · 7,358Olivia IhemeGreen1.1% · 664Others (4)1.1% · 672050%100%
Shares of the 58,922 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Evan SolomonLiberal37,90764.3%
Luis IbarraConservative12,32120.9%
Samantha GreenNew Democratic7,35812.5%
Olivia IhemeGreen6641.1%
Others (4)6721.1%

Evan Solomon (Liberal) won Toronto Centre on with 37,907 votes, 64.3% of the 58,922 valid votes. Luis Ibarra (Conservative) was second with 12,321 (20.9%), 25,586 votes and 43.4 points behind.

Of the 58,922 valid votes, Evan Solomon (Liberal) took 64.3%, Luis Ibarra (Conservative) 20.9%, Samantha Green (New Democratic) 12.5% and Olivia Iheme (Green) 1.1%; the 4 other candidates took 1.1% together. Turnout was 63.9% of 92,863 electors: 59,358 ballots cast, 58,922 of them valid, for 8 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 14.9 (49.4% to 64.3%), the Conservatives up 8.1 (12.8% to 20.9%), the New Democrats down 13.5 (26.0% to 12.5%) and the Greens down 6.9 (8.0% to 1.1%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Liberal stronghold

The party first in Toronto Centre at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Liberal56.5%by 32.8 points over the New Democrats
  2. 2006Liberal52.2%by 28.5 points over the New Democrats
  3. 2008Liberal53.5%by 35.2 points over the Conservatives
  4. 2011Liberal41.0%by 10.8 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015Liberal57.3%by 30.6 points over the New Democrats
  6. 2019Liberal57.0%by 34.9 points over the New Democrats
  7. 2021Liberal49.4%by 23.4 points over the New Democrats
  8. 2025Liberal64.3%by 43.4 points over the Conservatives
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Liberal56.5%New Democratic32.8carried, our estimate
2006Liberal52.2%New Democratic28.5carried, our estimate
2008Liberal53.5%Conservative35.2carried, our estimate
2011Liberal41.0%New Democratic10.8carried, our estimate
2015Liberal57.3%New Democratic30.6carried, our estimate
2019Liberal57.0%New Democratic34.9carried, our estimate
2021Liberal49.4%New Democratic23.4transposed by Elections Canada
2025Liberal64.3%Conservative43.4official result

The Liberals were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 29.9 points over the next party. In 2025 the Liberals took 64.3% of the vote here, 11.9 points above their average of 52.4% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021. The Liberals have been first here at every general election since 1993, eleven in a row.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (56.5%), 2006 (52.2%), 2008 (53.5%), 2011 (41.0%), 2015 (57.3%), 2019 (57.0%), 2021 (49.4%) and 2025 (64.3%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Liberal · Marci Ien, by 11,162 votes (24.4 pts)
  • 2019 Liberal · Bill Morneau, by 19,129 votes (35.1 pts)
  • 2015 Liberal · Bill Morneau, by 15,830 votes (31.3 pts)

In the old Toronto Centre on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Toronto Centre lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Toronto Centre is

Population
121,7002021 census
Area
7km²
Density
18,164people per km²
Electors
92,863on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Smallest by area in Canada: 7 km² · 1st of 3431st
    Smallest by area in Canada
    7 km² · 1st of 343
  • 5th-smallest households: 1.7 people per household, 5th lowest of 343 (Average household size, 2021 census)5th
    5th-smallest households
    1.7 people per household, 5th lowest of 343 (Average household size, 2021 census)
  • 7th-fewest home owners: 30.4% of households own their home, 7th lowest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)7th
    7th-fewest home owners
    30.4% of households own their home, 7th lowest of 343 (Share of households that own their home, 2021 census)
  • Share of households that own their home is 30.4% — about 43 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest7th lowest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 60.8% — about 2.2 times the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest12th highest of 343
  • Median age is 35.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest26th lowest of 343
  • Median total household income is $67,000 — about 80 percent of the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest46th lowest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 41.5% — about 2.4 times the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest52nd highest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 2.6% — about 1.6 times the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest126th highest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 88% of the 2025 electors in today's Toronto Centre lived in the old Toronto Centre; by area, 16% of the riding came from other ridings.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
88.4%Toronto Centre 84.0% of the area · 92% of it kept
7.1%Spadina—Fort York 10.5% of the area · 3% of it kept
4.5%University—Rosedale 5.4% of the area · 3% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Evan SolomonLiberal37,90764.3%49.4%+14.9
Luis IbarraConservative12,32120.9%12.8%+8.1
Samantha GreenNew Democratic7,35812.5%26.0%−13.5
Olivia IhemeGreen6641.1%8.0%−6.9
4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Nathen MazriPeople's2350.4%
Simon LuisiOther1770.3%
Philip FernandezOther1700.3%
Cleveland MarshallIndependent900.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
7,358 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 25,586-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
0 of 156
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (156) · ■ won by another party (0).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 12,794 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 21.7% of the 58,922 valid votes, 21.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal37,907
Conservative12,321
Still Liberal by 25,586 votes. Actual margin: 25,586.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 56.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 60.9%, the Conservatives 23.8%, the New Democrats 12.5% and the Greens 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 68.8%, 17.1%, 12.4% and 0.9%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Toronto Centre, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Toronto Centre, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 60.9%, the Conservatives 23.8%, the New Democrats 12.5% and the Greens 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 68.8%, 17.1%, 12.4% and 0.9%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal60.9%68.8%+7.9 ptsConservative23.8%17.1%−6.7 ptsNew Democratic12.5%12.4%−0.1 ptsGreen1.3%0.9%−0.4 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Toronto Centre, April 28, 2025On election day the Liberals took 60.9%, the Conservatives 23.8%, the New Democrats 12.5% and the Greens 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 68.8%, 17.1%, 12.4% and 0.9%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapLiberal60.9%68.8%+7.9 ptsConservative23.8%17.1%−6.7 ptsNew Democratic12.5%12.4%−0.1 ptsGreen1.3%0.9%−0.4 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Liberal60.9%68.8%+7.9
Conservative23.8%17.1%−6.7
New Democratic12.5%12.4%−0.1
Green1.3%0.9%−0.4
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Toronto Centre and its 3 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Toronto Centre — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/toronto-centre/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.