The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 35100Ontario
Spadina— Harbourfront
Spadina—
Who represents Spadina— Harbourfront
Chi Nguyen
Member of Parliament for Spadina—
Liberal
MP since · first term
- Status of Women committee
- Transport, Infrastructure and Communities committee
75 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 1.
The 2025 result: Liberal hold
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Spadina—Harbourfront, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chi Nguyen | Liberal | 31,832 | 60.1% |
| Diana Filipova | Conservative | 16,286 | 30.7% |
| Norm Di Pasquale | New Democratic | 4,107 | 7.8% |
| Others (4) | 765 | 1.4% |
Chi Nguyen (Liberal) won Spadina—
Of the 52,990 valid votes, Chi Nguyen (Liberal) took 60.1%, Diana Filipova (Conservative) 30.7% and Norm Di Pasquale (New Democratic) 7.8%; the 4 other candidates took 1.4% together. Turnout was 64.9% of 82,164 electors: 53,300 ballots cast, 52,990 of them valid, for 7 candidates.
Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 22.1 (38.0% to 60.1%), the Conservatives up 9.1 (21.6% to 30.7%) and the New Democrats down 25.8 (33.6% to 7.8%), in points of the valid votes.
2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.
Since 2004: no party has held it
The party first in Spadina—Harbourfront at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries
- 2004Liberal44.2%by 3.2 points over the New Democrats
- 2006changed handsNew Democratic44.8%by 4.0 points over the Liberals
- 2008New Democratic39.5%by 3.4 points over the Liberals
- 2011New Democratic53.2%by 28.9 points over the Liberals
- 2015changed handsLiberal54.7%by 27.4 points over the New Democrats
- 2019Liberal55.8%by 35.7 points over the New Democrats
- 2021Liberal38.0%by 4.4 points over the New Democrats
- 2025Liberal60.1%by 29.4 points over the Conservatives
The figures
| Year | First | Share | Second | Margin (pts) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Liberal | 44.2% | New Democratic | 3.2 | carried, our estimate |
| 2006 | New Democratic | 44.8% | Liberal | 4.0 | carried, our estimate |
| 2008 | New Democratic | 39.5% | Liberal | 3.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2011 | New Democratic | 53.2% | Liberal | 28.9 | carried, our estimate |
| 2015 | Liberal | 54.7% | New Democratic | 27.4 | carried, our estimate |
| 2019 | Liberal | 55.8% | New Democratic | 35.7 | carried, our estimate |
| 2021 | Liberal | 38.0% | New Democratic | 4.4 | transposed by Elections Canada |
| 2025 | Liberal | 60.1% | Conservative | 29.4 | official result |
The Liberals were first at five of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the NDP at three; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 60.1% of the vote here, 18.1 points above their average of 42.0% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.
On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (44.2%), 2015 (54.7%), 2019 (55.8%), 2021 (38.0%) and 2025 (60.1%) and the NDP in 2006 (44.8%), 2008 (39.5%) and 2011 (53.2%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.
A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.
- 2021 Liberal · Kevin Vuong, by 2,157 votes (4.4 pts)
- 2019 Liberal · Adam Vaughan, by 21,634 votes (35.7 pts)
- 2015 Liberal · Adam Vaughan, by 15,094 votes (27.4 pts)
In Spadina—Fort York on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Spadina—Harbourfront lived in; Elections Canada's official results.
What kind of place Spadina— Harbourfront is
- Population
- 105,7452021 census
- Area
- 19km²
- Density
- 5,625people per km²
- Electors
- 82,164on the 2025 lists
- Most university degrees74.1% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, the highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
- 2nd-smallest households1.6 people per household, 2nd lowest of 343 (Average household size, 2021 census)
- 4th-youngest median ageMedian age 32.4, 4th lowest of 343 (Median age, 2021 census)
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 74.1% — about 2.6 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest1st highest of 343
- Median age is 32.4 — about 78 percent of the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest4th lowest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 43.0% — about 60 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest30th lowest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 39.9% — about 2.3 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest55th highest of 343
- Median total household income is $92,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest101st highest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 2.4% — about 1.5 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest130th highest of 343
2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.
IDid this riding change?
Yes. 100% of the 2025 electors in today's Spadina—Harbourfront lived in the old Spadina—Fort York; by area, 1% of the riding came from other ridings.
IIThe 2025 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chi Nguyen | Liberal | 31,832 | 60.1% | 38.0% | +22.1 |
| Diana Filipova | Conservative | 16,286 | 30.7% | 21.6% | +9.1 |
| Norm Di Pasquale | New Democratic | 4,107 | 7.8% | 33.6% | −25.8 |
4 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Gordon Rand | Green | 448 | 0.8% |
| Gilbert Joseph Jubinville | People's | 193 | 0.4% |
| Nick Lin | Other | 85 | 0.2% |
| Shrey Rao | Independent | 39 | 0.1% |
IIIHow close was it, really
It would have taken 7,774 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 14.7% of the 52,990 valid votes, 14.7 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 60.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
On election day the Liberals took 56.8%, the Conservatives 33.6% and the New Democrats 8.0%; in advance and special ballots, 65.0%, 26.4% and 7.4%, in that order.
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Spadina—Harbourfront, April 28, 2025
The figures
| Party | Election day | Advance and special | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 56.8% | 65.0% | +8.2 |
| Conservative | 33.6% | 26.4% | −7.2 |
| New Democratic | 8.0% | 7.4% | −0.6 |