The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

University—Rosedale

Federal riding · ON · No. 35112 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — University—Rosedale, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Danielle Martin Liberal
2025 result
Liberal hold by 25,223 votes
Turnout
65.4% of 95,884 electors
Population
123,815 2021 census
Area
15 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Smallest by area in Canada: 15 km² · 5th of 3435th
    Smallest by area in Canada
    15 km² · 5th of 343
  • Most university degrees: 67.5% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 3rd highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)3rd
    Most university degrees
    67.5% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 3rd highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)
  • Length of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24th
    Length of the ballot
    7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Chrystia Freeland held the seat for the Liberals by 25,223 votes (+40.5 points).
  2. 14% of today's riding was drawn from other ridings in 2023.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 55.0% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is the 3rd highest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Danielle Martin
Liberal · first elected 2026-04-13 · first term
  • Member: Finance
  • Member: Government Operations and Estimates
19 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Spring Economic Update 2026 Implementation Act.

IDid this riding change?

Yes. 14% of today's University—Rosedale came from ridings other than the old University—Rosedale.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
85.9%University—Rosedale 87% of it kept
11.6%Spadina—Fort York 8% of it kept
2.5%Toronto Centre 6% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Liberal hold
Elected
Chrystia Freeland
Liberal
39,847
64.0% of valid votes
Margin
25,223
votes · +40.5 pts
Runner-up
Liz Grade
Conservative
14,624
23.5% of valid votes
Liberal 64.0% · Conservative 23.5% · New Democratic 9.9% · Green 1.7%
Turnout65.4% of 95,884 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Chrystia FreelandLiberal39,84764.0%46.1%+17.9
Liz GradeConservative14,62423.5%17.8%+5.7
Serena PurdyNew Democratic6,1689.9%27.8%−17.9
Ignacio MongrellGreen1,0661.7%4.4%−2.7
3 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
Drew GarvieOther3040.5%
Barbara BileyOther1380.2%
Adam GoldingIndependent1180.2%
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
20.3 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
6,168 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 25,223-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
7 of 172
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (165) · ■ won by another party (7).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 12,612 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 20.3% of the 62,265 valid votes, 20.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Liberal39,847
Conservative14,624
Still Liberal by 25,223 votes. Actual margin: 25,223.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 55.0% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal60.7%68.1%+7.4
Conservative25.7%20.8%−4.9
New Democratic10.6%9.1%−1.5
Green1.9%1.4%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — University—Rosedale and its 6 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 35112ON · 2025
University—Rosedale
Danielle Martin
Result
Liberal hold by 25,223
Turnout
65.4%
Population
123,815
Area
15 km²
Smallest by area in Canada: 15 km² · 5th of 3435thSmallest by area in CanadaMost university degrees: 67.5% of 25–64s hold a bachelor's or higher, 3rd highest of 343 (Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher, 2021 census)3rdMost university degreesLength of the ballot: 7 candidates stood · 24th of 343 in Canada24thLength of the ballot
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

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