The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
Winnipeg South
Winnipeg-Sud
Federal riding · MB · No. 46012 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Terry Duguid Liberal
- 2025 result
- Liberal hold by 11,085 votes
- Turnout
- 72.2% of 64,611 electors
- Population
- 99,795 2021 census
- Area
- 97 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Most populous in Manitoba99,795 people, 2021 census · 3rd of 14 in Manitoba · 272nd of 343 in Canada
- Population, smallest first99,795 people, 2021 census · 72nd of 343 in Canada
- Turnout72.2% of 64,611 electors voted · 97th of 343 in Canada
In brief
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Terry Duguid
- Chair: Natural Resources
- Chair: Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
- Member: Liaison
- Member: Natural Resources
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Winnipeg South comes from the old Winnipeg South, but it is only 93% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
99.9%Winnipeg South 93% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Liberal hold
Elected
Terry Duguid
Liberal
27,337
59.0% of valid votes
Margin
11,085
votes · +23.9 pts
Runner-up
Janice Morley-Lecomte
Conservative
16,252
35.1% of valid votes
Liberal 59.0% · Conservative 35.1% · New Democratic 4.6%
Turnout72.2% of 64,611 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Duguid | Liberal | 27,337 | 59.0% | 47.8% | +11.2 |
| Janice Morley-Lecomte | Conservative | 16,252 | 35.1% | 32.5% | +2.6 |
| Joanne Bjornson | New Democratic | 2,114 | 4.6% | 14.2% | −9.6 |
2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote
| Johann Rempel Fehr | People's | 385 | 0.8% |
| Manjit Kaur | Green | 231 | 0.5% |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
11.9 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,114 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 11,085-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
16 of 139
No poll ended in a tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 5,543 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 12.0% of the 46,319 valid votes, 11.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Liberal27,337
Conservative16,252
Still Liberal by 11,085 votes. Actual margin: 11,085.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 52.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Liberal54.8%63.7%+8.9
Conservative38.0%31.9%−6.1
New Democratic5.5%3.5%−2.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $92,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest101st highest of 343
- Median age is 35.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest26th lowest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 49.0% — about 1.7 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest45th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 33.3% — about 1.9 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest87th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 71.3% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest171st lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 3.5% — about 2.2 times the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest113th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 46012MB · 2025
Winnipeg South
Terry Duguid
- Result
- Liberal hold by 11,085
- Turnout
- 72.2%
- Population
- 99,795
- Area
- 97 km²
Most populous in ManitobaPopulation, smallest firstTurnout
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.