The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 46012Manitoba

Winnipeg South

Winnipeg-Sud

Winnipeg South is a federal riding in Manitoba. Terry Duguid (Liberal, first elected to the House in 2015) represents Winnipeg South. Terry Duguid (Liberal) held Winnipeg South for the Liberals in the 2025 election by 11,085 votes (23.9 points), with 59.0% of the vote. Janice Morley-Lecomte (Conservative) was second with 35.1%, on a turnout of 72.2% of 64,611 electors. Member as of 2026-11-01.

Fig. 1 — Winnipeg South on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on 2026-11-01. Open it on the board →

Who represents Winnipeg South

Terry Duguid's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Terry Duguid

Member of Parliament for Winnipeg South

Liberal

MP since 2015-10-19 · 4 terms

Chair, Natural Resources committee
Chair, Subcommittee on Agenda and Procedure
Liaison committee
Natural Resources committee

29 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Wildfires in Manitoba and Saskatchewan.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Liberal hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Winnipeg South, April 28, 2025

Shares of the 46,319 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Terry Duguid	Liberal	27,337	59.0%
Janice Morley-Lecomte	Conservative	16,252	35.1%
Joanne Bjornson	New Democratic	2,114	4.6%
Others (2)		616	1.3%

Terry Duguid (Liberal) won Winnipeg South on April 28, 2025 with 27,337 votes, 59.0% of the 46,319 valid votes. Janice Morley-Lecomte (Conservative) was second with 16,252 (35.1%), 11,085 votes and 23.9 points behind.

Of the 46,319 valid votes, Terry Duguid (Liberal) took 59.0%, Janice Morley-Lecomte (Conservative) 35.1% and Joanne Bjornson (New Democratic) 4.6%; the 2 other candidates took 1.3% together. Turnout was 72.2% of 64,611 electors: 46,657 ballots cast, 46,319 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Liberals are up 11.2 (47.8% to 59.0%), the Conservatives up 2.6 (32.5% to 35.1%) and the New Democrats down 9.6 (14.2% to 4.6%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: no party has held it

The party first in Winnipeg South at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

2004Liberal50.9%by 17.2 points over the Conservatives
2006†Liberal40.9%by less than 0.1 points over the Conservatives
2008changed handsConservative48.6%by 13.8 points over the Liberals
2011Conservative52.1%by 19.5 points over the Liberals
2015changed handsLiberal58.3%by 23.6 points over the Conservatives
2019Liberal42.1%by 3.4 points over the Conservatives
2021Liberal47.8%by 15.3 points over the Conservatives
2025Liberal59.0%by 23.9 points over the Conservatives

Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran. † The first two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

The figures

Year	First	Share	Second	Margin (pts)	Basis
2004	Liberal	50.9%	Conservative	17.2	carried, our estimate
2006†	Liberal	40.9%	Conservative	0.0	carried, our estimate
2008	Conservative	48.6%	Liberal	13.8	carried, our estimate
2011	Conservative	52.1%	Liberal	19.5	carried, our estimate
2015	Liberal	58.3%	Conservative	23.6	carried, our estimate
2019	Liberal	42.1%	Conservative	3.4	carried, our estimate
2021	Liberal	47.8%	Conservative	15.3	transposed by Elections Canada
2025	Liberal	59.0%	Conservative	23.9	official result

The Liberals were first at six of the eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, the Conservatives at two; it changed hands twice. In 2025 the Liberals took 59.0% of the vote here, 15.1 points above their average of 43.9% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Liberals were first here in 2004 (50.9%), 2006 (40.9%), 2015 (58.3%), 2019 (42.1%), 2021 (47.8%) and 2025 (59.0%) and the Conservatives in 2008 (48.6%) and 2011 (52.1%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 160 of the 343 ridings have no degree. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result. In 2006 the carried top two are within two points, so which party was first is less certain.

Before 2025

2021 Liberal · Terry Duguid, by 6,456 votes (13.7 pts)
2019 Liberal · Terry Duguid, by 1,645 votes (3.4 pts)
2015 Liberal · Terry Duguid, by 11,387 votes (23.6 pts)

In the old Winnipeg South on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Winnipeg South lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Winnipeg South is

Population: 99,7952021 census
Area: 97km²
Density: 1,026people per km²
Electors: 64,611on the 2025 lists

Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings

3rd-most populous in Manitoba
99,795 people, 2021 census · 3rd of 14 in Manitoba · 272nd of 343 in Canada

Median age is 35.6 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest26th lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 49.0% — about 1.7 times the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest45th highest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 33.3% — about 1.9 times the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest87th highest of 343
Median total household income is $92,000 — a little higher than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest101st highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 3.5% — about 2.2 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest113th highest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 71.3% — about the same as the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest171st lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Winnipeg South, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Winnipeg South, but it is only 93% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding

100.0%Winnipeg South 99.9% of the area · 93% of it kept

How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	2021	±
Terry Duguid	Liberal	27,337	59.0%	47.8%	+11.2
Janice Morley-Lecomte	Conservative	16,252	35.1%	32.5%	+2.6
Joanne Bjornson	New Democratic	2,114	4.6%	14.2%	−9.6

2 further candidates, each under 1% of the vote

Johann Rempel Fehr	People's	385	0.8%
Manjit Kaur	Green	231	0.5%

The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin

2,114 votes

New Democratic took fewer than the 11,085-vote margin.

Election-day polls won by others

16 of 139

No poll ended in a tie.

Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Liberals (123) · ■ won by another party (16).

Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 5,543 voters switching from Liberal to Conservative — 12.0% of the 46,319 valid votes, 11.9 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Voters who switch: 0011,086

Liberal27,337

Conservative16,252

Still Liberal by 11,085 votes. Actual margin: 11,085.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 52.3% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Liberals took 54.8%, the Conservatives 38.0% and the New Democrats 5.5%; in advance and special ballots, 63.7%, 31.9% and 3.5%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Winnipeg South, April 28, 2025

Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.

The figures

Party	Election day	Advance and special	Gap
Liberal	54.8%	63.7%	+8.9
Conservative	38.0%	31.9%	−6.1
New Democratic	5.5%	3.5%	−2.0

An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

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Fig. 3 — Winnipeg South and its 4 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Winnipeg South — federal riding profile and 2025 results."
The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/winnipeg-south/
Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.