The Political Record · Federal electoral districts

Portage—Lisgar

Federal riding · MB · No. 46005 · 2023 representation order
Fig. 1 — Portage—Lisgar, 2023 boundaries.
Member
Branden Leslie Conservative
2025 result
Conservative hold by 21,396 votes
Turnout
67.9% of 68,152 electors
Population
94,835 2021 census
Area
10,649 km²
Figures as of
2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Widest margin in Manitoba: Won by 46.6 points (21,396 votes) · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 23rd of 343 in Canada1st
    Widest margin in Manitoba
    Won by 46.6 points (21,396 votes) · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 23rd of 343 in Canada
  • Population, smallest first: 94,835 people, 2021 census · 60th of 343 in Canada60th
    Population, smallest first
    94,835 people, 2021 census · 60th of 343 in Canada
  • Area, largest first: 10,649 km² · 72nd of 343 in Canada72nd
    Area, largest first
    10,649 km² · 72nd of 343 in Canada
In brief
  1. Branden Leslie held the seat for the Conservatives by 21,396 votes (+46.6 points).
  2. The riding shrank in 2023: it keeps 84% of the old Portage—Lisgar.
  3. Election-day and advance voters agreed on the winner; 66.9% of votes were cast on the day.
  4. Median age is the 32nd lowest of 343 ridings.
Illustration after: © House of Commons
Member of Parliament
Branden Leslie
Conservative · first elected 2023-06-19 · 2 terms
  • Member: Environment and Sustainable Development
104 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Inflation and Budgetary Policy — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Portage—Lisgar comes from the old Portage—Lisgar, but it is only 84% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Portage—Lisgar 84% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

Conservative hold
Elected
Branden Leslie
Conservative
31,889
69.4% of valid votes
Margin
21,396
votes · +46.6 pts
Runner-up
Robert Kreis
Liberal
10,493
22.8% of valid votes
Conservative 69.4% · Liberal 22.8% · New Democratic 4.4% · People's 2.1% · Green 1.3%
Turnout67.9% of 68,152 electors
CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Branden LeslieConservative31,88969.4%51.8%+17.6
Robert KreisLiberal10,49322.8%10.9%+11.9
Lisa TessierNew Democratic2,0114.4%13.3%−8.9
Kevin LarsonPeople's9772.1%21.7%−19.6
Janine G. GibsonGreen5951.3%0.0%+1.3
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Swing needed to flip
23.3 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,011 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 21,396-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
2 of 163
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (161) · ■ won by another party (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 10,699 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 23.3% of the 45,965 valid votes, 23.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative31,889
Liberal10,493
Still Conservative by 21,396 votes. Actual margin: 21,396.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 66.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative71.0%66.1%−4.9
Liberal20.9%26.7%+5.8
New Democratic4.4%4.4%+0.0
People's2.4%1.5%−0.9
Green1.3%1.3%+0.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhat kind of place this is

2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.

VIWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Portage—Lisgar and its 7 neighbouring ridings.

The card

No. 46005MB · 2025
Portage—Lisgar
Branden Leslie
Result
Conservative hold by 21,396
Turnout
67.9%
Population
94,835
Area
10,649 km²
Widest margin in Manitoba: Won by 46.6 points (21,396 votes) · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 23rd of 343 in Canada1stWidest margin in ManitobaPopulation, smallest first: 94,835 people, 2021 census · 60th of 343 in Canada60thPopulation, smallest firstArea, largest first: 10,649 km² · 72nd of 343 in Canada72ndArea, largest first
One of 343The Political Record

A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.

Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.

Open a neighbour to collect the next one.