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The Political RecordFederal electoral districtsNo. 46005Manitoba

Portage—Lisgar

Portage—Lisgar is a federal riding in Manitoba. Branden Leslie (Conservative, first elected to the House in 2023) represents Portage—Lisgar. Branden Leslie (Conservative) held Portage—Lisgar for the Conservatives in the 2025 election by 21,396 votes (46.6 points), with 69.4% of the vote. Robert Kreis (Liberal) was second with 22.8%, on a turnout of 67.9% of 68,152 electors. Member as of .

Brandon—Souris · ConservativeProvencher · ConservativeRiding Mountain · ConservativeSelkirk—Interlake—Eastman · ConservativeWinnipeg South · LiberalWinnipeg South Centre · LiberalWinnipeg West · LiberalPortage—Lisgar
Fig. 1 — Portage—Lisgar on the board, 2023 boundaries; the ridings next door as the House holds them on . Open it on the board →

Who represents Portage—Lisgar

CBranden Leslie
Branden Leslie's piece from the board. Illustration after the official portrait © House of Commons.

Branden Leslie

Member of Parliament for Portage—Lisgar

Conservative

MP since · 2 terms

  • Environment and Sustainable Development committee

122 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Inflation and Budgetary Policy — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.

Contact and office · House of Commons →

The 2025 result: Conservative hold

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Portage—Lisgar, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by candidate, Portage—Lisgar, April 28, 2025Of the 45,965 valid votes, Branden Leslie (Conservative) took 69.4%, Robert Kreis (Liberal) 22.8%, Lisa Tessier (New Democratic) 4.4%, Kevin Larson (People's Party) 2.1% and Janine G. Gibson (Green) 1.3%.2025Turnout 67.9% of 68,152 electorsBranden LeslieConservative69.4% · 31,88921,396 votes ahead · 46.5 ptsRobert KreisLiberal22.8% · 10,493Lisa TessierNew Democratic4.4% · 2,011Kevin LarsonPeople's Party2.1% · 977Janine G. GibsonGreen1.3% · 595050%100%
Share of the valid votes by candidate, Portage—Lisgar, April 28, 2025Of the 45,965 valid votes, Branden Leslie (Conservative) took 69.4%, Robert Kreis (Liberal) 22.8%, Lisa Tessier (New Democratic) 4.4%, Kevin Larson (People's Party) 2.1% and Janine G. Gibson (Green) 1.3%.2025Turnout 67.9% of 68,152 electorsBranden LeslieConservative69.4% · 31,88921,396 votes ahead · 46.5 ptsRobert KreisLiberal22.8% · 10,493Lisa TessierNew Democratic4.4% · 2,011Kevin LarsonPeople's Party2.1% · 977Janine G. GibsonGreen1.3% · 595050%100%
Shares of the 45,965 valid votes; a candidate under 1% is counted with the others. Source: Elections Canada, official voting results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Branden LeslieConservative31,88969.4%
Robert KreisLiberal10,49322.8%
Lisa TessierNew Democratic2,0114.4%
Kevin LarsonPeople's Party9772.1%
Janine G. GibsonGreen5951.3%

Branden Leslie (Conservative) won Portage—Lisgar on with 31,889 votes, 69.4% of the 45,965 valid votes. Robert Kreis (Liberal) was second with 10,493 (22.8%), 21,396 votes and 46.6 points behind.

Of the 45,965 valid votes, Branden Leslie (Conservative) took 69.4%, Robert Kreis (Liberal) 22.8%, Lisa Tessier (New Democratic) 4.4%, Kevin Larson (People's Party) 2.1% and Janine G. Gibson (Green) 1.3%. Turnout was 67.9% of 68,152 electors: 46,300 ballots cast, 45,965 of them valid, for 5 candidates.

Since 2021

Against the 2021 result on these boundaries, the Conservatives are up 17.6 (51.8% to 69.4%), the Liberals up 11.9 (10.9% to 22.8%), the New Democrats down 8.9 (13.3% to 4.4%), the People's Party down 19.6 (21.7% to 2.1%) and the Greens up 1.3 (0.0% to 1.3%), in points of the valid votes.

2021 is Elections Canada's transposition of that election onto the 2023 boundaries, not an election held on these lines.

Since 2004: a Conservative stronghold

The party first in Portage—Lisgar at each general election, 2004 to 2025, on today's boundaries

  1. 2004Conservative65.8%by 47.6 points over the Liberals
  2. 2006Conservative69.6%by 57.9 points over the Liberals
  3. 2008Conservative68.1%by 54.6 points over the Liberals
  4. 2011Conservative75.7%by 65.4 points over the New Democrats
  5. 2015Conservative60.8%by 35.0 points over the Liberals
  6. 2019Conservative70.8%by 60.1 points over the Liberals
  7. 2021Conservative51.8%by 30.0 points over the People's Party
  8. 2025Conservative69.4%by 46.6 points over the Liberals
Each election carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate to 2019, Elections Canada's transposition for 2021, the official result for 2025. Parties are counted as they ran.
The figures
YearFirstShareSecondMargin (pts)Basis
2004Conservative65.8%Liberal47.6carried, our estimate
2006Conservative69.6%Liberal57.9carried, our estimate
2008Conservative68.1%Liberal54.6carried, our estimate
2011Conservative75.7%New Democratic65.4carried, our estimate
2015Conservative60.8%Liberal35.0carried, our estimate
2019Conservative70.8%Liberal60.1carried, our estimate
2021Conservative51.8%People's30.0transposed by Elections Canada
2025Conservative69.4%Liberal46.6official result

The Conservatives were first here at all eight general elections from 2004 to 2025, by an average of 49.7 points over the next party. In 2025 the Conservatives took 69.4% of the vote here, 3.3 points above their average of 66.1% at the seven general elections from 2004 to 2021.

On today's boundaries the Conservatives were first here in 2004 (65.8%), 2006 (69.6%), 2008 (68.1%), 2011 (75.7%), 2015 (60.8%), 2019 (70.8%), 2021 (51.8%) and 2025 (69.4%), each with the share of the valid votes shown.

A stronghold is a party first at every general election since 2004, by an average of 20 points or more over the next party; held, first at every one; usually, first at all but one. By-elections are not counted. By this rule 77 of the 343 ridings are strongholds. The results before 2021 are carried onto today's boundaries by where the riding's 2025 electors lived: our estimate, from the older boundaries of Taylor, Lucas, Kirby and Hewitt and the results in Sevi's "Who Runs?". 2021 is Elections Canada's transposition, and 2025 the official result.

Before 2025
  • 2021 Conservative · Candice Bergen, by 14,029 votes (30.9 pts)
  • 2019 Conservative · Candice Bergen, by 26,821 votes (60.1 pts)
  • 2015 Conservative · Candice Bergen, by 14,439 votes (35.0 pts)

In the old Portage—Lisgar on the 2013 boundaries, the riding most of the 2025 electors in today's Portage—Lisgar lived in; Elections Canada's official results.

What kind of place Portage—Lisgar is

Population
94,8352021 census
Area
10,649km²
Density
8.9people per km²
Electors
68,152on the 2025 lists
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
  • Widest margin in Manitoba: Won by 46.6 points (21,396 votes) · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 23rd of 343 in Canada1st
    Widest margin in Manitoba
    Won by 46.6 points (21,396 votes) · 1st of 14 in Manitoba · 23rd of 343 in Canada
  • Median age is 36.0 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
    highestlowest32nd lowest of 343
  • Share of households that own their home is 78.4% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
    highestlowest75th highest of 343
  • Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.1% — about 68 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
    highestlowest81st lowest of 343
  • Share with French as a mother tongue is 2.8% — about 1.7 times the median riding's 1.6%.
    highestlowest118th highest of 343
  • Median total household income is $79,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
    highestlowest141st lowest of 343
  • Share who are immigrants is 15.6% — a little lower than the median riding's 17.3%.
    highestlowest165th lowest of 343

2021 Census on the 2023 boundaries; each rule places this riding among all 343. Density is the census population over the riding's area.

IDid this riding change?

Yes — it shrank. All of today's Portage—Lisgar, its electors as well as its ground, comes from the old Portage—Lisgar, but it is only 84% of that riding by area. The rest went elsewhere.

Share of today's electorsFormer riding
100.0%Portage—Lisgar 100.0% of the area · 84% of it kept
How this is measured. Electors: the share of the current riding's 2025 ordinary-list electors who lived in each former riding, each 2025 polling division placed in the 2013 riding a point inside it falls in. Area: the share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files, and how much of the former riding that part was. Area is land, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.

IIThe 2025 result

CandidatePartyVotes%2021±
Branden LeslieConservative31,88969.4%51.8%+17.6
Robert KreisLiberal10,49322.8%10.9%+11.9
Lisa TessierNew Democratic2,0114.4%13.3%−8.9
Kevin LarsonPeople's9772.1%21.7%−19.6
Janine G. GibsonGreen5951.3%0.0%+1.3
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.

IIIHow close was it, really

Third place vs. the margin
2,011 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 21,396-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
2 of 163
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (161) · ■ won by another party (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical

It would have taken 10,699 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 23.3% of the 45,965 valid votes, 23.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.

Conservative31,889
Liberal10,493
Still Conservative by 21,396 votes. Actual margin: 21,396.

IVElection day versus advance

Only 66.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.

On election day the Conservatives took 71.0%, the Liberals 20.9%, the New Democrats 4.4%, the People's Party 2.4% and the Greens 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 66.1%, 26.7%, 4.4%, 1.5% and 1.3%, in that order.

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Portage—Lisgar, April 28, 2025

Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Portage—Lisgar, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 71.0%, the Liberals 20.9%, the New Democrats 4.4%, the People's Party 2.4% and the Greens 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 66.1%, 26.7%, 4.4%, 1.5% and 1.3%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative71.0%66.1%−4.9 ptsLiberal20.9%26.7%+5.8 ptsNew Democratic4.4%4.4%±0.0 ptsPeople's Party2.4%1.5%−0.9 ptsGreen1.3%1.3%±0.0 pts050%100%
Share of the valid votes by party, election-day polls against advance and special ballots, Portage—Lisgar, April 28, 2025On election day the Conservatives took 71.0%, the Liberals 20.9%, the New Democrats 4.4%, the People's Party 2.4% and the Greens 1.3%; in advance and special ballots, 66.1%, 26.7%, 4.4%, 1.5% and 1.3%, in that order.Election dayAdvance and special± pts, the gapConservative71.0%66.1%−4.9 ptsLiberal20.9%26.7%+5.8 ptsNew Democratic4.4%4.4%±0.0 ptsPeople's Party2.4%1.5%−0.9 ptsGreen1.3%1.3%±0.0 pts050%100%
Shares of the valid votes cast at election-day polls, and of those cast at advance polls, at mobile polls and by special ballot; the gap is the second less the first, in points. Source: Elections Canada, poll-by-poll results, the 2025 general election.
The figures
PartyElection dayAdvance and specialGap
Conservative71.0%66.1%−4.9
Liberal20.9%26.7%+5.8
New Democratic4.4%4.4%+0.0
People's Party2.4%1.5%−0.9
Green1.3%1.3%+0.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.

VWhere it is

loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Portage—Lisgar and its 7 neighbouring ridings.

Sources and citation

"Portage—Lisgar — federal riding profile and 2025 results." The Political Record. https://politicalrecord.ca/riding/portage-lisgar/ Accessed 2026-11-10.

Results and transposition: Elections Canada. Boundaries: Elections Canada / Statistics Canada, Open Government Licence – Canada. Census: Statistics Canada 2021 Census. Member: House of Commons.

Figures reconcile to the certified national total of 19,641,663 votes. The member is as the House of Commons listed them on 2026-11-01. Page built 2026-11-10.