104 speeches in the 45th Parliament, most often on Business of Supply — Opposition Motion—Food Inflation and Budgetary Policy — Main Estimates and Supplementary Estimates (A), 2025-26.
IDid this riding change?
Yes — it shrank. All of today's Portage—Lisgar comes from the old Portage—Lisgar, but it is only 84% of that riding. The rest went elsewhere.
Share of today's areaFormer riding
100.0%Portage—Lisgar 84% of it kept
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative hold
Elected
Branden Leslie
Conservative
31,889
69.4% of valid votes
Margin
21,396
votes · +46.6 pts
Runner-up
Robert Kreis
Liberal
10,493
22.8% of valid votes
Conservative 69.4% · Liberal 22.8% · New Democratic 4.4% · People's 2.1% · Green 1.3%
Turnout67.9% of 68,152 electors
Candidate
Party
Votes
%
2021
±
Branden Leslie
Conservative
31,889
69.4%
51.8%
+17.6
Robert Kreis
Liberal
10,493
22.8%
10.9%
+11.9
Lisa Tessier
New Democratic
2,011
4.4%
13.3%
−8.9
Kevin Larson
People's
977
2.1%
21.7%
−19.6
Janine G. Gibson
Green
595
1.3%
0.0%
+1.3
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
23.3 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
2,011 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 21,396-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
2 of 163
No poll ended in a tie.
Fig. 2 — Each square is one election-day poll: ■ won by the Conservatives (161) · ■ won by another party (2).
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 10,699 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 23.3% of the 45,965 valid votes, 23.3 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative31,889
Liberal10,493
Still Conservative by 21,396 votes. Actual margin: 21,396.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 66.9% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative71.0%66.1%−4.9
Liberal20.9%26.7%+5.8
New Democratic4.4%4.4%+0.0
People's2.4%1.5%−0.9
Green1.3%1.3%+0.0
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
Median total household income is $79,500 — a little lower than the median riding's $84,000.
highestlowest141st lowest of 343
Median age is 36.0 — a little lower than the median riding's 41.6.
highestlowest32nd lowest of 343
Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 19.1% — about 68 percent of the median riding's 28.2%.
highestlowest81st lowest of 343
Share who are immigrants is 15.6% — a little lower than the median riding's 17.3%.
highestlowest165th lowest of 343
Share of households that own their home is 78.4% — a little higher than the median riding's 71.4%.
highestlowest75th highest of 343
Share with French as a mother tongue is 2.8% — about 1.7 times the median riding's 1.6%.
highestlowest118th highest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
Fig. 3 — Portage—Lisgar and its 7 neighbouring ridings.
Widest margin in ManitobaPopulation, smallest firstArea, largest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.