The Political Record · Federal electoral districts
York Centre
York-Centre
Federal riding · ON · No. 35120 · 2023 representation order
- Member
- Vacant
- 2025 result
- Conservative gain by 5,792 votes
- Turnout
- 63.7% of 75,704 electors
- Population
- 108,305 2021 census
- Area
- 37 km²
- Figures as of
- 2026-09-25
Distinctions · ranked against all 343 ridings
- Changed hands in 2025One of 58 of 343 ridings where the winning party changed from the transposed 2021 result (21 of 122 in Ontario)
- Boundaries unchanged in 2023Covers the same ground as its predecessor · one of 59 of 343 by area
- Area, smallest first37 km² · 45th of 343 in Canada
In brief
IDid this riding change?
Essentially no. Today's York Centre covers almost exactly the same ground as the York Centre riding it replaced.
How this is measured. Share of the current riding's area that came from each former riding, by intersecting the 2013 and 2023 boundary files. It is area, not population. Elections Canada counts 48 of 343 ridings as entirely unchanged.
IIThe 2025 result
Conservative gain
Elected
Roman Baber
Conservative
26,110
54.8% of valid votes
Margin
5,792
votes · +12.1 pts
Runner-up
Ya'ara Saks
Liberal
20,318
42.7% of valid votes
Conservative 54.8% · Liberal 42.7% · New Democratic 2.5%
Turnout63.7% of 75,704 electors
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | 2021 | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Baber | Conservative | 26,110 | 54.8% | 37.3% | +17.5 |
| Ya'ara Saks | Liberal | 20,318 | 42.7% | 46.7% | −4.0 |
| Yusuf Ulukanligil | New Democratic | 1,191 | 2.5% | 10.0% | −7.5 |
The 2021 column is Elections Canada's official transposition of the 2021 result onto these 2023 boundaries. ± is the change in each party's share. It is not "swing": with four or more competitive parties there is no single pair to swing between.
IIIHow close was it, really
Swing needed to flip
6.0 pts
Half the margin: the share that would have had to move from first to second.
Third place vs. the margin
1,191 votes
New Democratic took fewer than the 5,792-vote margin.
Election-day polls won by others
41 of 153
1 poll ended in an exact tie.
Flip the seatHypothetical
It would have taken 2,897 voters switching from Conservative to Liberal — 6.1% of the 47,619 valid votes, 6.0 points — to change the result. No ballot was cast this way; this only moves votes between the top two.
Conservative26,110
Liberal20,318
Still Conservative by 5,792 votes. Actual margin: 5,792.
IVElection day versus advance
Only 60.4% of this riding's votes were cast at election-day polls. The rest were advance or special ballots.
Election dayAdvance & specialGap
Conservative54.8%54.8%+0.0
Liberal42.4%43.0%+0.6
New Democratic2.7%2.2%−0.5
An association, not a cause. Voters who cast ballots before election day differed from those who turned out on the day. It does not say why. There is no poll-level turnout figure on this page: the elector count on a polling division includes people who voted in advance and were counted elsewhere.
VWhat kind of place this is
- Median total household income is $82,000 — about the same as the median riding's $84,000.highestlowest167th lowest of 343
- Median age is 41.6 — about the same as the median riding's 41.6.highestlowest163rd highest of 343
- Share aged 25-64 with a bachelor's degree or higher is 40.5% — about 1.4 times the median riding's 28.2%.highestlowest97th highest of 343
- Share who are immigrants is 55.4% — about 3.2 times the median riding's 17.3%.highestlowest19th highest of 343
- Share of households that own their home is 49.8% — about 70 percent of the median riding's 71.4%.highestlowest46th lowest of 343
- Share with French as a mother tongue is 0.7% — about 44 percent of the median riding's 1.6%.highestlowest48th lowest of 343
2021 Census, keyed to the 2023 representation order. Comparisons are against the median riding, not Canada as a whole. Each rule places this riding among all 343.
VIWhere it is
loading basemap…
The card
No. 35120ON · 2025
York Centre
- Result
- Conservative gain by 5,792
- Turnout
- 63.7%
- Population
- 108,305
- Area
- 37 km²
Changed hands in 2025Boundaries unchanged in 2023Area, smallest first
One of 343The Political Record
A card exists for every one of the 343 ridings.
Every figure on it is the figure on this page: the 2025 result and margin, turnout, the 2021 census population, the area, and the distinctions ranked against all 343 ridings. The portrait is an illustration after the official House of Commons photograph.
Open a neighbour to collect the next one.